Publications
2026 (26)
- Bayar, A.S., Pinto, J.G., Gouveia, C.M., Ramos, A.M. (2026):
Strong intensification of extreme fire weather in Europe under 3 °C compared to 2 °C global warming
Earth Syst. Dynam. 17 (3), 929 - 954
10.5194/esd-17-929-2026 - Bevacqua, E., Fischer, E., Sillmann, J., Zscheischler, J. (2026):
Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes
Nature 651 (8107), 946 - 953
10.1038/s41586-026-10237-9 - Feng, S., Zscheischler, J., Hao, Z., Jägermeyr, J., Müller, C., Bevacqua, E. (2026):
The influence of spatial correlations in crop production on global crop failures in model simulations
Agric. For. Meteorol. 379 , art. 111021
10.1016/j.agrformet.2026.111021 - Gauthier, E., Bevacqua, E. (2026):
Human-induced climate change intensifies spatially compounding fire weather extremes across European countries
npj Natural Hazards 3 , art. 39
10.1038/s44304-026-00201-y - Groenke, B., Wessel, J.B., Miersch, P., Klein, N., Zscheischler, J. (2026):
Stochastic weather generation for scenario-neutral impact assessments using simulation-based inference
J. Geophys. Res.: Mach. Learn. Comput. 3 (2), e2025JH000902
10.1029/2025JH000902 - He, L., Shi, L., Song, W., Shen, J., Wang, L., Hu, X., Zha, Y. (2026):
Coupling intuitive physics into deep learning for soil moisture flow processes learning
Water Resour. Res. 62 (4), e2025WR041753
10.1029/2025WR041753 - Jian, Y., Wang, X., Jägermeyr, J., Ciais, P., Müller, C., Zscheischler, J., Li, T., Cheng, K., Hou, P., Huang, J., Huang, S., Jiang, Y., Wang, B., Song, Z., Zhang, Z., Zhu, P., Zhou, F. (2026):
Vulnerability to high temperature shapes global warming impacts on rice yield
Sci. Adv. 12 (31), eaed9226
10.1126/sciadv.aed9226 - Kallenberg, M., Paudel, D., Ofori-Ampofo, S., Baja, H., van Bree, R., Potze, A., Poudel, P., Saleh, A., Anderson, W., von Bloh, M., Castellano, A., Ennaji, O., Hamed, R., Laudien, R., Lee, D., Luna, I., Masiliūnas, D., Meroni, M., Mutuku, J.M., Mkuhlani, S., Richetti, J., Ruane, A.C., Sahajpal, R., Shuai, G., Sitokonstantinou, V., de S. Nóia-Júnior, R., Srivastava, A.K., Strong, R., Sweet, L.-B., Vojnović, P., de Wit, A., Zachow, M., Athanasiadis, I.N. (2026):
CY-Bench: a comprehensive benchmark dataset for sub-national crop yield forecasting
Earth Syst. Sci. Data 18 (6), 3997 - 4018
10.5194/essd-18-3997-2026 - Keeping, T.R., Zachariah, M., Haas, O., Grillakis, M., Barnes, C., Clay, G.D., Ekberzade, B., Jaupaj, O., Ribeiro, A., Trigo, R., Voulgarakis, A., Otto, F.E.L. (2026):
Attribution of the record breaking 2025 European fire season to climate change
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 26 (8), 3761 - 3813
10.5194/nhess-26-3761-2026 - Klotz, D., Miersch, P., do Nascimento, T.V.M., Fenicia, F., Gauch, M., Zscheischler, J. (2026):
EARLS: European aggregated reconstruction for large-sample studies (Version v0.5) [Dataset]
Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.19188344 - Klotz, D., Miersch, P., do Nascimento, T.V.M., Fenicia, F., Gauch, M., Zscheischler, J. (2026):
EARLS: A runoff reconstruction dataset for Europe
Earth Syst. Sci. Data 18 (7), 5485 - 5504
10.5194/essd-18-5485-2026 - Kornhuber, K., Bevacqua, E., de Brito, M.M., Jäger, W.S., Rivoire, P., Rogers, C.D.W., Banfi, F., Batibeniz, F., Carruthers, J., De Michele, C., De Angeli, S., Deidda, C., de Ruiter, M.C., Fink, A.H., Goulart, H.M.D., Küpfer, K., Ludwig, P., Maraun, D., Messori, G., Nath, S., O'Loughlin, F., Pinto, J.G., Poschlod, B., Ramos, A.M., Raymond, C., Ribeiro, A.F.S., Singh, D., Suarez Gutierrez, L., Ward, P.J., White, C.J. (2026):
Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 26 (9), 4309 - 4334
10.5194/nhess-26-4309-2026 - Li, J., Zhang, Y., Bevacqua, E., Jiang, S., Yuan, X., Zhou, S., Qiu, J., Wang, Z., Zscheischler, J., Wang, K., Piao, S. (2026):
Warming and vegetation greening drive recent surge in flash droughts
Sci. Adv. 12 (22), eaea8452
10.1126/sciadv.aea8452 - Li, J., Zscheischler, J., Bevacqua, E. (2026):
Global record-shattering breadbasket droughts emerge from moderately extreme regional events
Nat. Commun. 17 , art. 2577
10.1038/s41467-026-70700-z - Li, N., Thiery, W., Zahra, S., de Brito, M.M., Worou, K., Kurfalı, M., Lampe, S., Muñoz, P., Flynn, C., Trigoso, C., Nivre, J., Zscheischler, J., Messori, G. (2026):
Wikimpacts 1.0: a new global climate impact database based on automated information extraction from Wikipedia
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 26 (6), 2609 - 2636
10.5194/nhess-26-2609-2026 - Li, N., Thiery, W., Zahra, S., de Brito, M.M., Worou, K., Kurfalı, M., Lampe, S., Muñoz, P., Flynn, C., Trigoso, C., Nivre, J., Zscheischler, J., Messori, G. (2026):
Wikimpacts — A global climate impact database based on automated information extraction from Wikipedia
Bolin Centre Database
10.17043/li-2025-wikimpacts-1.0.final - Nagpal, M., Heilemann, J., Klassert, C., Bevacqua, E., Rakovec, O., Samaniego, L., Klauer, B., Gawel, E. (2026):
Attribution of extreme weather event impacts on crop yields and economic damages to climate change
Environ. Res. Clim. 5 (2), art. 021001
10.1088/2752-5295/ae541a - Qiao, X., Zscheischler, J., Loreau, M., Reich, P.B., Chen, Q., Bahn, M., Mohanbabu, N., White, H.J., Luo, M., Wang, S. (2026):
Biodiversity buffers forest ecosystems from compound climate extremes
Nat. Commun. 17 , art. 8601
10.1038/s41467-026-75370-5 - Raymond, C., García-Martínez, I.M., Rogers, C.D.W., Chen, Y., Han, W., Libonati, R., Simpson, N.P., White, C.J., Zscheischler, J. (2026):
Compound weather and climate events in 2025
Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 7 (6), 340 - 342
10.1038/s43017-026-00797-9 - Spuler, F.R., Wessel, J.B., Jebeile, J., Zscheischler, J., Shepherd, T.G. (2026):
Bias adjustment and the question of usable climate information: methodological assumptions and value judgements
Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 107 (1), E79 - E102
10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0022.1 - Sweet, L.-B. (2026):
A data-driven method for identifying climate drivers of agricultural yield failure from daily weather data
Version: v4 Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.20443700 - Sweet, L.-B., Müller, C., Jägermeyr, J., Zscheischler, J. (2026):
A data-driven method for identifying climate drivers of agricultural yield failure from daily weather data
Geosci. Model Dev. 19 (14), 6687 - 6735
10.5194/gmd-19-6687-2026 - Teber, K., Sippel, S., Krause, M., Zscheischler, J., Mahecha, M.D. (2026):
Inequality in human development amplifies climate-related disaster risk
Nat. Commun. 17 , art. 5067
10.1038/s41467-026-73873-9 - Vogel, E., Sweet, L.-B., Ribeiro, A.F.S., Mora, C.J., Johnson, F., Zscheischler, J. (2026):
The impacts of concurrent heatwaves and droughts on global wheat production and trade
Environ. Res. Lett. 21 (15), art. 154010
10.1088/1748-9326/ae8609 - Zhang, Z., Fischer, E., Zscheischler, J., Engelke, S. (2026):
Data and code for the paper "Physics-based models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes"
Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.18929001 - Zhang, Z., Fischer, E., Zscheischler, J., Engelke, S. (2026):
Physics-based models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes
Sci. Adv. 12 (18), eaec1433
10.1126/sciadv.aec1433
2025 (34)
- Acuña Espinoza, E., Loritz, R., Kratzert, F., Klotz, D., Gauch, M., Álvarez Chaves, M., Ehret, U. (2025):
Analyzing the generalization capabilities of a hybrid hydrological model for extrapolation to extreme events
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 29 (5), 1277 - 1294
10.5194/hess-29-1277-2025 - Bevacqua, E. (2025):
Code for paper: Bevacqua et al. (2025), Nature Climate Change
Version: v1.0.0 Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.14637944 - Bevacqua, E. (2025):
Code for paper: Bevacqua et al. (2026)
Version: v1.0.1 Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.17864854 - Bevacqua, E., Schleussner, C.-F., Zscheischler, J. (2025):
A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20 yr period that will exceed the Paris Agreement limit
Nat. Clim. Chang. 15 (3), 262 - 265
10.1038/s41558-025-02246-9 - Brett, L., White, C.J., Domeisen, D.I.V., van den Hurk, B., Ward, P., Zscheischler, J. (2025):
Review article: The growth in compound weather and climate event research in the decade since SREX
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 25 (8), 2591 - 2611
10.5194/nhess-25-2591-2025 - Cache, T., Bevacqua, E., Zscheischler, J., Müller-Thomy, H., Peleg, N. (2025):
Simulating realistic design storms: a joint return period approach
Water Resour. Res. 61 (7), e2024WR039739
10.1029/2024WR039739 - Fang, B., Rakovec, O., Bevacqua, E., Kumar, R., Zscheischler, J. (2025):
Diverging trends in large floods across Europe in a warming climate
Commun. Earth Environ. 6 , art. 717
10.1038/s43247-025-02734-y - Feng, S., Zscheischler, J., Hao, Z., Bevacqua, E. (2025):
Growing human-induced climate change fingerprint in regional weekly fire extremes
npj Clim. Atmos. Sci. 8 , art. 152
10.1038/s41612-025-01021-z - Ferreira, V., Buras, A., Zscheischler, J., Mahecha, M., Rammig, A. (2025):
Evaluating the 2023–2024 record dry-hot conditions in the Amazon in the context of historical compound extremes
Environ. Res. Lett. 20 (8), art. 084055
10.1088/1748-9326/ade550 - François, B., Teber, K., Brett, L., Leeding, R., Gimeno-Sotelo, L., Domeisen, D.I.V., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Bevacqua, E. (2025):
Concurrent modes of climate variability linked to spatially compounding wind and precipitation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere
Earth Syst. Dynam. 16 (4), 1029 - 1051
10.5194/esd-16-1029-2025 - Fu, J., Wang, C., Qin, Y., Lesk, C., Müller, C., Zscheischler, J., Liu, X., Liang, H., Jiang, Y., Wang, X., Zhou, F. (2025):
Regionally variable responses of maize and soybean yield to rainfall events in China
Agric. For. Meteorol. 364 , art. 110458
10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110458 - Guan, Y., Gu, X., Dai, A., Zhou, T., Yuan, X., Mishra, A.K., Zscheischler, J., Pokhrel, Y., Wang, L., Li, J., Huang, S., Luo, S., Li, L., Kong, D., Zhang, X. (2025):
Anthropogenic enhancement of subsurface soil moisture droughts
Nat. Clim. Chang. 15 (12), 1355 - 1362
10.1038/s41558-025-02458-z - Guo, Y., Beyerle, U., Bevacqua, E., Zscheischler, J., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Mittermeier, M., Fu, Z., Fischer, E. (2025):
European compound flood-heat-flood events associated with Omega patterns cannot be easily reproduced by a fully coupled model
Commun. Earth Environ. 6 , art. 491
10.1038/s43247-025-02481-0 - He, L. (2025):
Coupling intuitive physics into deep learning for soil moisture flow processes learning (Version v3)
Zenodo
10.5281/ZENODO.18057664 - Jian, Y. (2025):
Vulnerability of high temperature shapes global warming impacts on rice yield
Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.17314177 - Kallenberg, M., Paudel, D., Ofori-Ampofo, S., Baja, H., van Bree, R., Potze, A., Poudel, P., Saleh, A., Anderson, W., von Bloh, M., Castellano, A., Ennaji, O., Hamed, R., Laudien, R., Lee, D., Luna, I., Masiliūnas, D., Meroni, M., Mutuku, J.M., Mkuhlani, S., Richetti, J., Ruane, A.C., Sahajpal, R., Shuai, G., Sitokonstantinou, V., de S. Nóia-Júnior, R., Srivastava, A.K., Strong, R., Sweet, L.-B., Vojnović, P., de Wit, A., Zachow, M., Athanasiadis, I.N. (2025):
CY-Bench: a comprehensive benchmark dataset for sub-national crop yield forecasting (Version 1.10) [Dataset]
Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.17279151 - Klotz, D., Miersch, P., do Nascimento, T.V.M., Fenicia, F., Gauch, M., Zscheischler, J. (2025):
EARLS: European aggregated reconstruction for large-sample studies (v0.3) [Data set]
Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.15506211 - Li, J., Zhang, Y., Bevacqua, E., Zscheischler, J., Keenan, T.F., Lian, X., Zhou, S., Zhang, H., He, M., Piao, S. (2025):
Author correction: Future increase in compound soil drought-heat extremes exacerbated by vegetation greening (vol 15, 10875, 2024)
Nat. Commun. 16 , art. 623
10.1038/s41467-025-55979-8 - Marques, E.Q., Silvério, D.V., Ribeiro, A.F.S., Zscheischler, J., Seneviratne, S.I., Marra, D.D., Rebelatto, B.F., Rattis, L., Brando, P.M. (2025):
Vertical forest dynamics: the influence of windthrows and extreme weather events on Southern Amazon canopy height
Environ. Res. Commun. 7 (12), art. 125010
10.1088/2515-7620/ae24cb - Matteo, A., Garnés-Morales, G., Moreno, A., Ribeiro, A.F.S., Azorin-Molina, C., Bedia, J., Di Giuseppe, F., Dunn, R.J.H., Herrera, S., Provenzale, A., Quilcaille, Y., Torres-Vázquez, M.A., Turco, M. (2025):
Challenges in assessing Fire Weather changes in a warming climate
npj Clim. Atmos. Sci. 8 , art. 284
10.1038/s41612-025-01163-0 - Meng, Y., Schmidt, J., Zscheischler, J., Bevacqua, E. (2025):
Climate-driven compounding effects and historical trends in renewable electricity droughts in Europe
Appl. Energy 401, Part B , art. 126623
10.1016/j.apenergy.2025.126623 - Merz, N., Zachariah, M. (2025):
Understanding droughts under climate change in South America based on severity-duration-frequency curves and drought atlases
Clim. Change 178 (9), art. 163
10.1007/s10584-025-04015-1 - Messori, G., Muheki, D., Batibeniz, F., Bevacqua, E., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Thiery, W. (2025):
Global mapping of concurrent hazards and impacts associated with climate extremes under climate change
Earth Future 13 (6), e2025EF006325
10.1029/2025EF006325 - Miersch, P. (2025):
Data Release: Evaluating the robustness of PCMCI+ for causal discovery of flood drivers
Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.14765911 - Miersch, P., Günther, W., Runge, J., Zscheischler, J. (2025):
Evaluating the robustness of PCMCI+ for causal discovery of flood drivers
Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems (AIES) 4 (4), e240114
10.1175/AIES-D-24-0114.1 - Muheki, D., Messori, G., Batibeniz, F., Bevacqua, E., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Thiery, W. (2025):
VUB-HYDR/Mapping_concurrent_hazards_and_impacts_associated_with_climate_extremes: Mapping_concurrent_hazards_and_impacts_associated_with_climate_extremes (final)
Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.15095260 - Pasche, O.C., Wider, J., Zhang, Z., Zscheischler, J., Engelke, S. (2025):
Validating deep-learning weather forecast models on recent high-impact extreme events
Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems (AIES) 4 , e240033
10.1175/AIES-D-24-0033.1 - Richardson, D., Hobeichi, S., Sweet, L.-B., Rey-Costa, E., Abramowitz, G., Pitman, A.J. (2025):
Predicting Australian energy demand variability using weather data and machine learning
Environ. Res. Lett. 20 (1), art. 014028
10.1088/1748-9326/ad9b3b - Richardson, D., Ribeiro, A.F.S., Batibeniz, F., Quilcaille, Y., Taschetto, A.S., Pitman, A.J., Zscheischler, J. (2025):
Increasing fire weather season overlap between North America and Australia challenges firefighting cooperation
Earth Future 13 (4), e2024EF005030
10.1029/2024EF005030 - Russo, A., Bento, V.A., Ribeiro, A.F.S., Lima, D.C.A., Careto, J.A.M., Soares, P.M.M., Libonati, R., Trigo, R.M., Gouveia, C.M. (2025):
Increased population exposure to extreme droughts in Iberia due to 0.5 °C additional anthropogenic warming
Environ. Res. Lett. 20 (1), art. 014075
10.1088/1748-9326/ad975d - Sweet, L.-B., Athanasiadis, I.N., van Bree, R., Castellano, A., Martre, P., Paudel, D., Ruane, A.C., Zscheischler, J. (2025):
Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modeling with machine learning
One Earth 8 (4), art. 101233
10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101233 - Woolway, R.I., Zhang, Y., Jennings, E., Zohary, T., Jane, S.F., Jansen, J., Weyhenmeyer, G.A., Long, D., Fleischmann, A., Feng, L., Qin, B., Shi, K., Shi, H., Wang, W., Tong, Y., Zhang, G., Zscheischler, J., Ren, Z., Jeppesen, E. (2025):
Extreme and compound events in lakes
Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 6 (9), 593 - 611
10.1038/s43017-025-00710-w - Yao, L., Leng, G., Yu, L., Li, H., Tang, Q., Python, A., Hall, J.W., Liao, X., Li, J., Qiu, J., Quaas, J., Huang, S., Jin, Y., Zscheischler, J., Peng, J. (2025):
Emergent constraints on global soil moisture projections under climate change
Commun. Earth Environ. 6 , art. 39
10.1038/s43247-025-02024-7 - Zscheischler, J., Raymond, C., Chen, Y., Le Grix, N., Libonati, R., Rogers, C.D.W., White, C.J., Wolski, P. (2025):
Compound weather and climate events in 2024
Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 6 (4), 240 - 242
10.1038/s43017-025-00657-y
2024 (34)
- Anand, M., Bohn, F.J., Camps-Valls, G., Fischer, R., Huth, A., Sweet, L.-B., Zscheischler, J. (2024):
Identifying compound weather drivers of forest biomass loss with generative deep learning
Environ. Data Sci. 3 , e4
10.1017/eds.2024.2 - Anand, M., Hamed, R., Linscheid, N., Silva, P.S., Andre, J., Zscheischler, J., Garry, F.K., Bastos, A. (2024):
Winter climate preconditioning of summer vegetation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere
Environ. Res. Lett. 19 (9), art. 094045
10.1088/1748-9326/ad627d - Auer, A., Gauch, M., Kratzert, F., Nearing, G., Hochreiter, S., Klotz, D. (2024):
A data-centric perspective on the information needed for hydrological uncertainty predictions
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 28 (17), 4099 - 4126
10.5194/hess-28-4099-2024 - Banfi, F., Bevacqua, E., Rivoire, P., Oliveira, S.C., Pinto, J.G., Ramos, A.M., De Michele, C. (2024):
Temporal clustering of precipitation for detection of potential landslides
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 24 (8), 2689 - 2704
10.5194/nhess-24-2689-2024 - Bevacqua, E., Rakovec, O., Schumacher, D.L., Kumar, R., Thober, S., Samaniego, L., Seneviratne, S.I., Zscheischler, J. (2024):
Direct and lagged climate change effects intensified the 2022 European drought
Nat. Geosci. 17 (11), 1100 - 1107
10.1038/s41561-024-01559-2 - Fang, B., Bevacqua, E., Rakovec, O., Zscheischler, J. (2024):
An increase in the spatial extent of European floods over the last 70 years
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 28 (16), 3755 - 3775
10.5194/hess-28-3755-2024 - Gimeno-Sotelo, L., Bevacqua, E., Fernández-Alvarez, J.C., Barriopedro, D., Zscheischler, J., Gimeno, L. (2024):
Projected changes in extreme daily precipitation linked to changes in precipitable water and vertical velocity in CMIP6 models
Atmos. Res. 304 , art. 107413
10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107413 - Guo, X., Gao, Y., Zhang, S., Cai, W., Chen, D., Leung, L.R., Zscheischler, J., Thompson, L., Davis, K., Qu, B., Gao, H., Wu, L. (2024):
Intensification of future subsurface marine heatwaves in an eddy-resolving model
Nat. Commun. 15 , art. 10777
10.1038/s41467-024-54946-z - Guo, X., Gao, Y., Zhang, S., Cai, W., Leung, L.R., Lu, J., Chen, X., Zscheischler, J., Thompson, L., Guan, B., Rutz, J., Guo, C., Kou, W., Cheng, W., Gao, H., Wu, L. (2024):
More high-impact atmospheric river-induced extreme precipitation events under warming in a high-resolution model
One Earth 7 (12), 2223 - 2234
10.1016/j.oneear.2024.11.009 - Jézéquel, A., Bastos, A., Wilson, A.M., Ramos, A.M., Shepherd, T.G., Stuart-Smith, R., Kimutai, J., Moemken, J., Zscheischler, J., Faranda, D., Lehner, F., Le Grix, N., Sippel, S., Bevacqua, E., Rufat, S., D'Andrea, F., Lloyd, E.A., Van Loon, A.F. (2024):
Broadening the scope of anthropogenic influence in extreme event attribution
Environ. Res. Clim. 3 (4), art. 042003
10.1088/2752-5295/ad7527 - Jiang, S., Sweet, L.-B., Blougouras, G., Brenning, A., Li, W., Reichstein, M., Denzler, J., Shangguan, W., Yu, G., Huang, F., Zscheischler, J. (2024):
How interpretable machine learning can benefit process understanding in the geosciences
Earth Future 12 (7), e2024EF004540
10.1029/2024EF004540 - Jiang, S., Tarasova, L., Yu, G., Zscheischler, J. (2024):
Compounding effects in flood drivers challenge estimates of extreme river floods
Sci. Adv. 10 (13), eadl4005
10.1126/sciadv.adl4005 - Klotz, D., Gauch, M., Kratzert, F., Nearing, G., Zscheischler, J. (2024):
Technical Note: The divide and measure nonconformity – how metrics can mislead when we evaluate on different data partitions
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 28 (15), 3665 - 3673
10.5194/hess-28-3665-2024 - Kratzert, F., Gauch, M., Klotz, D., Nearing, G. (2024):
HESS Opinions: Never train a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network on a single basin
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 28 (17), 4187 - 4201
10.5194/hess-28-4187-2024 - Lee, R., White, C.J., Adnan, M.S.G., Douglas, J., Mahecha, M.D., O'Loughlin, F.E., Patelli, E., Ramos, A.M., Roberts, M.J., Martius, O., Tubaldi, E., van den Hurk, B., Ward, P.J., Zscheischler, J. (2024):
Reclassifying historical disasters: From single to multi-hazards
Sci. Total Environ. 912 , art. 169120
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169120 - Lembo, V., Bordoni, S., Bevacqua, E., Domeisen, D.I.V., Franzke, C.L.E., Galfi, V.M., Garfinkel, C.I., Grams, C.M., Hochman, A., Jha, R., Kornhuber, K., Kwasniok, F., Lucarini, V., Messori, G., Pappert, D., Perez-Fernandez, I., Riboldi, J., Russo, E., Shaw, T.A., Strigunova, I., Strnad, F., Yiou, P., Zagar, N. (2024):
Dynamics, statistics, and predictability of Rossby waves, heat waves, and spatially compounding extreme events
Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 105 (12), E2283 - E2293
10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0145.1 - Li, D., Zscheischler, J., Chen, Y., Yin, B., Feng, J., Freund, M., Qi, J., Zhu, Y., Bevacqua, E. (2024):
Intensification and poleward shift of compound wind and precipitation extremes in a warmer climate
Geophys. Res. Lett. 51 (11), e2024GL110135
10.1029/2024GL110135 - Li, J., Zhang, Y., Bevacqua, E., Zscheischler, J., Keenan, T.F., Lian, X., Zhou, S., Zhang, H., He, M., Piao, S. (2024):
Future increase in compound soil drought-heat extremes exacerbated by vegetation greening
Nat. Commun. 15 , art. 10875
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Using LLMs to build a database of climate extreme impacts
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Generalizing tree–level sap flow across the European continent
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How to engage and adapt to unprecedented extremes
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Linking regional economic impacts of temperature-related disasters to underlying climatic hazards
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The perfect storm? Co-occurring climate extremes in East Africa
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VUB-HYDR/co_occurring_climate_extremes_in_east_africa (v.1.0.0)
Zenodo
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Compound drought and hot events assessment in Australia using copula functions
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Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated impacts
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Dataset of time-lagged fractions of burned area associated with land-use transitions and the number of years since transition [Data set]
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The time since land-use transition drives changes in fire activity in the Amazon-Cerrado region
Commun. Earth Environ. 5 , art. 96
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Drought risk management in agriculture: A copula perspective on crop diversification
Agric. Econ. 55 (5), 823 - 847
10.1111/agec.12851 - Sivaraj, S., Zscheischler, J., Buzan, J.R., Martius, O., Brönnimann, S., Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M. (2024):
Heat, humidity and health impacts: how causal diagrams can help tell the complex story
Environ. Res. Lett. 19 (7), art. 074069
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Data for "Characterizing heatwaves based on land surface energy budget"
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Characterizing heatwaves based on land surface energy budget
Commun. Earth Environ. 5 , art. 617
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Compound events in the coupled climate and socio-ecological system
iScience 27 (9), art. 110805
10.1016/j.isci.2024.110805
2023 (26)
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200,000 years of weather and quasi-stationary tree dynamics simulation for beech, pine, and spruce forests (1.0.0) [Data set]
Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.7708544 - Bastos, A., Sippel, S., Frank, D., Mahecha, M.D., Zaehle, S., Zscheischler, J., Reichstein, M. (2023):
A joint framework for studying compound ecoclimatic events
Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 4 (5), 333 - 350
10.1038/s43017-023-00410-3 - Bevacqua, E., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Jézéquel, A., Lehner, F., Vrac, M., Yiou, P., Zscheischler, J. (2023):
Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations
Nat. Commun. 14 , art. 2145
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Ten new insights in climate science 2023/2024
Glob. Sustain. 7 , e19
10.1017/sus.2023.25 - Fan, X., Miao, C., Zscheischler, J., Slater, L., Wu, Y., Chai, Y., AghaKouchak, A. (2023):
Escalating hot-dry extremes amplify compound fire weather risk
Earth Future 11 (11), e2023EF003976
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Extreme rainfall reduces one-twelfth of China’s rice yield over the last two decades
Nat. Food 4 (5), 416 - 426
10.1038/s43016-023-00753-6 - Gampe, D., Zscheischler, J., Reichstein, M., O’Sullivan, M., Smith, W.K., Sitch, S., Buermann, W. (2023):
Publisher Correction: Increasing impact of warm droughts on northern ecosystem productivity over recent decades
Nat. Clim. Chang. 13 (11), art. 1272
10.1038/s41558-023-01731-3 - García-García, A., Cuesta-Valero, F.J., Miralles, D.G., Mahecha, M., Quaas, J., Reichstein, M., Zscheischler, J., Peng, J. (2023):
Soil heat extremes can outpace air temperature extremes
Nat. Clim. Chang. 13 (11), 1237 - 1241
10.1038/s41558-023-01812-3 - Gimeno-Sotelo, L., Bevacqua, E., Gimeno, L. (2023):
Combinations of drivers that most favor the occurrence of daily precipitation extremes
Atmos. Res. 294 , art. 109695
10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106959 - Gu, L., Gentine, P., Wang, H.-M., Slater, L.J., Sullivan, S.C., Chen, J., Zscheischler, J., Guo, S. (2023):
Large anomalies in future extreme precipitation sensitivity driven by atmospheric dynamics
Nat. Commun. 14 , art. 3197
10.1038/s41467-023-39039-7 - Günther, W., Miersch, P., Ninad, U., Runge, J. (2023):
Clustering of causal graphs to explore drivers of river discharge
Environ. Data Sci. 2 , e25
10.1017/eds.2023.17 - Le Grix, N., Cheung, W.L., Reygondeau, G., Zscheischler, J., Frölicher, T.L. (2023):
Extreme and compound ocean events are key drivers of projected low pelagic fish biomass
Glob. Change Biol. 29 (23), 6478 - 6492
10.1111/gcb.16968 - Li, J., Bevacqua, E., Wang, Z., Sitch, S., Arora, V., Arneth, A., Jain, A.K., Goll, D., Tian, H., Zscheischler, J. (2023):
Hydroclimatic extremes contribute to asymmetric trends in ecosystem productivity loss
Commun. Earth Environ. 4 , art. 197
10.1038/s43247-023-00869-4 - Li, X., Piao, S., Huntingford, C., Peñuelas, J., Yang, H., Xu, H., Chen, A., Friedlingstein, P., Keenan, T.F., Sitch, S., Wang, X., Zscheischler, J., Mahecha, M.D. (2023):
Global variations in critical drought thresholds that impact vegetation
Natl. Sci. Rev. 10 (5), nwad049
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Optimal heat stress metric for modelling heat-related mortality varies from country to country
Int. J. Climatol. 43 (12), 5553 - 5568
10.1002/joc.8160 - Manning, C., Widmann, M., Maraun, D., Van Loon, A.F., Bevacqua, E. (2023):
Large spread in the representation of compound long-duration dry and hot spells over Europe in CMIP5
Weather Clim. Dynam. 4 , 309 - 329
10.5194/wcd-4-309-2023 - Mukherjee, S., Mishra, A.K., Zscheischler, J., Entekhabi, D. (2023):
Interaction between dry and hot extremes at a global scale using a cascade modeling framework
Nat. Commun. 14 , art. 277
10.1038/s41467-022-35748-7 - Qian, C., Ye, Y., Bevacqua, E., Zscheischler, J. (2023):
Human influences on spatially compounding flooding and heatwave events in China and future increasing risks
Weather Clim. Extremes 42 , art. 100616
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Insights into the drivers and spatiotemporal trends of extreme Mediterranean wildfires with statistical deep learning
Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems (AIES) 2 (4), e220095
10.1175/AIES-D-22-0095.1 - Sweet, L.-B., Müller, C., Anand, M., Zscheischler, J. (2023):
Cross-validation strategy impacts the performance and interpretation of machine learning models
Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems (AIES) 2 (4), e230026
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Large variability in simulated response of vegetation composition and carbon dynamics to variations in drought-heat occurrence
J. Geophys. Res.-Biogeosci. 128 (4), e2022JG007332
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Consideration of compound drivers and impacts in the disaster risk reduction cycle
iScience 26 (3), art. 106030
10.1016/j.isci.2023.106030 - Westra, S., Zscheischler, J. (2023):
Accounting for systemic complexity in the assessment of climate risk
One Earth 6 (6), 645 - 655
10.1016/j.oneear.2023.05.005 - Wider, J., Kruse, J., Weitzel, N., Bühler, J.C., Köthe, U., Rehfeld, K. (2023):
Towards learned emulation of interannual water isotopologue variations in General Circulation Models
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The detection and attribution of extreme reductions in vegetation growth across the global land surface
Glob. Change Biol. 29 (8), 2351 - 2362
10.1111/gcb.16595 - Zhang, B., Wang, S., Zscheischler, J., Moradkhani, H. (2023):
Higher exposure of poorer people to emerging weather whiplash in a warmer world
Geophys. Res. Lett. 50 (21), e2023GL105640
10.1029/2023GL105640
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Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events
Nat. Clim. Chang. 12 (4), 350 - 355
10.1038/s41558-022-01309-5 - Boulaguiem, Y., Zscheischler, J., Vignotto, E., van der Wiel, K., Engelke, S. (2022):
Modeling and simulating spatial extremes by combining extreme value theory with generative adversarial networks
Environ. Data Sci. 1 , e5
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Threat by marine heatwaves to adaptive large marine ecosystems in an eddy-resolving model
Nat. Clim. Chang. 12 (2), 179 - 186
10.1038/s41558-021-01266-5 - Jiang, S., Bevacqua, E., Zscheischler, J. (2022):
River flooding mechanisms and their changes in Europe revealed by explainable machine learning
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 26 (24), 6339 - 6359
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Hotspots and drivers of compound marine heatwaves and low net primary production extremes
Biogeosciences 19 (24), 5807 - 5835
10.5194/bg-19-5807-2022 - Li, D., Chen, Y., Messmer, M., Zhu, Y., Feng, J., Yin, B., Bevacqua, E. (2022):
Compound wind and precipitation extremes across the Indo-Pacific: Climatology, variability and drivers
Geophys. Res. Lett. 49 (14), e2022GL098594
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Regional asymmetry in the response of global vegetation growth to springtime compound climate events
Commun. Earth Environ. 3 , art. 123
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A severe landslide event in the Alpine foreland under possible future climate and land-use changes
Commun. Earth Environ. 3 , art. 87
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Zenodo
10.5281/zenodo.6036814 - Marcolongo, A., Vladymyrov, M., Lienert, S., Peleg, N., Haug, S., Zscheischler, J. (2022):
Predicting years with extremely low gross primary production from daily weather data using Convolutional Neural Networks
Environ. Data Sci. 1 , e2
10.1017/eds.2022.1 - Orth, R., O, S., Zscheischler, J., Mahecha, M.D., Reichstein, M. (2022):
Contrasting biophysical and societal impacts of hydro-meteorological extremes
Environ. Res. Lett. 17 (1), art. 014044
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A compound event-oriented framework to tropical fire risk assessment in a changing climate
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Stochastic downscaling of gridded precipitation to spatially coherent subgrid precipitation fields using a transformed Gaussian model
Int. J. Climatol. 42 (12), 6126 - 6147
10.1002/joc.7581 - Tschumi, E., Lienert, S., van der Wiel, K., Joos, F., Zscheischler, J. (2022):
A climate database with varying drought-heat signatures for climate impact modelling
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10.1002/gdj3.129 - Tschumi, E., Lienert, S., van der Wiel, K., Joos, F., Zscheischler, J. (2022):
The effects of varying drought-heat signatures on terrestrial carbon dynamics and vegetation composition
Biogeosciences 19 (7), 1979 - 1993
10.5194/bg-19-1979-2022 - Tuel, A., Schaefli, B., Zscheischler, J., Martius, O. (2022):
On the links between sub-seasonal clustering of extreme precipitation and high discharge in Switzerland and Europe
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 26 (10), 2649 - 2669
10.5194/hess-26-2649-2022 - Zscheischler, J., Lehner, F. (2022):
Attributing compound events to anthropogenic climate change
Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 103 (3), E936 - E953
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Weather Clim. Extremes 35 , art. 100381
10.1016/j.wace.2021.100381
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Guidelines for studying diverse types of compound weather and climate events
Earth Future 9 (11), e2021EF002340
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Larger spatial footprint of wintertime total precipitation extremes in a warmer climate
Geophys. Res. Lett. 48 (8), e2020GL091990
10.1029/2020GL091990 - Gampe, D., Zscheischler, J., Reichstein, M., O’Sullivan, M., Smith, W.K., Sitch, S., Buermann, W. (2021):
Increasing impact of warm droughts on northern ecosystem productivity over recent decades
Nat. Clim. Chang. 11 (9), 772 - 779
10.1038/s41558-021-01112-8 - Le Grix, N., Zscheischler, J., Laufkötter, C., Rousseaux, C.S., Frölicher, T.L. (2021):
Compound high-temperature and low-chlorophyll extremes in the ocean over the satellite period
Biogeosciences 18 (6), 2119 - 2137
10.5194/bg-18-2119-2021 - Lesk, C., Coffel, E., Winter, J., Ray, D., Zscheischler, J., Seneviratne, S.I., Horton, R. (2021):
Stronger temperature–moisture couplings exacerbate the impact of climate warming on global crop yields
Nat. Food 2 (9), 683 - 691
10.1038/s43016-021-00341-6 - Li, J., Wang, Z., Wu, X., Zscheischler, J., Guo, S., Chen, X. (2021):
A standardized index for assessing sub-monthly compound dry and hot conditions with application in China
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 25 (3), 1587 - 1601
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Compound climate events and extremes in the midlatitudes: Dynamics, simulation, and statistical characterization
Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. 102 (4), E774 - E781
10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0289.1 - Sillmann, J., Shepherd, T.G., van den Hurk, B., Hazeleger, W., Martius, O., Slingo, J., Zscheischler, J. (2021):
Event‐based storylines to address climate risk
Earth Future 9 (2), e2020EF001783
10.1029/2020EF001783 - Van de Walle, J., Thiery, W., Brogli, R., Martius, O., Zscheischler, J., van Lipzig, N.P.M. (2021):
Future intensification of precipitation and wind gust associated thunderstorms over Lake Victoria
Weather Clim. Extremes 34 , art. 100391
10.1016/j.wace.2021.100391 - Vignotto, E., Engelke, S., Zscheischler, J. (2021):
Clustering bivariate dependencies of compound precipitation and wind extremes over Great Britain and Ireland
Weather Clim. Extremes 32 , art. 100318
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Towards a compound-event-oriented climate model evaluation: a decomposition of the underlying biases in multivariate fire and heat stress hazards
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 21 (6), 1867 - 1885
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Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts: an application to simulated crop yields
Earth Syst. Dynam. 12 (1), 151 - 172
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Novel multivariate quantile mapping methods for ensemble post-processing of medium-range forecasts
Weather Clim. Extremes 32 , art. 100310
10.1016/j.wace.2021.100310 - Woolway, R.I., Kraemer, B.M., Zscheischler, J., Albergel, C. (2021):
Compound hot temperature and high chlorophyll extreme events in global lakes
Environ. Res. Lett. 16 (12), art. 124066
10.1088/1748-9326/ac3d5a - Zscheischler, J., Naveau, P., Martius, O., Engelke, S., Raible, C.C. (2021):
Evaluating the dependence structure of compound precipitation and wind speed extremes
Earth Syst. Dynam. 12 (1), 1 - 16
10.5194/esd-12-1-2021