Publication Details |
| Category | Text Publication |
| Reference Category | Journals |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41558-025-02246-9 |
Licence  |
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| Title (Primary) | A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20 yr period that will exceed the Paris Agreement limit |
| Author | Bevacqua, E.
; Schleussner, C.-F.; Zscheischler, J.
|
| Source Titel | Nature Climate Change |
| Year | 2025 |
| Department | CER |
| Volume | 15 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Page From | 262 |
| Page To | 265 |
| Language | englisch |
| Topic | T5 Future Landscapes |
| Data and Software links | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14637944 |
| Abstract | The temperature goals of the Paris Agreement are measured as 20-year averages exceeding a pre-industrial baseline. The calendar year of 2024 was announced as the first above 1.5 °C relative to pre-industrial levels, but the implications for the corresponding temperature goal are unclear. Here we show that, without very stringent climate mitigation, the first year above 1.5 °C occurs within the first 20-year period with an average warming of 1.5 °C. |
| Persistent UFZ Identifier | https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=30364 |
| Bevacqua, E., Schleussner, C.-F., Zscheischler, J. (2025): A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20 yr period that will exceed the Paris Agreement limit Nat. Clim. Chang. 15 (3), 262 - 265 10.1038/s41558-025-02246-9 |
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