Publication Details |
| Category | Text Publication |
| Reference Category | Journals |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41558-021-01266-5 |
Licence  |
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| Title (Primary) | Threat by marine heatwaves to adaptive large marine ecosystems in an eddy-resolving model |
| Author | Guo, X.; Gao, Y.; Zhang, S.; Wu, L.; Chang, P.; Cai, W.; Zscheischler, J.
; Leung, L.R.; Small, J.; Danabasoglu, G.; Thompson, L.; Gao, H. |
| Source Titel | Nature Climate Change |
| Year | 2022 |
| Department | CHS |
| Volume | 12 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Page From | 179 |
| Page To | 186 |
| Language | englisch |
| Topic | T5 Future Landscapes |
| Data and Software links | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3637771 |
| Supplements | https://static-content.springer.com/esm/art%3A10.1038%2Fs41558-021-01266-5/MediaObjects/41558_2021_1266_MOESM1_ESM.pdf |
| Abstract | Marine heatwaves (MHWs), episodic periods of abnormally high sea surface temperature, severely affect marine ecosystems. Large marine ecosystems (LMEs) cover ~22% of the global ocean but account for 95% of global fisheries catches. Yet how climate change affects MHWs over LMEs remains unknown because such LMEs are confined to the coast where low-resolution climate models are known to have biases. Here, using a high-resolution Earth system model and applying a ‘future threshold’ that considers MHWs as anomalous warming above the long-term mean warming of sea surface temperatures, we find that future intensity and annual days of MHWs over the majority of the LMEs remain higher than in the present-day climate. Better resolution of ocean mesoscale eddies enables simulation of more realistic MHWs than low-resolution models. These increases in MHWs under global warming pose a serious threat to LMEs, even if resident organisms could adapt fully to the long-term mean warming. |
| Persistent UFZ Identifier | https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=25782 |
| Guo, X., Gao, Y., Zhang, S., Wu, L., Chang, P., Cai, W., Zscheischler, J., Leung, L.R., Small, J., Danabasoglu, G., Thompson, L., Gao, H. (2022): Threat by marine heatwaves to adaptive large marine ecosystems in an eddy-resolving model Nat. Clim. Chang. 12 (2), 179 - 186 10.1038/s41558-021-01266-5 |
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