Publication Details

Category Data Publication
DOI 10.5281/zenodo.10497344
Licence creative commons licence
Title (Primary) Dataset of time-lagged fractions of burned area associated with land-use transitions and the number of years since transition [Data set]
Author Ribeiro, A.F.S.; Santos, L.; Randerson, J.T.; Uribe, M.R.; Alencar, A.A.C.; Macedo, M.N.; Morton, D.C.; Zscheischler, J. ORCID logo ; Silvestrini, R.A.; Rattis, L.; Seneviratne, S.I.; Brando, P.M.
Source Titel Zenodo
Year 2024
Department CER
Language englisch
Topic T5 Future Landscapes
Abstract Deforestation and climate change are expected to alter fire regimes along the Cerrado-Amazon transition, one of the world’s most active agricultural frontiers. Here we tested the hypothesis that the time since land-use transition (age of frontier) and agricultural intensification also drive changes in the region’s fire regimes by reducing fire probability in both drought and non-drought years. We modeled fire probability as a function of the time since land-use transitions based on MapBiomas Project datasets from 1986 to 2020. We find that, while burned area declined as pasturelands aged and croplands advanced, deforestation abruptly increased fire activity before (Amazon: 4 years; Cerrado: 3 years) and after (Amazon: 8 years; Cerrado: 7 years) land clearing for pasture, especially in the Amazon. Additionally, the combination of ignition risk, drought, and air-dryness increased the likelihood of large extents of burned areas associated with deforestation. Incorporating frontier age as a proxy for governance in fire modeling is crucial, given the ecological implications of changing fire regimes despite declining rates of fire probability. Most importantly, protecting against deforestation and preserving native vegetation are vital.
linked UFZ text publications
Persistent UFZ Identifier https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=28894
Ribeiro, A.F.S., Santos, L., Randerson, J.T., Uribe, M.R., Alencar, A.A.C., Macedo, M.N., Morton, D.C., Zscheischler, J., Silvestrini, R.A., Rattis, L., Seneviratne, S.I., Brando, P.M. (2024):
Dataset of time-lagged fractions of burned area associated with land-use transitions and the number of years since transition [Data set]
Zenodo 10.5281/zenodo.10497344