Jonas Brock - Helmholtz-Centre for Environmental Research

Dr. Jonas Brock

Project Group: Ecological Epidemiology (EcoEpi)

Contact

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ
Department of Ecological Modelling
Permoserstr. 15
04318 Leipzig
Germany

Tel.: +49 341 235-1716
jonas.brock@ufz.de

Biography & Research

Jonas graduated from Friedrich Schiller University Jena (Germany) in 2018, with a degree in Geoinformatics and a specialisation in Data Science. In 2018, he joined Animal Health Ireland and the UFZ to pursue a PhD developing the economic modelling required in the planning of national virus control programmes in the cattle sector in Ireland.

A major component of this work is the development of epidemiological models that replicate the spread of infectious diseases in the Irish cattle population. These models are used to simulate the possible options and alternatives available when planning national disease control programmes in line with the new European Animal Health Law

Jonas was awarded his PhD in 2021 from the Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science from the Friedrich Schiller University in Jena for his research on epidemiological modelling of IBR control and eradication. In addition, he was also awarded the Konrad-Boegel-Award from the University of Veterinary Medicine Hannover (Germany), in recognition for his outstanding work in the field of veterinary epidemiology.

Following the award of his PhD, Jonas is continuing to work with AHI as an assistant programme manager, with a primary focus on BVD and IBR and continues to work closely with the UFZ and the EcoEpi Group as a guest scientist.

His research interests are:

- strategtic planning of virus control programmes
- cost-benefit analysis
- quantitative epidemiology
- epidemiological modeling
- data science challenges
- science communication

Publications

Brock, J., Lange, M., Tratalos, J.A., Meunier, N., Guelbenzu-Gonzalo, M., More, S.J., Thulke, H.-H., Graham, D.A., (2022):
The Irish cattle population structured by enterprise type: overview, trade & trends
Irish Vet. J. 75 , art. 6
full text (doi)
Nolzen, H., Brugger, K., Reichold, A., Brock, J., Lange, M., Thulke, H.-H., (2022):
Model-based extrapolation of ecological systems under future climate scenarios: The example of Ixodes ricinus ticks
PLOS One 17 (4), e0267196
full text (doi)
Brock, J., (2021):
Decision support using advanced modelling concepts in Epidemiology: enhancing future bovine herpesvirus type 1 eradication in Ireland
Dissertation, Friedrich-Schiller Universität Jena
172 pp.
full text (url)
Brock, J., Lange, M., Tratalos, J.A., More, S.J., Graham, D.A., Guelbenzu-Gonzalo, M., Thulke, H.-H., (2021):
Combining expert knowledge and machine-learning to classify herd types in livestock systems
Sci. Rep. 11 , art. 2989
full text (doi)
Brock, J., Lange, M., Tratalos, J.A., More, S.J., Guelbenzu-Gonzalo, M., Graham, D.A., Thulke, H.-H., (2021):
A large-scale epidemiological model of BoHV-1 spread in the Irish cattle population to support decision-making in conformity with the European Animal Health Law
Prev. Vet. Med. 192 , art. 105375
full text (doi)
Brock, J., Lange, M., Tratalos, J., Guelbenzu-Gonzalo, M., More, S.J., Graham, D., Thulke, H.-H., (2021):
A large-scale epidemiological model of the Irish cattle population to support decision-making in the context of BoHV-1 control
In: van Schaik, G., Brennan, M., (eds.)
Proceedings of the SVEPM annual meeting held online, 24-26 March 2021
Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, p. 115 - 127
Brock, J., Lange, M., Guelbenzu-Gonzalo, M., Meunier, N., Vaz, A.M., Tratalos, J.A., Dittrich, P., Gunn, M., More, S.J., Graham, D., Thulke, H.-H., (2020):
Epidemiology of age-dependent prevalence of Bovine Herpes Virus Type 1 (BoHV-1) in dairy herds with and without vaccination
Vet. Res. 51 , art. 124
full text (doi)
Brock, J., Lange, M., More, S.J., Graham, D., Thulke, H.-H., (2020):
Reviewing age-structured epidemiological models of cattle diseases tailored to support management decisions: Guidance for the future
Prev. Vet. Med. 174 , art. 104814
full text (doi)
Brock, J., Schratz, P., Petschko, H., Muenchow, J., Micu, M., Brenning, A., (2020):
The performance of landslide susceptibility models critically depends on the quality of digital elevations models
Geomat. Nat. Hazards Risk 11 (1), 1075 - 1092
full text (doi)
Muenchow, J., Dieker, P., Böttcher, T., Brock, J., Didenko, G., Fremout, T., Jakubka, D., Jentsch, A., Nüst, D., Richter, M., Rodríguez, E.F., Rodríguez, R.A., Rollenbeck, R., Zarsosa, P.S., Schratz, P., Brenning, A., (2020):
Monitoring and predictive mapping of floristic biodiversity along a climatic gradient in ENSO's terrestrial core region, NW Peru
Ecography 43 (12), 1878 - 1890
full text (doi)

Awards

Konrad-Bögel-Award for veterinary epidemiology and public health (Stiftung Tierärztliche Hochschule Hannover) for his doctoral thesis: "Decision support using advanced modelling concepts in Epidemiology : enhancing future bovine herpesvirus type 1 eradication in Ireland"

Award from the Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine for his conference poster: "Pitfalls in the analysis of age-dependent prevalence data"

Award for Young Scientists of the German Society for Veterinary Medicine for his conference talk: "Modelling the regional BVDV surveillance programme in Saxony-Anhalt"

Thesis Award from the Faculty of Geosciences and Chemistry of the Friedrich Schiller University Jena for his Master's thesis: "Assessing the effects of DEM products on statistical and machine-learning models of landslide susceptibility"

Award for Young Scientists of the German Society for Veterinary Medicine for his conference poster: "Structuring the mess: Disentangling disease models for cattle populations"

CV

Mar. 2021 - current	Assistant programme manager BVD & IBR at Animal Health Ireland & Guest Scientist at Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
Apr. 2018 - Mar. 2021	PhD student at Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
Apr. 2018 - Mar. 2021	Research Analyst & Quantitative Modeller at Animal Health Ireland
Oct. 2015 - Mar. 2018	Master of Science (M.Sc.) Geoinformatics at Friedrich Schiller University Jena Specialisation: Machine-learning techniques and predictive statistics

Contact

Leiterin: Prof. Dr. Karin Frank
Karin Frank

Assistenz: Nadine Pankow
Nadine Pankow
Telefon: +49 341 235-1279

Location

OESA Seminars

23 May 2022, 2 p.m.

" B3GET: A generalized agent-based model of primate ecology, evolution, and social behavior"

Dr. Kristin Crouse

University of Sao Paulo, Brazil

4 May 2022, 10.00 a.m.

"Sylvatic yellow fever: development of an agent-based model to investigate the spread of yellow fever virus between fragmented landscapes"

Antonio Medeiros de Sousa

University of Minnesota

15 March 2022, 02.00 p.m.

"Alternative models for alternative futures: the scope for agent-based, social-ecological modelling of the land system"

Calum Brown

Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Land Use Change & Climate Research Group

27 July 2021, 02.00 p.m.

Model-based extrapolation of epidemiological systems for future climate scenarios using the example of Ixodes ricinus ticks

Henning Nolzen

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ Department Ecological Modelling (OESA)

Effects of Climate Change on German Forest Systems

Friedrich Bohn

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ Department Ecological Modelling (OESA)

OESA News

New publication

Ecological-Economic Modelling for Biodiversity Conservation Cambridge University Press

mit Martin Drechsler

Groups

POLISES

„Policy Instruments and Socio-Environmental Systems under Global Change”

www.polises.de

FORMIND

„FORMIND is an individual-based vegetation model that simulates the growth of species-rich forest”

www.formind.org

EcoEpi

„PG Ecological epidemiology - Model family addressing health crisis in populations”

www.ecoepi.eu

Video

Selected Publications

Duncanson, L., Kellner, J.R., Armston, J., Dubayah, R., Minor, D.M., Hancock, S., Healey, S.P., Patterson, P.L., Saarela, S., Marselis, S., Silva, C.E., Bruening, J., Goetz, S.J., Tang, H., Hofton, M., Blair, B., Luthcke, S., Fatoyinbo, L., Abernethy, K., Alonso, A., Andersen, H.-E., Aplin, P., Baker, T.R., Barbier, N., Bastin, J.F., Biber, P., Boeckx, P., Bogaert, J., Boschetti, L., Brehm Boucher, P., Boyd, D.S., Burslem, D.F.R.P., Calvo-Rodriguez, S., Chave, J., Chazdon, R.L., Clark, D.B., Clark, D.A., Cohen, W.B., Coomes, D.A., Corona, P., Cushman, K.C., Cutler, M.E.J., Dalling, J.W., Dalponte, M., Dash, J., de-Miguel, S., Deng, S., Woods Ellis, P., Erasmus, B., Fekety, P.A., Fernandez-Landa, A., Ferraz, A., Fischer, R., Fisher, A.G., García-Abril, A., Gobakken, T., Hacker, J.M., Heurich, M., Hill, R.A., Hopkinson, C., Huang, H., Hubbell, S.P., Hudak, A.T., Huth, A., Imbach, B., Jeffery, K.J., Katoh, M., Kearsley, E., Kenfack, D., Kljun, N., Knapp, N., Král, K., Krůček, M., Labrière, N., Lewis, S.L., Longo, M., Lucas, R.M., Main, R., Manzanera, J.A., Vásquez Martínez, R., Mathieu, R., Memiaghe, H., Meyer, V., Monteagudo Mendoza, A., Monerris, A., Montesano, P., Morsdorf, F., Næsset, E., Naidoo, L., Nilus, R., O’Brien, M., Orwig, D.A., Papathanassiou, K., Parker, G., Philipson, C., Phillips, O.L., Pisek, J., Poulsen, J.R., Pretzsch, H., Rüdiger, C., Saatchi, S., Sanchez-Azofeifa, A., Sanchez-Lopez, N., Scholes, R., Silva, C.A., Simard, M., Skidmore, A., Stereńczak, K., Tanase, M., Torresan, C., Valbuena, R., Verbeeck, H., Vrska, T., Wessels, K., White, J.C., White, L.J.T., Zahabu, E., Zgraggen, C., (2022):
Aboveground biomass density models for NASA’s Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) lidar mission
Remote Sens. Environ. 270 , art. 112845
full text (doi)
Fleming, C.H., Deznabi, I., Alavi, S., Crofoot, M.C., Hirsch, B.T., Medici, E.P., Noonan, M.J., Kays, R., Fagan, W.F., Sheldon, D.R., Calabrese, J.M., (2022):
Population-level inference for home-range areas
Methods Ecol. Evol. 13 (5), 1027 - 1041
full text (doi)
Li, S., Abdulkadir, N., Schattenberg, F., Nunes da Rocha, U., Grimm, V., Müller, S., Liu, Z., (2022):
Stabilizing microbial communities by looped mass transfer
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 119 (17), e2117814119
full text (doi)
Silva, I., Fleming, C.H., Noonan, M.J., Alston, J., Folta, C., Fagan, W.F., Calabrese, J.M., (2022):
Autocorrelation-informed home range estimation: a review and practical guide
Methods Ecol. Evol. 13 (3), 534 - 544
full text (doi)
Archidona-Yuste, A., Wiegand, T., Eisenhauer, N., Cantalapiedra-Navarrete, C., Palomares-Rius, J.E., Castillo, P., (2021):
Agriculture causes homogenization of plant-feeding nematode communities at the regional scale
J. Appl. Ecol. 58 (12), 2881 - 2891
full text (doi)
Bader, M.Y., Llambí, L.D., Case, B.S., Buckley, H.L., Toivonen, J.M., Camarero, J.J., Cairns, D.M., Brown, C.D., Wiegand, T., Resler, L.M., (2021):
A global framework for linking alpine‐treeline ecotone patterns to underlying processes
Ecography 44 (2), 265 - 292
full text (doi)
Brock, J., Lange, M., Tratalos, J.A., More, S.J., Guelbenzu-Gonzalo, M., Graham, D.A., Thulke, H.-H., (2021):
A large-scale epidemiological model of BoHV-1 spread in the Irish cattle population to support decision-making in conformity with the European Animal Health Law
Prev. Vet. Med. 192 , art. 105375
full text (doi)
Bruening, J.M., Fischer, R., Bohn, F.J., Armston, J., Armstrong, A.H., Knapp, N., Tang, H., Huth, A., Dubayah, R., (2021):
Challenges to aboveground biomass prediction from waveform lidar
Environ. Res. Lett. 16 (12), art. 125013
full text (doi)
Clark, A.T., Arnoldi, J.-F., Zelnik, Y.R., Barabas, G., Hodapp, D., Karakoç, C., König, S., Radchuk, V., Donohue, I., Huth, A., Jacquet, C., de Mazancourt, C., Mentges, A., Nothaaß, D., Shoemaker, L.G., Taubert, F., Wiegand, T., Wang, S., Chase, J.M., Loreau, M., Harpole, S., (2021):
General statistical scaling laws for stability in ecological systems
Ecol. Lett. 24 (7), 1474 - 1486
full text (doi)
Cuni-Sanchez, A., Sullivan, M.J.P., Platts, P.J., Lewis, S.L., Marchant, R., Imani, G., Hubau, W., Abiem, I., Adhikari, H., Albrecht, T., Altman, J., Amani, C., Aneseyee, A.B., Avitabile, V., Banin, L., Batumike, R., Bauters, M., Beeckman, H., Begne, S.K., Bennett, A.C., Bitariho, R., Boeckx, P., Bogaert, J., Bräuning, A., Bulonvu, F., Hiltner, U., Horak, D., et al., (2021):
High aboveground carbon stock of African tropical montane forests
Nature 596 (7873), 536 - 542
full text (doi)
Drechsler, M., Gerling, C., Keuler, K., Leins, J., Sturm, A., Wätzold, F., (2021):
A quantitative approach for the design of robust and cost-effective conservation policies under uncertain climate change: The case of grasshopper conservation in Schleswig-Holstein, Germany
J. Environ. Manage. 286 , art. 113201
full text (doi)
Fischer, R., Taubert, F., Müller, M.S., Groeneveld, J., Lehmann, S., Wiegand, T., Huth, A., (2021):
Accelerated forest fragmentation leads to critical increase in tropical forest edge area
Sci. Adv. 7 (37), eabg7012
full text (doi)
Habtemariam, L.T., Will, M., Müller, B., (2021):
Agricultural insurance through the lens of rural household dietary diversity
Glob. Food Secur. 28 , art. 100485
full text (doi)
Keil, P., Wiegand, T., Tóth, A.B., McGlinn, D.J., Chase, J.M., (2021):
Measurement and analysis of interspecific spatial associations as a facet of biodiversity
Ecol. Monogr. 91 (3), e01452
full text (doi)
Noonan, M.J., Martinez‐Garcia, R., Davis, G.H., Crofoot, M.C., Kays, R., Hirsch, B.T., Caillaud, D., Payne, E., Sih, A., Sinn, D.L., Spiegel, O., Fagan, W.F., Fleming, C.H., Calabrese, J.M., (2021):
Estimating encounter location distributions from animal tracking data
Methods Ecol. Evol. 12 (7), 1158 - 1173
full text (doi)
Perea, A.J., Wiegand, T., Garrido, J.L., Rey, P.J., Alcántara, J.M., (2021):
Legacy effects of seed dispersal mechanisms shape the spatial interaction network of plant species in Mediterranean forests
J. Ecol. 109 (10), 3670 - 3684
full text (doi)
Proesmans, W., Albrecht, M., Gajda, A., Neumann, P., Paxton, R.J., Pioz, M., Polzin, C., Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Szentgyörgyi, H., Thulke, H.-H., Vanbergen, A.J., (2021):
Pathways for novel epidemiology: Plant–pollinator–pathogen networks and global change
Trends Ecol. Evol. 36 (7), 623 - 636
full text (doi)
Steger, C., Hirsch, S., Cosgrove, C., Inman, S., Nost, E., Shinbrot, X., Thorn, J.P.R., Brown, D.G., Grêt-Regamey, A., Müller, B., Reid, R.S., Tucker, C., Weibel, B., Klein, J.A., (2021):
Linking model design and application for transdisciplinary approaches in social-ecological systems
Glob. Environ. Change 66 , art. 102201
full text (doi)
Steger, C., Klein, J.A., Reid, R.S., Lavorel, S., Tucker, C., Hopping, K.A., Marchant, R., Teel, T., Cuni-Sanchez, A., Dorji, T., Greenwood, G., Huber, R., Kassam, K.-A., Kreuer, D., Nolin, A., Russell, A., Sharp, J.L., Šmid Hribar, M., Thorn, J.P.R., Grant, G., Mahdi, M., Moreno, M., Waiswa, D., (2021):
Science with society: Evidence-based guidance for best practices in environmental transdisciplinary work
Glob. Environ. Change 68 , art. 102240
full text (doi)
Weitere, M., Altenburger, R., Anlanger, C., Baborowski, M., Bärlund, I., Beckers, L.-M., Borchardt, D., Brack, W., Brase, L., Busch, W., Chatzinotas, A., Deutschmann, B., Eligehausen, J., Frank, K., Graeber, D., Griebler, C., Hagemann, J., Herzsprung, P., Hollert, H., Inostroza, P.A., Jäger, C.G., Kallies, R., Kamjunke, N., Karrasch, B., Kaschuba, S., Kaus, A., Klauer, B., Knöller, K., Koschorreck, M., Krauss, M., Kunz, J.V., Kurz, M.J., Liess, M., Mages, M., Müller, C., Muschket, M., Musolff, A., Norf, H., Pöhlein, F., Reiber, L., Risse-Buhl, U., Schramm, K.-W., Schmitt-Jansen, M., Schmitz, M., Strachauer, U., von Tümpling, W., Weber, N., Wild, R., Wolf, C., Brauns, M., (2021):
Disentangling multiple chemical and non-chemical stressors in a lotic ecosystem using a longitudinal approach
Sci. Total Environ. 769 , art. 144324
full text (doi)
Wiegand, T., Wang, X., Anderson-Teixeira, K.-J., Bourg, N.A., Cao, M., Ci, X., Davies, S.J., Hao, Z., Howe, R.W., Kress, W.J., Lian, J., Li, J., Lin, L., Lin, Y., Ma, K., McShea, W., Mi, X., Su, S.-H., Sun, I.-F., Wolf, A., Ye, W., Huth, A., (2021):
Consequences of spatial patterns for coexistence in species-rich plant communities
Nat. Ecol. Evol. 5 (7), 965 - 973
full text (doi)
Berzaghi, F., Wright, I.J., Kramer, K., Oddou-Muratorio, S., Bohn, F.J., Reyer, C.P.O., Sabaté, S., Sanders, T.G.M., Hartig, F., (2020):
Towards a new generation of trait-flexible vegetation models
Trends Ecol. Evol. 35 (3), 191 - 205
full text (doi)
Fedriani, J.M., Ayllón, D., Wiegand, T., Grimm, V., (2020):
Intertwined effects of defaunation, increased tree mortality, and density compensation on seed dispersal
Ecography 43 (9), 1352 - 1363
full text (doi)
Grimm, V., Johnston, A.S.A., Thulke, H.-H., Forbes, V.E., Thorbek, P., (2020):
Three questions to ask before using model outputs for decision support
Nat. Commun. 11 , art. 4959
full text (doi)
Knapp, N., Fischer, R., Cazcarra-Bes, V., Huth, A., (2020):
Structure metrics to generalize biomass estimation from lidar across forest types from different continents
Remote Sens. Environ. 237 , art. 111597
full text (doi)
Muenchow, J., Dieker, P., Böttcher, T., Brock, J., Didenko, G., Fremout, T., Jakubka, D., Jentsch, A., Nüst, D., Richter, M., Rodríguez, E.F., Rodríguez, R.A., Rollenbeck, R., Zarsosa, P.S., Schratz, P., Brenning, A., (2020):
Monitoring and predictive mapping of floristic biodiversity along a climatic gradient in ENSO's terrestrial core region, NW Peru
Ecography 43 (12), 1878 - 1890
full text (doi)
Müller, B., Hoffmann, F., Heckelei, T., Müller, C., Hertel, T.W., Polhill, J.G., van Wijk, M., Achterbosch, T., Alexander, P., Brown, C., Kreuer, D., Ewert, F., Ge, J., Millington, J.D.A., Seppelt, R., Verburg, P.H., Webber, H., (2020):
Modelling food security: Bridging the gap between the micro and the macro scale
Glob. Environ. Change 63 , art. 102085
full text (doi)
Rahimi Balkanlou, K., Müller, B., Cord, A.F., Panahi, F., Malekian, A., Jafari, M., Egli, L., (2020):
Spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystem services provision in a degraded ecosystem: A systematic assessment in the Lake Urmia basin, Iran
Sci. Total Environ. 716 , art. 137100
full text (doi)
Reyer, C.P.O., Silveyra Gonzalez, R., Dolos, K., Hartig, F., Hauf, Y., Noack, M., Lasch-Born, P., Rötzer, T., Pretzsch, H., Meesenburg, H., Fleck, S., Wagner, M., Bolte, A., Sanders, T.G.M., Kolari, P., Mäkelä, A., Vesala, T., Mammarella, I., Pumpanen, J., Collalti, A., Trotta, C., Matteucci, G., D'Andrea, E., Foltýnová, L., Krejza, J., Ibrom, A., Pilegaard, K., Loustau, D., Bonnefond, J.-M., Berbigier, P., Picart, D., Lafont, S., Dietzel, M., Cameron, D., Vieno, M., Tian, H., Palacios-Orueta, A., Cicuendez, V., Recuero, L., Wiese, K., Büchner, M., Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Kim, H., Horemans, J.A., Bohn, F., Steinkamp, J., Chikalanov, A., Weedon, G.P., Sheffield, J., Babst, F., Vega del Valle, I., Suckow, F., Martel, S., Mahnken, M., Gutsch, M., Frieler, K., (2020):
The PROFOUND Database for evaluating vegetation models and simulating climate impacts on European forests
Earth Syst. Sci. Data 12 (2), 1295 - 1320
full text (doi)
Schlägel, U.E., Grimm, V., Blaum, N., Colangeli, P., Dammhahn, M., Eccard, J.A., Hausmann, S.L., Herde, A., Hofer, H., Joshi, J., Kramer‐Schadt, S., Litwin, M., Lozada‐Gobilard, S.D., Müller, M.E.H., Müller, T., Nathan, R., Petermann, J.S., Pirhofer‐Walzl, K., Radchuk, V., Rillig, M.C., Roeleke, M., Schäfer, M., Scherer, C., Schiro, G., Scholz, C., Teckentrup, L., Tiedemann, R., Ullmann, W., Voigt, C.C., Weithoff, G., Jeltsch, F., (2020):
Movement‐mediated community assembly and coexistence
Biol. Rev. 95 (4), 1073 - 1096
full text (doi)

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