Birgit Müller

Contact

Head of Working Group POLISES (POLicy Instruments and Socio-Environmental Systems under global change)

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ

Department of Ecological Modelling

Permoserstr. 15
04318 Leipzig
Germany

Building 1, room 2.04

Tel.: +49 341 235-1708
Fax: +49 341 235-3500
birgit.mueller@ufz.de

Research Interests

Use of process-based models for an enhanced understanding and governance of social-ecological systems under global change:

Exploring dynamics of socio-environmental resource systems under uncertainty
Effects of policy instruments for global food security and for coping with climate risk (such as weather insurances) on socio-environmental systems (SES)
Adequate representation of human decisions in agent-based models for natural resource use Journal Club
Advancement of methods related to incorporate cross-scale effects in land use models
Potential of SES models as tool of thinking and tool for communication in inter- and transdisciplinary research

Current Projects

POLISES - Global food security policies and their social-ecological side effects in regions prone to global change
Project Website POLISES
BESTMAP - Behavioural, Ecological and Socio-economic Tools for Modelling Agricultural Policy (September 2019 - August 2023).
NamTip - Understanding and Managing Desertification Tipping Points in Dryland Social-Ecological Systems – A Namibian Perspective (March 2019 - February 2022).
SESYNC Pursuit: Testing and extending Ostrom’s frameworks: quantitative synthesis and modeling of social-ecological dynamics (2017- ongoing)

Finished Projects

DFG funded Project SEEMI - "Effects of microinsurance on informal safety nets and on strategies for natural resource use – a model-based analysis" (March 2017 - August 2020)
Junior Research Group POLISES - Global food security policies and their social-ecological side effects in regions prone to global change (2014-2019) Short description
Project Website POLISES
Collaborative SESYNC-UFZ-IDiv project: Synthesis of micro-scale human decision making to mitigate risks to ecosystem services
Sustainability of (Post-)Nomadic Resource Utilization Under Global Change - Conceptual Understanding Through Ecological-Economic Modelling (2008-2012)
Ecological Economics: Modelling and conceptual foundation, with an example of grazing in semi-arid regions (2004-2007)

Memberships

Member of external advisory board of the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Centre (SESYNC) Annapolis, US (since 2018)
Member of Editorial Board of open-access journal SESMO – Socio-Environmental Systems Modelling (since 2019)
Member of Steering Committee of Global Land Program Working Group: “Large-scale Behavioural Models of Land Use Change”

Publications

Latest Publications:

Habtemariam, L.T., Will, M., Müller, B., (2021):
Agricultural insurance through the lens of rural household dietary diversity
Glob. Food Secur. 28 , art. 100485
full text (doi)
Steger, C., Hirsch, S., Cosgrove, C., Inman, S., Nost, E., Shinbrot, X., Thorn, J.P.R., Brown, D.G., Grêt-Regamey, A., Müller, B., Reid, R.S., Tucker, C., Weibel, B., Klein, J.A., (2021):
Linking model design and application for transdisciplinary approaches in social-ecological systems
Glob. Environ. Change 66 , art. 102201
full text (doi)
Will, M., Dressler, G., Kreuer, D., Thulke, H.-H., Grêt‐Regamey, A., Müller, B., (2021):
How to make socio‐environmental modelling more useful to support policy and management?
People Nat. 3 (3), 560 - 572
full text (doi)
Will, M., Groeneveld, J., Frank, K., Müller, B., (2021):
Informal risk-sharing between smallholders may be threatened by formal insurance: Lessons from a stylized agent-based model
PLOS One 16 (3), e0248757
full text (doi)
Williams, T.G., Dressler, G., Stratton, A.E., Müller, B., (2021):
Ecological and financial strategies provide complementary benefits for smallholder climate resilience: insights from a simulation model
Ecol. Soc. 26 (2), art. 14
full text (doi)
Bartkowski, B., Beckmann, M., Drechsler, M., Kaim, A., Liebelt, V., Müller, B., Witing, F., Strauch, M., (2020):
Aligning agent-based modeling with multi-objective land-ese allocation: Identification of policy gaps and feasible pathways to biophysically optimal landscapes
Front. Environ. Sci. 8 , art. 103
full text (doi)
Cumming, G.S., Epstein, G., Anderies, J.M., Apetrei, C.I., Baggio, J., Bodin, Ö., Chawla, S., Clements, H.S., Cox, M., Egli, L., Gurney, G.G., Lubell, M., Magliocca, N., Morrison, T.H., Müller, B., Seppelt, R., Schlüter, M., Unnikrishnan, H., Villamayor-Tomas, S., Weible, C.M., (2020):
Advancing understanding of natural resource governance: a post-Ostrom research agenda
Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain. 44 , 26 - 34
full text (doi)
Müller, B., Hoffmann, F., Heckelei, T., Müller, C., Hertel, T.W., Polhill, J.G., van Wijk, M., Achterbosch, T., Alexander, P., Brown, C., Kreuer, D., Ewert, F., Ge, J., Millington, J.D.A., Seppelt, R., Verburg, P.H., Webber, H., (2020):
Modelling food security: Bridging the gap between the micro and the macro scale
Glob. Environ. Change 63 , art. 102085
full text (doi)
Rahimi Balkanlou, K., Müller, B., Cord, A.F., Panahi, F., Malekian, A., Jafari, M., Egli, L., (2020):
Spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystem services provision in a degraded ecosystem: A systematic assessment in the Lake Urmia basin, Iran
Sci. Total Environ. 716 , art. 137100
full text (doi)
Schwarz, N., Dressler, G., Frank, K., Jager, W., Janssen, M., Müller, B., Schlüter, M., Wijermans, N., Groeneveld, J., (2020):
Formalising theories of human decision-making for agent-based modelling of social-ecological systems: practical lessons learned and ways forward
Socio-Environmental Systems Modelling 2 , art. 16340
full text (doi)
Weise, H., Auge, H., Baessler, C., Bärlund, I., Bennett, E.M., Berger, U., Bohn, F., Bonn, A., Borchardt, D., Brand, F., Chatzinotas, A., Corstanje, R., De Laender, F., Dietrich, P., Dunker, S., Durka, W., Fazey, I., Groeneveld, J., Guilbaud, C.S.E., Harms, H., Harpole, S., Harris, J., Jax, K., Jeltsch, F., Johst, K., Joshi, J., Klotz, S., Kühn, I., Kuhlicke, C., Müller, B., Radchuk, V., Reuter, H., Rinke, K., Schmitt-Jansen, M., Seppelt, R., Singer, A., Standish, R.J., Thulke, H.-H., Tietjen, B., Weitere, M., Wirth, C., Wolf, C., Grimm, V., (2020):
Resilience trinity: safeguarding ecosystem functioning and services across three different time horizons and decision contexts
Oikos 129 (4), 445 - 456
full text (doi)
Will, M., Groeneveld, J., Frank, K., Müller, B., (2020):
Combining social network analysis and agent-based modelling to explore dynamics of human interaction: A review
Socio-Environmental Systems Modelling 2 , art. 16325
full text (doi)
Ziv, G., Beckmann, M., Bullock, J., Cord, A., Delzeit, R., Domingo, C., Dreßler, G., Hagemann, N., Masó, J., Müller, B., Neteler, M., Sapundzhieva, A., Stoev, P., Stenning, J., Trajković, M., Václavík, T., (2020):
BESTMAP: behavioural, Ecological and Socio-economic Tools for Modelling Agricultural Policy
Research Ideas and Outcomes 6 , e52052
full text (doi)

Full list of publications: Publications

CV

Contact

Leiterin: Prof. Dr. Karin Frank
Karin Frank

Assistenz: Josephine Schmidt
Nadine Pankow
Telefon: +49 341 235-1279

Location

OESA Seminars

27 July 2021, 02.00 p.m.

Model-based extrapolation of epidemiological systems for future climate scenarios using the example of Ixodes ricinus ticks

Henning Nolzen

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ Department Ecological Modelling (OESA)

Effects of Climate Change on German Forest Systems

Friedrich Bohn

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ Department Ecological Modelling (OESA)

OESA News

New publication

Ecological-Economic Modelling for Biodiversity Conservation Cambridge University Press

mit Martin Drechsler

Groups

POLISES

„Policy Instruments and Socio-Environmental Systems under Global Change”

www.polises.de

FORMIND

„FORMIND is an individual-based vegetation model that simulates the growth of species-rich forest”

www.formind.org

EcoEpi

„PG Ecological epidemiology - Model family addressing health crisis in populations”

www.ecoepi.eu

Video

Selected Publications

Archidona-Yuste, A., Wiegand, T., Eisenhauer, N., Cantalapiedra-Navarrete, C., Palomares-Rius, J.E., Castillo, P., (2021):
Agriculture causes homogenization of plant-feeding nematode communities at the regional scale
J. Appl. Ecol.
full text (doi)
Bader, M.Y., Llambí, L.D., Case, B.S., Buckley, H.L., Toivonen, J.M., Camarero, J.J., Cairns, D.M., Brown, C.D., Wiegand, T., Resler, L.M., (2021):
A global framework for linking alpine‐treeline ecotone patterns to underlying processes
Ecography 44 (2), 265 - 292
full text (doi)
Brock, J., Lange, M., Tratalos, J.A., More, S.J., Guelbenzu-Gonzalo, M., Graham, D.A., Thulke, H.-H., (2021):
A large-scale epidemiological model of BoHV-1 spread in the Irish cattle population to support decision-making in conformity with the European Animal Health Law
Prev. Vet. Med. 192 , art. 105375
full text (doi)
Clark, A.T., Arnoldi, J.-F., Zelnik, Y.R., Barabas, G., Hodapp, D., Karakoç, C., König, S., Radchuk, V., Donohue, I., Huth, A., Jacquet, C., de Mazancourt, C., Mentges, A., Nothaaß, D., Shoemaker, L.G., Taubert, F., Wiegand, T., Wang, S., Chase, J.M., Loreau, M., Harpole, S., (2021):
General statistical scaling laws for stability in ecological systems
Ecol. Lett. 24 (7), 1474 - 1486
full text (doi)
Cuni-Sanchez, A., Sullivan, M.J.P., Platts, P.J., Lewis, S.L., Marchant, R., Imani, G., Hubau, W., Abiem, I., Adhikari, H., Albrecht, T., Altman, J., Amani, C., Aneseyee, A.B., Avitabile, V., Banin, L., Batumike, R., Bauters, M., Beeckman, H., Begne, S.K., Bennett, A.C., Bitariho, R., Boeckx, P., Bogaert, J., Bräuning, A., Bulonvu, F., Hiltner, U., Horak, D., et al., (2021):
High aboveground carbon stock of African tropical montane forests
Nature 596 (7873), 536 - 542
full text (doi)
Drechsler, M., Gerling, C., Keuler, K., Leins, J., Sturm, A., Wätzold, F., (2021):
A quantitative approach for the design of robust and cost-effective conservation policies under uncertain climate change: The case of grasshopper conservation in Schleswig-Holstein, Germany
J. Environ. Manage. 286 , art. 113201
full text (doi)
Fischer, R., Taubert, F., Müller, M.S., Groeneveld, J., Lehmann, S., Wiegand, T., Huth, A., (2021):
Accelerated forest fragmentation leads to critical increase in tropical forest edge area
Sci. Adv. 7 (37), eabg7012
full text (doi)
Habtemariam, L.T., Will, M., Müller, B., (2021):
Agricultural insurance through the lens of rural household dietary diversity
Glob. Food Secur. 28 , art. 100485
full text (doi)
Keil, P., Wiegand, T., Tóth, A.B., McGlinn, D.J., Chase, J.M., (2021):
Measurement and analysis of interspecific spatial associations as a facet of biodiversity
Ecol. Monogr. 91 (3), e01452
full text (doi)
Noonan, M.J., Martinez‐Garcia, R., Davis, G.H., Crofoot, M.C., Kays, R., Hirsch, B.T., Caillaud, D., Payne, E., Sih, A., Sinn, D.L., Spiegel, O., Fagan, W.F., Fleming, C.H., Calabrese, J.M., (2021):
Estimating encounter location distributions from animal tracking data
Methods Ecol. Evol. 12 (7), 1158 - 1173
full text (doi)
Perea, A.J., Wiegand, T., Garrido, J.L., Rey, P.J., Alcántara, J.M., (2021):
Legacy effects of seed dispersal mechanisms shape the spatial interaction network of plant species in Mediterranean forests
J. Ecol. 109 (10), 3670 - 3684
full text (doi)
Proesmans, W., Albrecht, M., Gajda, A., Neumann, P., Paxton, R.J., Pioz, M., Polzin, C., Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Szentgyörgyi, H., Thulke, H.-H., Vanbergen, A.J., (2021):
Pathways for novel epidemiology: Plant–pollinator–pathogen networks and global change
Trends Ecol. Evol. 36 (7), 623 - 636
full text (doi)
Steger, C., Hirsch, S., Cosgrove, C., Inman, S., Nost, E., Shinbrot, X., Thorn, J.P.R., Brown, D.G., Grêt-Regamey, A., Müller, B., Reid, R.S., Tucker, C., Weibel, B., Klein, J.A., (2021):
Linking model design and application for transdisciplinary approaches in social-ecological systems
Glob. Environ. Change 66 , art. 102201
full text (doi)
Steger, C., Klein, J.A., Reid, R.S., Lavorel, S., Tucker, C., Hopping, K.A., Marchant, R., Teel, T., Cuni-Sanchez, A., Dorji, T., Greenwood, G., Huber, R., Kassam, K.-A., Kreuer, D., Nolin, A., Russell, A., Sharp, J.L., Šmid Hribar, M., Thorn, J.P.R., Grant, G., Mahdi, M., Moreno, M., Waiswa, D., (2021):
Science with society: Evidence-based guidance for best practices in environmental transdisciplinary work
Glob. Environ. Change 68 , art. 102240
full text (doi)
Weitere, M., Altenburger, R., Anlanger, C., Baborowski, M., Bärlund, I., Beckers, L.-M., Borchardt, D., Brack, W., Brase, L., Busch, W., Chatzinotas, A., Deutschmann, B., Eligehausen, J., Frank, K., Graeber, D., Griebler, C., Hagemann, J., Herzsprung, P., Hollert, H., Inostroza, P.A., Jäger, C.G., Kallies, R., Kamjunke, N., Karrasch, B., Kaschuba, S., Kaus, A., Klauer, B., Knöller, K., Koschorreck, M., Krauss, M., Kunz, J.V., Kurz, M.J., Liess, M., Mages, M., Müller, C., Muschket, M., Musolff, A., Norf, H., Pöhlein, F., Reiber, L., Risse-Buhl, U., Schramm, K.-W., Schmitt-Jansen, M., Schmitz, M., Strachauer, U., von Tümpling, W., Weber, N., Wild, R., Wolf, C., Brauns, M., (2021):
Disentangling multiple chemical and non-chemical stressors in a lotic ecosystem using a longitudinal approach
Sci. Total Environ. 769 , art. 144324
full text (doi)
Wiegand, T., Wang, X., Anderson-Teixeira, K.-J., Bourg, N.A., Cao, M., Ci, X., Davies, S.J., Hao, Z., Howe, R.W., Kress, W.J., Lian, J., Li, J., Lin, L., Lin, Y., Ma, K., McShea, W., Mi, X., Su, S.-H., Sun, I.-F., Wolf, A., Ye, W., Huth, A., (2021):
Consequences of spatial patterns for coexistence in species-rich plant communities
Nat. Ecol. Evol. 5 (7), 965 - 973
full text (doi)
Berzaghi, F., Wright, I.J., Kramer, K., Oddou-Muratorio, S., Bohn, F.J., Reyer, C.P.O., Sabaté, S., Sanders, T.G.M., Hartig, F., (2020):
Towards a new generation of trait-flexible vegetation models
Trends Ecol. Evol. 35 (3), 191 - 205
full text (doi)
Fedriani, J.M., Ayllón, D., Wiegand, T., Grimm, V., (2020):
Intertwined effects of defaunation, increased tree mortality, and density compensation on seed dispersal
Ecography 43 (9), 1352 - 1363
full text (doi)
Grimm, V., Johnston, A.S.A., Thulke, H.-H., Forbes, V.E., Thorbek, P., (2020):
Three questions to ask before using model outputs for decision support
Nat. Commun. 11 , art. 4959
full text (doi)
Knapp, N., Fischer, R., Cazcarra-Bes, V., Huth, A., (2020):
Structure metrics to generalize biomass estimation from lidar across forest types from different continents
Remote Sens. Environ. 237 , art. 111597
full text (doi)
Muenchow, J., Dieker, P., Böttcher, T., Brock, J., Didenko, G., Fremout, T., Jakubka, D., Jentsch, A., Nüst, D., Richter, M., Rodríguez, E.F., Rodríguez, R.A., Rollenbeck, R., Zarsosa, P.S., Schratz, P., Brenning, A., (2020):
Monitoring and predictive mapping of floristic biodiversity along a climatic gradient in ENSO's terrestrial core region, NW Peru
Ecography 43 (12), 1878 - 1890
full text (doi)
Müller, B., Hoffmann, F., Heckelei, T., Müller, C., Hertel, T.W., Polhill, J.G., van Wijk, M., Achterbosch, T., Alexander, P., Brown, C., Kreuer, D., Ewert, F., Ge, J., Millington, J.D.A., Seppelt, R., Verburg, P.H., Webber, H., (2020):
Modelling food security: Bridging the gap between the micro and the macro scale
Glob. Environ. Change 63 , art. 102085
full text (doi)
Rahimi Balkanlou, K., Müller, B., Cord, A.F., Panahi, F., Malekian, A., Jafari, M., Egli, L., (2020):
Spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystem services provision in a degraded ecosystem: A systematic assessment in the Lake Urmia basin, Iran
Sci. Total Environ. 716 , art. 137100
full text (doi)
Reyer, C.P.O., Silveyra Gonzalez, R., Dolos, K., Hartig, F., Hauf, Y., Noack, M., Lasch-Born, P., Rötzer, T., Pretzsch, H., Meesenburg, H., Fleck, S., Wagner, M., Bolte, A., Sanders, T.G.M., Kolari, P., Mäkelä, A., Vesala, T., Mammarella, I., Pumpanen, J., Collalti, A., Trotta, C., Matteucci, G., D'Andrea, E., Foltýnová, L., Krejza, J., Ibrom, A., Pilegaard, K., Loustau, D., Bonnefond, J.-M., Berbigier, P., Picart, D., Lafont, S., Dietzel, M., Cameron, D., Vieno, M., Tian, H., Palacios-Orueta, A., Cicuendez, V., Recuero, L., Wiese, K., Büchner, M., Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Kim, H., Horemans, J.A., Bohn, F., Steinkamp, J., Chikalanov, A., Weedon, G.P., Sheffield, J., Babst, F., Vega del Valle, I., Suckow, F., Martel, S., Mahnken, M., Gutsch, M., Frieler, K., (2020):
The PROFOUND Database for evaluating vegetation models and simulating climate impacts on European forests
Earth Syst. Sci. Data 12 (2), 1295 - 1320
full text (doi)
Schlägel, U.E., Grimm, V., Blaum, N., Colangeli, P., Dammhahn, M., Eccard, J.A., Hausmann, S.L., Herde, A., Hofer, H., Joshi, J., Kramer‐Schadt, S., Litwin, M., Lozada‐Gobilard, S.D., Müller, M.E.H., Müller, T., Nathan, R., Petermann, J.S., Pirhofer‐Walzl, K., Radchuk, V., Rillig, M.C., Roeleke, M., Schäfer, M., Scherer, C., Schiro, G., Scholz, C., Teckentrup, L., Tiedemann, R., Ullmann, W., Voigt, C.C., Weithoff, G., Jeltsch, F., (2020):
Movement‐mediated community assembly and coexistence
Biol. Rev. 95 (4), 1073 - 1096
full text (doi)

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