Birgit Müller

Contact

Head of Working Group POLISES (POLicy Instruments and Socio-Environmental Systems under global change)

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ

Department of Ecological Modelling

Permoserstr. 15
04318 Leipzig
Germany

Building 1, room 2.04

Tel.: +49 341 235-1708
Fax: +49 341 235-3500
birgit.mueller@ufz.de

Research Interests

Use of process-based models for an enhanced understanding and governance of social-ecological systems under global change:

Exploring dynamics of social-ecological resource systems under uncertainty
Effects of policy instruments for global food security and for coping with climate risk (such as weather insurances) on social-ecological systems (SES)
Adequate representation of human decisions in agent-based models for natural resource use Journal Club
Potential of SES models as tool of thinking and tool for communication in inter- and transdisciplinary research

Current Projects

POLISES - Global food security policies and their social-ecological side effects in regions prone to global change Short description
Project Website POLISES
BESTMAP - Behavioural, Ecological and Socio-economic Tools for Modelling Agricultural Policy (September 2019 - August 2023).
NamTip - Understanding and Managing Desertification Tipping Points in Dryland Social-Ecological Systems – A Namibian Perspective (March 2019 - Februar 2022).
DFG funded Project SEEMI - "Effects of microinsurance on informal safety nets and on strategies for natural resource use – a model-based analysis" (March 2017 - August 2020)
SESYNC Pursuit: Testing and extending Ostrom’s frameworks: quantitative synthesis and modeling of social-ecological dynamics (2017- ongoing)

Finished Projects

Junior Research Group POLISES - Global food security policies and their social-ecological side effects in regions prone to global change (2014-2019) Short description
Project Website POLISES
Collaborative SESYNC-UFZ-IDiv project: Synthesis of micro-scale human decision making to mitigate risks to ecosystem services
Sustainability of (Post-)Nomadic Resource Utilization Under Global Change - Conceptual Understanding Through Ecological-Economic Modelling (2008-2012)
Ecological Economics: Modelling and conceptual foundation, with an example of grazing in semi-arid regions (2004-2007)

Publications

Latest Publications:

Habtemariam, L.T., Will, M., Müller, B., (2021):
Agricultural insurance through the lens of rural household dietary diversity
Glob. Food Secur. 28 , art. 100485
full text (doi)
Steger, C., Hirsch, S., Cosgrove, C., Inman, S., Nost, E., Shinbrot, X., Thorn, J.P.R., Brown, D.G., Grêt-Regamey, A., Müller, B., Reid, R.S., Tucker, C., Weibel, B., Klein, J.A., (2021):
Linking model design and application for transdisciplinary approaches in social-ecological systems
Glob. Environ. Change 66 , art. 102201
full text (doi)
Bartkowski, B., Beckmann, M., Drechsler, M., Kaim, A., Liebelt, V., Müller, B., Witing, F., Strauch, M., (2020):
Aligning agent-based modeling with multi-objective land-ese allocation: Identification of policy gaps and feasible pathways to biophysically optimal landscapes
Front. Environ. Sci. 8 , art. 103
full text (doi)
Cumming, G.S., Epstein, G., Anderies, J.M., Apetrei, C.I., Baggio, J., Bodin, Ö., Chawla, S., Clements, H.S., Cox, M., Egli, L., Gurney, G.G., Lubell, M., Magliocca, N., Morrison, T.H., Müller, B., Seppelt, R., Schlüter, M., Unnikrishnan, H., Villamayor-Tomas, S., Weible, C.M., (2020):
Advancing understanding of natural resource governance: a post-Ostrom research agenda
Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain. 44 , 26 - 34
full text (doi)
Müller, B., Hoffmann, F., Heckelei, T., Müller, C., Hertel, T.W., Polhill, J.G., van Wijk, M., Achterbosch, T., Alexander, P., Brown, C., Kreuer, D., Ewert, F., Ge, J., Millington, J.D.A., Seppelt, R., Verburg, P.H., Webber, H., (2020):
Modelling food security: Bridging the gap between the micro and the macro scale
Glob. Environ. Change 63 , art. 102085
full text (doi)
Rahimi Balkanlou, K., Müller, B., Cord, A.F., Panahi, F., Malekian, A., Jafari, M., Egli, L., (2020):
Spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystem services provision in a degraded ecosystem: A systematic assessment in the Lake Urmia basin, Iran
Sci. Total Environ. 716 , art. 137100
full text (doi)
Schwarz, N., Dressler, G., Frank, K., Jager, W., Janssen, M., Müller, B., Schlüter, M., Wijermans, N., Groeneveld, J., (2020):
Formalising theories of human decision-making for agent-based modelling of social-ecological systems: practical lessons learned and ways forward
Socio-Environmental Systems Modelling 2 , art. 16340
full text (doi)
Weise, H., Auge, H., Baessler, C., Bärlund, I., Bennett, E.M., Berger, U., Bohn, F., Bonn, A., Borchardt, D., Brand, F., Chatzinotas, A., Corstanje, R., De Laender, F., Dietrich, P., Dunker, S., Durka, W., Fazey, I., Groeneveld, J., Guilbaud, C.S.E., Harms, H., Harpole, S., Harris, J., Jax, K., Jeltsch, F., Johst, K., Joshi, J., Klotz, S., Kühn, I., Kuhlicke, C., Müller, B., Radchuk, V., Reuter, H., Rinke, K., Schmitt-Jansen, M., Seppelt, R., Singer, A., Standish, R.J., Thulke, H.-H., Tietjen, B., Weitere, M., Wirth, C., Wolf, C., Grimm, V., (2020):
Resilience trinity: safeguarding ecosystem functioning and services across three different time horizons and decision contexts
Oikos 129 (4), 445 - 456
full text (doi)
Will, M., Groeneveld, J., Frank, K., Müller, B., (2020):
Combining social network analysis and agent-based modelling to explore dynamics of human interaction: A review
Socio-Environmental Systems Modelling 2 , art. 16325
full text (doi)
Ziv, G., Beckmann, M., Bullock, J., Cord, A., Delzeit, R., Domingo, C., Dreßler, G., Hagemann, N., Masó, J., Müller, B., Neteler, M., Sapundzhieva, A., Stoev, P., Stenning, J., Trajković, M., Václavík, T., (2020):
BESTMAP: behavioural, Ecological and Socio-economic Tools for Modelling Agricultural Policy
Research Ideas and Outcomes 6 , e52052
full text (doi)
Dressler, G., Groeneveld, J., Buchmann, C.M., Guo, C., Hase, N., Thober, J., Frank, K., Müller, B., (2019):
Implications of behavioral change for the resilience of pastoral systems—Lessons from an agent-based model
Ecol. Complex. 40, Part B , art. 100710
full text (doi)
Dressler, G., Hoffmann, F., Breuer, I., Kreuer, D., Mahdi, M., Frank, K., Müller, B., (2019):
Polarization in (post)nomadic resource use in Eastern Morocco: insights using a multi-agent simulation model
Reg. Envir. Chang. 19 (2), 489 - 500
full text (doi)
John, F., Toth, R., Frank, K., Groeneveld, J., Müller, B., (2019):
Ecological vulnerability through insurance? Potential unintended consequences of livestock drought insurance
Ecol. Econ. 157 , 357 - 368
full text (doi)
Klein, J.A., Tucker, C.M., Nolin, A.W., Hopping, K.A., Reid, R.S., Steger, C., Grêt‐Regamey, A., Lavorel, S., Müller, B., Yeh, E.T., Boone, R.B., Bougeron, P., Bustic, V., Castellanos, E., Chen, X., Dong, S.K., Greenwood, G., Keiler, M., Marchant, R., Seidl, R., Spies, T., Thorn, J., Yager, K., (2019):
Catalyzing transformations to sustainability in the world's mountains
Earth Future 7 (5), 547 - 557
full text (doi)
Klein, J.A., Tucker, C.M., Steger, C.E., Nolin, A., Reid, R., Hopping, K.A., Yeh, E.T., Pradhan, M.S., Taber, A., Molden, D., Ghate, R., Choudhury, D., Alcántara-Ayala, I., Lavorel, S., Müller, B., Grêt-Regamey, A., Boone, R.B., Bourgeron, P., Castellanos, E., Chen, X., Dong, S., Keiler, M., Seidl, R., Thorn, J., Yager, K., (2019):
An integrated community and ecosystem-based approach to disaster risk reduction in mountain systems
Environ. Sci. Policy 94 , 143 - 152
full text (doi)
Schlüter, M., Müller, B., Frank, K., (2019):
The potential of models and modeling for social-ecological systems research: the reference frame ModSES
Ecol. Soc. 24 (1), art. 31
full text (doi)
Huber, R., Bakker, M., Balmann, A., Berger, T., Bithell, M., Brown, C., Grêt-Regamey, A., Xiong, H., Le, Q.B., Mack, G., Meyfroidt, P., Millington, J., Müller, B., Polhill, J.G., Sun, Z., Seidl, R., Troost, C., Finger, R., (2018):
Representation of decision-making in European agricultural agentbased models
Agric. Syst. 167 , 143 - 160
full text (doi)

Full list of publications: Publications

CV

Contact

Leiterin: Prof. Dr. Karin Frank
Karin Frank

Assistenz: Josephine Schmidt
Josephine Schmidt
Telefon: +49 341 235-1279

Location

OESA Seminars

08 December 2020, 11.00 a.m.

Keeping modeling notebooks using TRACE: good for you and good for environmental research and management support (virtual Meeting)

Volker Grimm

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ

OESA News

New publication

Ecological-Economic Modelling for Biodiversity Conservation Cambridge University Press

mit Martin Drechsler

Groups

POLISES

„Global food security policies and their social-ecological side effects in regions prone to global change”

www.polises.de
www.ufz.de/polises

FORMIND

„FORMIND is an individual-based vegetation model that simulates the growth of species-rich forest”

www.formind.org

Video

Selected Publications 2020

Bader, M.Y., Llambí, L.D., Case, B.S., Buckley, H.L., Toivonen, J.M., Camarero, J.J., Cairns, D.M., Brown, C.D., Wiegand, T., Resler, L.M., (2021):
A global framework for linking alpine‐treeline ecotone patterns to underlying processes
Ecography 44 (2), 265 - 292
full text (doi)
Habtemariam, L.T., Will, M., Müller, B., (2021):
Agricultural insurance through the lens of rural household dietary diversity
Glob. Food Secur. 28 , art. 100485
full text (doi)
Steger, C., Hirsch, S., Cosgrove, C., Inman, S., Nost, E., Shinbrot, X., Thorn, J.P.R., Brown, D.G., Grêt-Regamey, A., Müller, B., Reid, R.S., Tucker, C., Weibel, B., Klein, J.A., (2021):
Linking model design and application for transdisciplinary approaches in social-ecological systems
Glob. Environ. Change 66 , art. 102201
full text (doi)
Weitere, M., Altenburger, R., Anlanger, C., Baborowski, M., Bärlund, I., Beckers, L.-M., Borchardt, D., Brack, W., Brase, L., Busch, W., Chatzinotas, A., Deutschmann, B., Eligehausen, J., Frank, K., Graeber, D., Griebler, C., Hagemann, J., Herzsprung, P., Hollert, H., Inostroza, P.A., Jäger, C.G., Kallies, R., Kamjunke, N., Karrasch, B., Kaschuba, S., Kaus, A., Klauer, B., Knöller, K., Koschorreck, M., Krauss, M., Kunz, J.V., Kurz, M.J., Liess, M., Mages, M., Müller, C., Muschket, M., Musolff, A., Norf, H., Pöhlein, F., Reiber, L., Risse-Buhl, U., Schramm, K.-W., Schmitt-Jansen, M., Schmitz, M., Strachauer, U., von Tümpling, W., Weber, N., Wild, R., Wolf, C., Brauns, M., (2021):
Disentangling multiple chemical and non-chemical stressors in a lotic ecosystem using a longitudinal approach
Sci. Total Environ. 769 , art. 144324
full text (doi)
Berzaghi, F., Wright, I.J., Kramer, K., Oddou-Muratorio, S., Bohn, F.J., Reyer, C.P.O., Sabaté, S., Sanders, T.G.M., Hartig, F., (2020):
Towards a new generation of trait-flexible vegetation models
Trends Ecol. Evol. 35 (3), 191 - 205
full text (doi)
Fedriani, J.M., Ayllón, D., Wiegand, T., Grimm, V., (2020):
Intertwined effects of defaunation, increased tree mortality, and density compensation on seed dispersal
Ecography 43 (9), 1352 - 1363
full text (doi)
Grimm, V., Johnston, A.S.A., Thulke, H.-H., Forbes, V.E., Thorbek, P., (2020):
Three questions to ask before using model outputs for decision support
Nat. Commun. 11 , art. 4959
full text (doi)
Knapp, N., Fischer, R., Cazcarra-Bes, V., Huth, A., (2020):
Structure metrics to generalize biomass estimation from lidar across forest types from different continents
Remote Sens. Environ. 237 , art. 111597
full text (doi)
Muenchow, J., Dieker, P., Böttcher, T., Brock, J., Didenko, G., Fremout, T., Jakubka, D., Jentsch, A., Nüst, D., Richter, M., Rodríguez, E.F., Rodríguez, R.A., Rollenbeck, R., Zarsosa, P.S., Schratz, P., Brenning, A., (2020):
Monitoring and predictive mapping of floristic biodiversity along a climatic gradient in ENSO's terrestrial core region, NW Peru
Ecography 43 (12), 1878 - 1890
full text (doi)
Müller, B., Hoffmann, F., Heckelei, T., Müller, C., Hertel, T.W., Polhill, J.G., van Wijk, M., Achterbosch, T., Alexander, P., Brown, C., Kreuer, D., Ewert, F., Ge, J., Millington, J.D.A., Seppelt, R., Verburg, P.H., Webber, H., (2020):
Modelling food security: Bridging the gap between the micro and the macro scale
Glob. Environ. Change 63 , art. 102085
full text (doi)
Rahimi Balkanlou, K., Müller, B., Cord, A.F., Panahi, F., Malekian, A., Jafari, M., Egli, L., (2020):
Spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystem services provision in a degraded ecosystem: A systematic assessment in the Lake Urmia basin, Iran
Sci. Total Environ. 716 , art. 137100
full text (doi)
Reyer, C.P.O., Silveyra Gonzalez, R., Dolos, K., Hartig, F., Hauf, Y., Noack, M., Lasch-Born, P., Rötzer, T., Pretzsch, H., Meesenburg, H., Fleck, S., Wagner, M., Bolte, A., Sanders, T.G.M., Kolari, P., Mäkelä, A., Vesala, T., Mammarella, I., Pumpanen, J., Collalti, A., Trotta, C., Matteucci, G., D'Andrea, E., Foltýnová, L., Krejza, J., Ibrom, A., Pilegaard, K., Loustau, D., Bonnefond, J.-M., Berbigier, P., Picart, D., Lafont, S., Dietzel, M., Cameron, D., Vieno, M., Tian, H., Palacios-Orueta, A., Cicuendez, V., Recuero, L., Wiese, K., Büchner, M., Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Kim, H., Horemans, J.A., Bohn, F., Steinkamp, J., Chikalanov, A., Weedon, , Weedon, G.P., Sheffield, J., Babst, F., Vega del Valle, I., Suckow, F., Martel, S., Mahnken, M., Gutsch, M., Frieler, K., (2020):
The PROFOUND Database for evaluating vegetation models and simulating climate impacts on European forests
Earth Syst. Sci. Data 12 (2), 1295 - 1320
full text (doi)
Schlägel, U.E., Grimm, V., Blaum, N., Colangeli, P., Dammhahn, M., Eccard, J.A., Hausmann, S.L., Herde, A., Hofer, H., Joshi, J., Kramer‐Schadt, S., Litwin, M., Lozada‐Gobilard, S.D., Müller, M.E.H., Müller, T., Nathan, R., Petermann, J.S., Pirhofer‐Walzl, K., Radchuk, V., Rillig, M.C., Roeleke, M., Schäfer, M., Scherer, C., Schiro, G., Scholz, C., Teckentrup, L., Tiedemann, R., Ullmann, W., Voigt, C.C., Weithoff, G., Jeltsch, F., (2020):
Movement‐mediated community assembly and coexistence
Biol. Rev. 95 (4), 1073 - 1096
full text (doi)

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