
Computational Social Sciences for Extreme Events Research
Our group investigates the interactions between society and extreme events using natural language processing, network analysis, and systems theory. Our research lies at the intersection of computational social science, socio-hydrology, and environmental science.
Our long-term goals are to:
- understand fundamental questions on how hazards translate into disasters
- investigate the relationship between adaptation measures and risk reduction
- monitor the diverse consequences of extreme events to society
Team
Core team
Dr. Mariana Madruga de Brito - Principal Investigator
Dr. Jan Sodoge - Postdoctoral Researcher
Dr. Taís Maria Nunes Carvalho - Postdoctoral Researcher
Sruti Moderkurty - Ph.D. Researcher
⇒ Maralda Drosky (starting in summer 2025) - Ph.D. Researcher
Guest and visiting researchers
Ni Li - Ph.D. Researcher
Cecily (Jingxian) Wang - Ph.D. Researcher
2025-2025 | Dr. Violeta Berdejo-Espinola | visiting postdoc |
2025-2025 | Alessia Matano | visiting PhD student |
2023-2023 | Katie Rohrbaugh | visiting bachelor student; now a PhD student at Cornell University, USA |
2022-2022 | Prof. Maaz Amjad | visiting postdoc; now a Professor at Texas Tech University, USA |
2021-2023 | Dr. Franciele Maria Vanelli | Ph.D. student; now a Postdoc at the Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil |
2021-2023 | Emanuel Fusinato | master student; now a Ph.D. candidate at the Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil |
2021-2021 | Bharat Govil | visiting bachelor student |
2019-2022 | Dr. Luana Lavagnoli Moreira | Ph.D. student; now CEO of AmbGEO, Brazil |
Our tools and datasets
EGU abstract recommender by Dr. Jan Sodoge
EGU abstract explorer by Dr. Taís M. N. Carvalho
German drought impact monitor by Dr. Jan Sodoge
Ongoing projects
Our group will focus on the dynamics of climate change discourse in the media, among the online public, and political actors. Specifically, we will examine three aspects of public discourse: (a) collective attention––the shared focus of a group or society on a particular topic, event, or issue at a given time; (b) collective memory––the associations made between current and past events in media articles, online search queries, or political speeches and (c) framing––the persuasive aspect of “how” issues are discussed and the political logic and cultural frameworks it is related to.
Longer-lasting meteorological and hydrological droughts are foreseeable in Germany, with direct implications for the storage and access to water in cities. Furthermore, an increased risk of conflicts over water allocation between urban and rural areas is expected. Within this context, Thirsty Cities investigates pathways for enhancing the resilience to water scarcity in Germany. A focus is given to the impacts of the shortage of freshwater and the assessment of whether current regulatory frameworks are “fit for purpose”.
Hydroclimatic extremes under climate change seriously threaten society and the environment. The prevailing focus on single hazards fails to capture the complex interplay among drivers behind extreme impacts, potentially leading to maladaptation. The SEESAW PhD cohort aims to improve our current understanding of the interactions between hydroclimatic extremes and their complex impacts on society and the environment by 1) uncovering the non-linear relationships between hydroclimatic hazards, 2) quantifying the impacts of these hazards and 3) disentangling the role of human-induced climate change play in their generation at national and continental scales.
Extreme climate events routinely cause adverse environmental and socio-economic impacts. Mitigating these impacts requires understanding how they link to climatic drivers. However, existing freely-available climate hazard impact databases are often designed for rapid reporting and have limitations in terms of completeness and accuracy. While a wealth of detailed climate impact information is available from online text sources such as news websites and reports, its extraction by human experts is time-consuming, and they are thus not typically used in impact databases.
We seek to overcome this gap by producing a holistic European multi-sector impacts database of climate extremes, from mining of online text sources. We will consider extreme events such as windstorms, droughts, floods and temperatures extremes. By using NLP techniques, each extreme event will be assigned a date range, location and socio-economic and environmental impacts. These will then be cross-checked against climate data.
In this project, we address the increasing impacts of hydrological extremes, such as floods and droughts, by investigating their driving factors: hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and adaptation. Focusing on the Central European river basins (e.g., Danube, Rhine, Elbe, Weser, Oder), the project employs a dual temporal perspective—spanning 500 years of historical data and contemporary records since 1990.
EXTREME-ADAPT overarching ambition is to offer a systemic perspective on the historical and contemporary factors influencing flood and drought risk in Central Europe. This interdisciplinary project bridges AI, engineering, and hydroclimatology to provide actionable insights for climate adaptation.
Publications
2025 (5)
- Bartkowski, B., Baaken, M.C., Nagpal, M., Sodoge, J., de Brito, M.M. (2025):
What constitutes sustainable agriculture for different audiences in Germany? A comparative analysis of large-scale text data
People Nat. 7 (3), 715 - 730 10.1002/pan3.70003 - de Brito, M.M., Sodoge, J., Kreibich, H., Kuhlicke, C. (2025):
Comprehensive assessment of flood socioeconomic impacts through text-mining
Water Resour. Res. 61 (1), e2024WR037813 10.1029/2024wr037813 - Fusinato, E., Han, S., Kobiyama, M., de Brito, M.M. (2025):
Unintended consequences of public policies in increasing risk: The safe development paradox in the Revólver Basin, Brazil
SSRN 10.2139/ssrn.5269371 - Kreibich, H., Sivapalan, M., AghaKouchak, A., Addor, N., Aksoy, H., Arheimer, B., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Vail-Castro, C., Cudennec, C., de Brito, M.M., Di Baldassarre, G., et al. (2025):
Panta Rhei: a decade of progress in research on change in hydrology and society
Hydrol. Sci. J.-J. Sci. Hydrol. 70 (7), 1210 - 1236 10.1080/02626667.2025.2469762 - Papalexiou, S.M., Mascaro, G., Pendergrass, A.G., Mamalakis, A., de Brito, M.M., Andreadis, K.M., Schiro, K., Zaerpour, M., Hatami, S., Gavasso-Rita, Y.L., Ballarin, A.S., Vargas Godoy, M.R., Nerantzaki, S., Abdelmoaty, H., Matin, M.A., Madani, K. (2025):
Sustainability Nexus AID: storms
Sustainability Nexus Forum 33 , art. 1 10.1007/s00550-024-00544-y
2024 (16)
- Alencar, P.H.L., Sodoge, J., Paton, E.N., de Brito, M.M. (2024):
Flash droughts and their impacts - using newspaper articles to assess the perceived consequences of rapidly emerging droughts
Environ. Res. Lett. 19 (7), art. 074048 10.1088/1748-9326/ad58fa - Arheimer, B., Cudennec, C., Castellarin, A., Grimaldi, S., Heal, K.V., de Brito, M.M., Mahé, G., et al. (2024):
The IAHS Science for Solutions decade, with Hydrology Engaging Local People IN a Global world (HELPING)
Hydrol. Sci. J.-J. Sci. Hydrol. 69 (11), 1417 - 1435 10.1080/02626667.2024.2355202 - Cavalcante, L., Walker, D.W., Kchouk, S., Ribeiro Neto, G., Nunes Carvalho, T.M., de Brito, M.M., Pot, W., Dewulf, A., van Oel, P. (2024):
From insufficient rainfall to livelihoods: understanding the cascade of drought impacts and policy implications
EGUsphere 10.5194/egusphere-2024-650 - de Brito, M.M., Sodoge, J., Fekete, A., Hagenlocher, M., Koks, E., Kuhlicke, C., Messori, G., de Ruiter, M., Schweizer, P.-J., Ward, P.J. (2024):
Uncovering the dynamics of multi-sector impacts of hydrological extremes: A methods overview
Earth Future 12 (1), e2023EF003906 10.1029/2023ef003906 - de Brito, M.M., Sodoge, J. (2024):
Computational Social Sciences in der Umweltsoziologie
In: Sonnberger, M., Bleicher, A., Groß, M. (Hrsg.)
Handbuch Umweltsoziologie
Springer VS, Wiesbaden , S. 521 - 535 10.1007/978-3-658-37218-7_14 - Eisenhauer, N., Frank, K., Weigelt, A., Bartkowski, B., Beugnon, R., Liebal, K., Mahecha, M., Quaas, M., Al-Halbouni, D., Bastos, A., Bohn, F.J., de Brito, M.M., Denzler, J., Feilhauer, H., Fischer, R., Fritsche, I., Guimaraes-Steinicke, C., Hänsel, M., Haun, D.B.M., Herrmann, H., Huth, A., Kalesse-Los, H., Koetter, M., Kolleck, N., Krause, M., Kretschmer, M., Leitão, P.J., Masson, T., Mora, K., Müller, B., Peng, J., Pöhlker, M.L., Ratzke, L., Reichstein, M., Richter, S., Rüger, N., Sánchez-Parra, B., Shadaydeh, M., Sippel, S., Tegen, I., Thrän, D., Umlauft, J., Wendisch, M., Wolf, K., Wirth, C., Zacher, H., Zaehle, S., Quaas, J. (2024):
A belowground perspective on the nexus between biodiversity change, climate change, and human well-being
Journal of Sustainable Agriculture and Environment 3 (2), e212108 10.1002/sae2.12108 - Fusinato, E., Han, S., Kobiyama, M., de Brito, M.M. (2024):
Unintended consequences of disaster mitigation: A systematic review of the safe development paradox
Research Square 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3941568/v1 - Fusinato, E., Han, S., Kobiyama, M., de Brito, M.M. (2024):
Safe development paradox: evidence and methodological insights from a systematic review
Nat. Hazards 120 (15), 13693 - 13714 10.1007/s11069-024-06774-z - Kuhlicke, C., de Brito, M.M., Otto, D., Reckhaus, Z. (2024):
Resilienter wiederaufbauen? Erste Thesen zur Rekonfiguration hydrosozialer Territorien nach dem Hochwasser 2021
In: Kabisch, S., Rink, D., Banzhaf, E. (Hrsg.)
Die resiliente Stadt: Konzepte, Konflikte, Lösungen
Springer Spektrum, Berlin, Heidelberg, S. 267 - 281 10.1007/978-3-662-66916-7_17 - Li, N., Zahra, S., de Brito, M.M., Flynn, C.M., Görnerup, O., Worou, K., Kurfalı, M., Meng, C., Thiery, W., Zscheischler, J., Messori, G., Nivre, J. (2024):
Using LLMs to build a database of climate extreme impacts
In: Stammbach, D., Ni, J., Schimanski, T., Dutia, K., Singh, A., Bingler, J., Christiaen, C., Kushwaha, N., Muccione, V., Vaghefi, S.A., Leippold, M. (eds.)
Proceedings of the 1st Workshop on Natural Language Processing Meets Climate Change (ClimateNLP 2024), Bangkok, Thailand, August 16, 2024
Association for Computational Linguistics, Kerrville, p. 93 - 110 10.18653/v1/2024.climatenlp-1.7 - Nunes Carvalho, T.M., de Assis de Souza Filho, F., de Brito, M.M. (2024):
Unveiling water allocation dynamics: a text analysis of 25 years of stakeholder meetings
Environ. Res. Lett. 19 (4), art. 044066 10.1088/1748-9326/ad37cd - Sodoge, J. (2024):
jansodoge/drought_impact_profiles_paper: NHESS Code and Data
Version: version data Zenodo 10.5281/zenodo.11127677 - Sodoge, J., de Brito, M.M. (2024):
Computational social sciences in human–water research
In: Koundouri, P., Alamanos, A. (eds.)
Elgar encyclopedia of water policy, economics and management
Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, p. 50 - 52 10.4337/9781802202946.00018 - Sodoge, J., Kuhlicke, C., Mahecha, M.D., de Brito, M.M. (2024):
Text mining uncovers the unique dynamics of socio-economic impacts of the 2018–2022 multi-year drought in Germany
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 24 (5), 1757 - 1777 10.5194/nhess-24-1757-2024 - Sodoge, J., Reckhaus, Z., Kuhlicke, C., de Brito, M.M. (2024):
Unified in diversity: Unravelling emerging knowledge on drought impact cascades via participatory modeling
Clim. Risk Manag. 46 , art. 100652 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100652 - Sutanto, S.J., Janssen, M., de Brito, M.M., del Pozo Garcia, M. (2024):
The effect of wildfires on flood risk: a multi-hazard flood risk approach for the Ebro River basin, Spain
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 24 (11), 3703 - 3721 10.5194/nhess-24-3703-2024
2023 (10)
- Castro, C.V., Carney, C., de Brito, M.M. (2023):
The role of network structure in integrated water management: a case study of collaboration and influence for adopting nature-based solutions
Front. Water 5 , art. 1011952 10.3389/frwa.2023.1011952 - de Brito, M.M. (2023):
Cities dried up by few
Nat. Sustain. 6 (8), 883 - 884 10.1038/s41893-023-01097-6 - de Brito, M.M., Kuhlicke, C., Bartkowski, B., Botzen, W., Doğulu, C., Han, S., Hudson, P., Karanci, A.N., Klassert, C., Otto, D., Scolobig, A., Moreno Soares, T., Rufat, S. (2023):
A systematic review of the use of theories in social vulnerability, resilience, and adaptation research
EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023
EGUsphere
Copernicus Publications, EGU23-1308 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-1308 - Kuhlicke, C., de Brito, M.M., Bartkowski, B., Botzen, W., Doğulu, C., Han, S., Hudson, P., Karanci, A.N., Klassert, C.J., Otto, D., Scolobig, A., Moreno Soares, T., Rufat, S. (2023):
Spinning in circles? A systematic review on the role of theory in social vulnerability, resilience and adaptation research
Glob. Environ. Change 80 , art. 102672 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102672 - Marx, A., Blauhut, V., Boeing, F., Forkel, M., Hagenlocher, M., Herbst, M., Hoffmann, P., Kuhlicke, C., Kumar, R., de Brito, M.M., Samaniego, L., Thonicke, K., Ziese, M. (2023):
Dürren und Waldbrände unter Klimawandel
In: Brasseur, G.P., Jacob, D., Schuck-Zöller, S. (Hrsg.)
Klimawandel in Deutschland: Entwicklung, Folgen, Risiken und Perspektiven
Springer Spektrum, Berlin, Heidelberg, S. 131 - 142 10.1007/978-3-662-66696-8_11 - Moreira, L.L., Vanelli, F.M., Schwamback, D., Kobiyama, M., de Brito, M.M. (2023):
Sensitivity analysis of indicator weights for the construction of flood vulnerability indexes: A participatory approach
Front. Water 5 , art. 970469 10.3389/frwa.2023.970469 - Nunes Carvalho, T.M., de Assis de Souza Filho, F., de Brito, M.M. (2023):
Water management assessment with text mining
EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023
EGUsphere
Copernicus Publications, EGU23-8349 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-8349 - Sodoge, J. (2023):
Drought impact statement dataset and code
Version: v1.0.0 Zenodo 10.5281/zenodo.7547489 - Sodoge, J., Kuhlicke, C., de Brito, M.M. (2023):
Automatized spatio-temporal detection of drought impacts from newspaper articles using natural language processing and machine learning
Weather Clim. Extremes 41 , art. 100574 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100574 - Sodoge, J., Kuhlicke, C., Mahecha, M., de Brito, M.M. (2023):
Drought impact profiles: Analyzing multivariate socio-economic drought impacts using nonlinear dimensionality reduction
EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023
EGUsphere
Copernicus Publications, EGU23-286 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-286
2022 (11)
- Akinsete, E., Koundouri, P., Kartala, X., Englezos, N., Lautze, J., Yihdego, Z., Gibson, J., Scholz, G., van Bers, C., Sodoge, J. (2022):
Sustainable WEF nexus management: A conceptual framework to integrate models of social, economic, policy, and institutional developments
Front. Water 4 , art. 727772 10.3389/frwa.2022.727772 - Jato-Espino, D., de Brito, M.M., Eslamian, S. (2022):
Multi-criteria decision analysis for flood risk assessment
In: Eslamian, S., Eslamian, F. (eds.)
Flood handbook. Analysis and modeling
CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL, p. 591 - 607 10.1201/9780429463938-35 - Otto, D., Pfeiffer, M., de Brito, M.M., Gross, M. (2022):
Fixed amidst change: 20 years of media coverage on carbon capture and storage in Germany
Sustainability 14 (12), art. 7342 10.3390/su14127342 - Papagiannaki, K., Petrucci, O., Diakakis, M., Kotroni, V., Aceto, L., Bianchi, C., Brázdil, R., Grimalt Gelabert, M., Inbar, M., Kahraman, A., Kılıç, Ö., Krahn, A., Kreibich, H., Llasat, M.C., Llasat-Botija, M., Macdonald, N., de Brito, M.M., Mercurio, M., Pereira, S., Řehoř, J., Rossello Geli, J., Salvati, P., Vinet, F., Zêzere, J.L. (2022):
Developing a large-scale dataset of flood fatalities for territories in the Euro-Mediterranean region, FFEM-DB
Sci. Data 9 , art. 166 10.1038/s41597-022-01273-x - Petrucci, O., Aceto, L., Bianchi, C., Brázdil, R., Diakakis, M., Inbar, M., Kahraman, A., Kılıç, Ö., Krahn, A., Kreibich, H., Kotroni, V., de Brito, M.M., Llasat, M.C., Llasat-Botija, M., Mercurio, M., Papagiannaki, K., Pereira, S., Řehoř, J., Rossello Geli, J., Salvati, P., Zêzere, J.L., Vinet, F. (2022):
FFEM-DB “Database of Flood Fatalities from the Euro-Mediterranean region”
4TU.ResearchData 10.4121/14754999.v2 - Raška, P., Bezak, N., Ferreira, C.S.S., Kalantari, Z., Banasik, K., Bertola, M., Bourke, M., Cerdà, A., Davids, P., de Brito, M.M., Evans, R., Finger, D.C., Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir, R., Housh, M., Hysa, A., Jakubínský, J., Kapović Solomun, M., Kaufmann, M., Keesstra, S., Keles, E., Kohnová, S., Pezzagno, M., Potočki, K., Rufat, S., Seifollahi-Aghmiuni, S., Schindelegger, A., Šraj, M., Stankunavicius, G., Stolte, J., Stričević, R., Szolgay, J., Zupanc, V., Slavíková, L., Hartmann, T. (2022):
Identifying barriers for nature-based solutions in flood risk management: An interdisciplinary overview using expert community approach
J. Environ. Manage. 310 , art. 114725 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.114725 - Rufat, S., de Brito, M.M., Fekete, A., Comby, E., Robinson, P.J., Armaş, I., Botzen, W.J.W., Kuhlicke, C. (2022):
Surveying the surveyors to address risk perception and adaptive-behaviour cross-study comparability
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 22 (8), 2655 - 2672 10.5194/nhess-22-2655-2022 - Sodoge, J., de Brito, M.M., Kuhlicke, C. (2022):
Automatized drought impact detection using natural language processing
WasserWirtschaft 112 (S1), 30 - 31 10.1007/s35147-022-1008-7 - Vanelli, F.M., Kobiyama, M., de Brito, M.M. (2022):
To which extent are socio-hydrology studies truly integrative? The case of natural hazards and disaster research
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 26 (8), 2301 - 2317 10.5194/hess-26-2301-2022 - Vanelli, F.M., Kobiyama, M., González Ávila, I., Fusinato, E., de Brito, M.M. (2022):
An integrative approach for overcoming dichotomous thinking in natural hazards and disasters research
In: Magnoni Jr, L. (ed.)
Ensino de geografia e a redução do risco de desastres em espaços urbanos e rurais
Centro Paula Souza, São Paulo, p. 697 - 719 - Yiwo, E., Jato-Espino, D., Carracedo, P., de Brito, M.M. (2022):
Multi-stakeholder perception on flood management in Ghana: Analysis of drivers and potential solutions, with a focus on surface permeability
Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 76 , art. 102990 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102990
2021 (8)
- de Brito, M.M. (2021):
Compound and cascading drought impacts do not happen by chance: A proposal to quantify their relationships
Sci. Total Environ. 778 , art. 146236 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146236 - de Brito, M.M., Otto, D., Kuhlicke, C. (2021):
Tracking topics and frames regarding sustainability transformations during the onset of the COVID-19 crisis
Sustainability 13 (19), art. 11095 10.3390/su131911095 - Fekete, A., Aslam, A.B., de Brito, M.M., Dominguez, I., Fernando, N., Illing, C.J., Apil, K.K.C., Mahdavian, F., Norf, C., Platt, S., Santi, P.A., Tempels, B. (2021):
Increasing flood risk awareness and warning readiness by participation – But who understands what under ‘participation’?
Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 57 , art. 102157 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102157 - Lehmann, P., Beck, S., de Brito, M.M., Gawel, E., Groß, M., Haase, A., Lepenies, R., Otto, D., Schiller, J., Strunz, S., Thrän, D. (2021):
Environmental sustainability post-COVID-19: Scrutinizing popular hypotheses from a social science perspective
Sustainability 13 (16), art. 8679 10.3390/su13168679 - Lehmann, P., de Brito, M.M., Gawel, E., Groß, M., Haase, A., Lepenies, R., Otto, D., Schiller, J., Strunz, S., Thrän, D. (2021):
Making the COVID-19 crisis a real opportunity for environmental sustainability
Sustain. Sci. 16 (6), 2137 - 2145 10.1007/s11625-021-01003-z - Moreira, L.L., de Brito, M.M., Kobiyama, M. (2021):
Review article: A systematic review and future prospects of flood vulnerability indices
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 21 (5), 1513 - 1530 10.5194/nhess-21-1513-2021 - Moreira, L.L., de Brito, M.M., Kobiyama, M. (2021):
Effect of different normalization, aggregation, and classification methods on the construction of flood vulnerability indexes"
Water 13 (1), art. 98 10.3390/w13010098 - Moreiro Melo, C., Kobiyama, M., Michel, G.P., de Brito, M.M. (2021):
The relevance of geotechnical-unit characterization for landslide-susceptibility mapping with SHALSTAB
GeoHazards 2 (4), 383 - 397 10.3390/geohazards2040021