Socio-Ecological Modelling
Humans shape Earth’s ecosystems through a wide range of activities such as farming, mining, building of infrastructure or the declaration of protected areas. We use dynamic social-ecological modelling, in particular agent-based modelling, to enhance the understanding of connections between human behaviour and emerging land use patterns under different processes of global change. This approach allows taking into account micro-scale interactions of households, links between social and ecological system components, and cross-scale effects of global policies (through their locally installed instruments) on local land use strategies.
Suitable policies which lead to sustainable land use practices can only be derived if humans are represented in simulation models in an appropriate way, e.g. considering their social contexts and their cognitive abilities. Therefore, a particular focus of our group lies on the adequate representation of human decision making in agent-based models of natural resource use and its theoretical and empirical foundation.
Selected Publications
- Surun, C., Drechsler, M. (2018):
Effectiveness of tradable permits for the conservation of metacommunities with two competing species
Ecol. Econ. 147 , 189 - 196 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.01.016 - Drechsler, M. (2017):
Performance of input- and output-based payments for the conservation of mobile species
Ecol. Econ. 134 , 49 - 56 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.12.022 - Groeneveld, J., Müller, B., Buchmann, C.M., Dressler, G., Guo, C., Hase, N., Hoffmann, F., John, F., Klassert, C., Lauf, T., Liebelt, V., Nolzen, H., Pannicke, N., Schulze, J., Weise, H., Schwarz, N. (2017):
Theoretical foundations of human decision-making in agent-based land use models – A review
Environ. Modell. Softw. 87 , 39 - 48 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.10.008 - Müller, B., Johnson, L., Kreuer, D. (2017):
Maladaptive outcomes of climate insurance in agriculture
Glob. Environ. Change 46 , 23 - 33 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.06.010 - Schlüter, M., Baeza, A., Dressler, G., Frank, K., Groeneveld, J., Jager, W., Janssen, M.A., McAllister, R.R.J., Müller, B., Orach, K., Schwarz, N., Wijermans, N. (2017):
A framework for mapping and comparing behavioural theories in models of social-ecological systems
Ecol. Econ. 131 , 21 - 35 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.08.008 - Schulze, J., Gawel, E., Nolzen, H., Weise, H., Frank, K. (2017):
The expansion of short rotation forestry: characterization of determinants with an agent-based land use model
GCB Bioenergy 9 (6), 1042 - 1056 10.1111/gcbb.12400 - Schulze, J., Müller, B., Groeneveld, J., Grimm, V. (2017):
Agent-based modelling of social-ecological systems: achievements, challenges, and a way forward
JASSS 20 (2), art. 8 10.18564/jasss.3423 - Dressler, G., Müller, B., Frank, K., Kuhlicke, C. (2016):
Towards thresholds of disaster management performance under demographic change: exploring functional relationships using agent-based modeling
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 16 (10), 2287 - 2301 10.5194/nhess-16-2287-2016 - Wätzold, F., Drechsler, M., Johst, K., Mewes, M., Sturm, A. (2016):
A novel, spatiotemporally explicit ecological-economic modeling procedure for the design of cost-effective agri-environment schemes to conserve biodiversity
Am. J. Agr. Econ. 98 (2), 489 - 512 10.1093/ajae/aav058 - Martin, R., Müller, B., Linstädter, A., Frank, K. (2014):
How much climate change can pastoral livelihoods tolerate? Modelling rangeland use and evaluating risk
Glob. Environ. Change 24 , 183 - 192 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.09.009 - Touza, J., Drechsler, M., Smart, J.C.R., Termansen, M. (2013):
Emergence of cooperative behaviours in the management of mobile ecological resources
Environ. Modell. Softw. 45 , 52 - 63 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.03.015
Cooperation Partners
Contact
- Martin Drechsler
- Gunnar Dressler
- Karin Frank
- Jürgen Groeneveld
- Niklas Hase
- Felix John
- David Kreuer
- Birgit Müller
- Henning Nolzen
- Jule Schulze
Links
- Ecological-Economic Modelling
- Energy Transition
- Junior Research Group POLISES (Global food security policies and their social-ecological side effects in regions prone to global change)
- Cross-departmental Journal-Club on “Human decisions in agent-based models of land use change”