Socio-Ecological Modelling - Helmholtz-Zentrum für Umweltforschung UFZ

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Socio-Ecological Modelling

Kontakt

Leiterin: Prof. Dr. Karin Frank
Karin Frank

Assistenz: Josephine Schmidt
josephine.schmidt@ufz.de
Telefon: +49 341 6025-1279

Standort

ESA-Auszeichnung für Prof. Volker Grimm

Prof. Dr. Volker Grimm erhält den "Whittaker Distinguished Ecologist Award" der Ecological Society of America (ESA)

LISA PhD college

The new PhD college LISA explores multifunctional landscapes in a model-based framework. Visit the LISA page for more details.

ECEM 2023 in Leipzig

"Ecological Modelling for Transformation"

Unter diesem Motto wird das UFZ vom 4. bis 8. September 2023 die Euopean Conference of Ecological Modelling (ECEM) ausrichten.

Für weitere Informationen besuchen Sie unsere Webseite oder folgen Sie uns auf Twitter

Website ECEM 2023
Twitter ECEM 2023

OESA Seminare

3 November 2022, 11.00 a.m.

"Agricultural ecosystem services under climate changes – modelling grassland biodiversity"

Thibault Moulin

FU Berlin

OESA-News

New publication

Ecological-Economic Modelling for Biodiversity Conservation Cambridge University Press

mit Martin Drechsler

Groups

POLISES

„Policy Instruments and Socio-Environmental Systems under Global Change”
www.polises.de

FORMIND

„FORMIND is an individual-based vegetation model that simulates the growth of species-rich forest”
www.formind.org

EcoEpi

„PG Ecological epidemiology - Model family addressing health crisis in populations”
www.ecoepi.eu

Video

Ausgewählte Publikationen

Alston, J.M., Fleming, C.H., Kays, R., Streicher, J.P., Downs, C.T., Ramesh, T., Reineking, B., Calabrese, J.M. (2023):
Mitigating pseudoreplication and bias in resource selection functions with autocorrelation-informed weighting
Methods Ecol. Evol. 14 (2), 643 - 654
Volltext (DOI)
Bartkowski, B., Schepanski, K., Bredenbeck, S., Müller, B. (2023):
Wind erosion in European agricultural landscapes: More than physics
People Nat. 5 (1), 34 - 44
Volltext (DOI)
de Koning, K., Broekhuijsen, J., Kühn, I., Ovaskainen, O., Taubert, F., Endresen, D., Schigel, D., Grimm, V. (2023):
Digital twins: dynamic model-data fusion for ecology
Trends Ecol. Evol. 38 (10), 916 - 926
Volltext (DOI)
Demers, J., Fagan, W.F., Potluri, S., Calabrese, J.M. (2023):
The relationship between controllability, optimal testing resource allocation, and incubation-latent period mismatch as revealed by COVID-19
Infect. Dis. Model. 8 (2), 514 - 538
Volltext (DOI)
Drechsler, M. (2023):
Flexibility trade‐offs in conservation offsets
Conserv. Biol.
Volltext (DOI)
Drechsler, M. (2023):
Ecological and economic trade-offs between amount and spatial aggregation of conservation and the cost-effective design of coordination incentives
Ecol. Econ. 213 , art. 107948
Volltext (DOI)
Forth, J.H., Calvelage, S., Fischer, M., Hellert, J., Sehl-Ewert, J., Roszyk, H., Deutschmann, P., Reichold, A., Lange, M., Thulke, H.-H., Sauter-Louis, C., Höper, D., Mandyhra, S., Sapachova, M., Beer, M., Blome, S. (2023):
African swine fever virus – variants on the rise
Emerg. Microbes Infect. 12 (1), art. 2146537
Volltext (DOI)
Martinez-Garcia, R., Cabal, C., Calabrese, J.M., Hernández-García, E., Tarnita, C.E., López, C., Bonachela, J.A. (2023):
Integrating theory and experiments to link local mechanisms and ecosystem-level consequences of vegetation patterns in drylands
Chaos Solitons Fractals 166 , art. 112881
Volltext (DOI)
Milles, A., Banitz, T., Bielcik, M., Frank, K., Gallagher, C.A., Jeltsch, F., Jepsen, J.U., Oro, D., Radchuk, V., Grimm, V. (2023):
Local buffer mechanisms for population persistence
Trends Ecol. Evol.
Volltext (DOI)
Silva, I., Fleming, C.H., Noonan, M.J., Fagan, W.F., Calabrese, J.M. (2023):
movedesign: Shiny R app to evaluate sampling design for animal movement studies
Methods Ecol. Evol. 14 (9), 2216 - 2225
Volltext (DOI)
Will, M., Groeneveld, J., Lenel, F., Frank, K., Müller, B. (2023):
Determinants of household vulnerability in networks with formal insurance and informal risk-sharing
Ecol. Econ. 212 , art. 107921
Volltext (DOI)
Anderies, J.M., Cumming, G.S., Clements, H.S., Lade, S.J., Seppelt, R., Chawla, S., Müller, B. (2022):
A framework for conceptualizing and modeling social-ecological systems for conservation research
Biol. Conserv. 275 , art. 109769
Volltext (DOI)
Bahrami, B., Hildebrandt, A., Thober, S., Rebmann, C., Fischer, R., Samaniego, L., Rakovec, O., Kumar, R. (2022):
Developing a parsimonious canopy model (PCM v1.0) to predict forest gross primary productivity and leaf area index of deciduous broad-leaved forest
Geosci. Model Dev. 15 (18), 6957 - 6984
Volltext (DOI)
Barton, C.M., Lee, A., Janssen, M.A., van der Leeuw, S., Tucker, G.E., Porter, C., Greenberg, J., Swantek, L., Frank, K., Chen, M., Jagers, H.R.A. (2022):
How to make models more useful
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 119 (35), e2202112119
Volltext (DOI)
Duncanson, L., Kellner, J.R., Armston, J., Dubayah, R., Minor, D.M., Hancock, S., Healey, S.P., Patterson, P.L., Saarela, S., Marselis, S., Silva, C.E., Bruening, J., Goetz, S.J., Tang, H., Hofton, M., Blair, B., Luthcke, S., Fatoyinbo, L., Abernethy, K., Alonso, A., Andersen, H.-E., Aplin, P., Baker, T.R., Barbier, N., Bastin, J.F., Biber, P., Boeckx, P., Bogaert, J., Boschetti, L., Brehm Boucher, P., Boyd, D.S., Burslem, D.F.R.P., Calvo-Rodriguez, S., Chave, J., Chazdon, R.L., Clark, D.B., Clark, D.A., Cohen, W.B., Coomes, D.A., Corona, P., Cushman, K.C., Cutler, M.E.J., Dalling, J.W., Dalponte, M., Dash, J., de-Miguel, S., Deng, S., Woods Ellis, P., Erasmus, B., Fekety, P.A., Fernandez-Landa, A., Ferraz, A., Fischer, R., Fisher, A.G., García-Abril, A., Gobakken, T., Hacker, J.M., Heurich, M., Hill, R.A., Hopkinson, C., Huang, H., Hubbell, S.P., Hudak, A.T., Huth, A., Imbach, B., Jeffery, K.J., Katoh, M., Kearsley, E., Kenfack, D., Kljun, N., Knapp, N., Král, K., Krůček, M., Labrière, N., Lewis, S.L., Longo, M., Lucas, R.M., Main, R., Manzanera, J.A., Vásquez Martínez, R., Mathieu, R., Memiaghe, H., Meyer, V., Monteagudo Mendoza, A., Monerris, A., Montesano, P., Morsdorf, F., Næsset, E., Naidoo, L., Nilus, R., O’Brien, M., Orwig, D.A., Papathanassiou, K., Parker, G., Philipson, C., Phillips, O.L., Pisek, J., Poulsen, J.R., Pretzsch, H., Rüdiger, C., Saatchi, S., Sanchez-Azofeifa, A., Sanchez-Lopez, N., Scholes, R., Silva, C.A., Simard, M., Skidmore, A., Stereńczak, K., Tanase, M., Torresan, C., Valbuena, R., Verbeeck, H., Vrska, T., Wessels, K., White, J.C., White, L.J.T., Zahabu, E., Zgraggen, C. (2022):
Aboveground biomass density models for NASA’s Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) lidar mission
Remote Sens. Environ. 270 , art. 112845
Volltext (DOI)
Fleming, C.H., Deznabi, I., Alavi, S., Crofoot, M.C., Hirsch, B.T., Medici, E.P., Noonan, M.J., Kays, R., Fagan, W.F., Sheldon, D.R., Calabrese, J.M. (2022):
Population-level inference for home-range areas
Methods Ecol. Evol. 13 (5), 1027 - 1041
Volltext (DOI)
Gonzalez-Akre, E., Piponiot, C., Lepore, M., Herrmann, V., Lutz, J.A., Baltzer, J.L., Dick, C., Gilbert, G.S., He, F., Heym, M., Huerta, A.I., Jansen, P., Johnson, D.J., Knapp, N., Kral, K., Lin, D., Malhi, Y., McMahon, S., Myers, J.A., Orwig, D., Rodríguez-Hernández, D.I., Russo, S., Shue, J., Wang, X., Wolf, A., Yang, T., Davies, S.J., Anderson-Teixeira, K.J. (2022):
allodb: An R package for biomass estimation at globally distributed extratropical forest plots
Methods Ecol. Evol. 13 (2), 330 - 338
Volltext (DOI)
Li, S., Abdulkadir, N., Schattenberg, F., Nunes da Rocha, U., Grimm, V., Müller, S., Liu, Z. (2022):
Stabilizing microbial communities by looped mass transfer
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 119 (17), e2117814119
Volltext (DOI)
Pothasin, P., Paradis, E., Brockelman, W.Y., Nathalang, A., Khemrugka, T., Lomwong, N., Thripob, P., Saenprasert, R., Chanthorn, W. (2022):
Seed size variation of trees and lianas in a tropical forest of Southeast Asia: Allometry, phylogeny, and seed trait - plant functional trait relationships
Front. Plant Sci. 13 , art. 852167
Volltext (DOI)
Silva, I., Fleming, C.H., Noonan, M.J., Alston, J., Folta, C., Fagan, W.F., Calabrese, J.M. (2022):
Autocorrelation-informed home range estimation: a review and practical guide
Methods Ecol. Evol. 13 (3), 534 - 544
Volltext (DOI)
Thripob, P., Fortunel, C., Réjou-Méchain, M., Nathalang, A., Chanthorn, W. (2022):
Size-dependent intraspecific variation in wood traits has little impact on aboveground carbon estimates in a tropical forest landscape
Funct. Ecol. 36 (9), 2303 - 2316
Volltext (DOI)
Williams, T.G., Brown, D.G., Guikema, S.D., Logan, T.M., Magliocca, N.R., Müller, B., Steger, C.E. (2022):
Integrating equity considerations into agent-based modeling: A conceptual framework and practical guidance
JASSS 25 (3), art. 1
Volltext (DOI)
Archidona-Yuste, A., Wiegand, T., Eisenhauer, N., Cantalapiedra-Navarrete, C., Palomares-Rius, J.E., Castillo, P. (2021):
Agriculture causes homogenization of plant-feeding nematode communities at the regional scale
J. Appl. Ecol. 58 (12), 2881 - 2891
Volltext (DOI)
Brock, J., Lange, M., Tratalos, J.A., More, S.J., Guelbenzu-Gonzalo, M., Graham, D.A., Thulke, H.-H. (2021):
A large-scale epidemiological model of BoHV-1 spread in the Irish cattle population to support decision-making in conformity with the European Animal Health Law
Prev. Vet. Med. 192 , art. 105375
Volltext (DOI)
Bruening, J.M., Fischer, R., Bohn, F.J., Armston, J., Armstrong, A.H., Knapp, N., Tang, H., Huth, A., Dubayah, R. (2021):
Challenges to aboveground biomass prediction from waveform lidar
Environ. Res. Lett. 16 (12), art. 125013
Volltext (DOI)
Care, O., Bernstein, M.J., Chapman, M., Diaz Reviriego, I., Dressler, G., Felipe-Lucia, M.R., Friis, C., Graham, S., Hänke, H., Haider, L.J., Hernández-Morcillo, M., Hoffmann, H., Kernecker, M., Nicol, P., Piñeiro, C., Pitt, H., Schill, C., Seufert, V., Shu, K., Valencia, V., Zaehringer, J.G. (2021):
Creating leadership collectives for sustainability transformations
Sustain. Sci. 16 (2), 703 - 708
Volltext (DOI)
Clark, A.T., Arnoldi, J.-F., Zelnik, Y.R., Barabas, G., Hodapp, D., Karakoç, C., König, S., Radchuk, V., Donohue, I., Huth, A., Jacquet, C., de Mazancourt, C., Mentges, A., Nothaaß, D., Shoemaker, L.G., Taubert, F., Wiegand, T., Wang, S., Chase, J.M., Loreau, M., Harpole, S. (2021):
General statistical scaling laws for stability in ecological systems
Ecol. Lett. 24 (7), 1474 - 1486
Volltext (DOI)
Cuni-Sanchez, A., Sullivan, M.J.P., Platts, P.J., Lewis, S.L., Marchant, R., Imani, G., Hubau, W., Abiem, I., Adhikari, H., Albrecht, T., Altman, J., Amani, C., Aneseyee, A.B., Avitabile, V., Banin, L., Batumike, R., Bauters, M., Beeckman, H., Begne, S.K., Bennett, A.C., Bitariho, R., Boeckx, P., Bogaert, J., Bräuning, A., Bulonvu, F., Hiltner, U., Horak, D., et al. (2021):
High aboveground carbon stock of African tropical montane forests
Nature 596 (7873), 536 - 542
Volltext (DOI)
Drechsler, M., Gerling, C., Keuler, K., Leins, J., Sturm, A., Wätzold, F. (2021):
A quantitative approach for the design of robust and cost-effective conservation policies under uncertain climate change: The case of grasshopper conservation in Schleswig-Holstein, Germany
J. Environ. Manage. 286 , art. 113201
Volltext (DOI)
Fischer, R., Taubert, F., Müller, M.S., Groeneveld, J., Lehmann, S., Wiegand, T., Huth, A. (2021):
Accelerated forest fragmentation leads to critical increase in tropical forest edge area
Sci. Adv. 7 (37), eabg7012
Volltext (DOI)
Getzin, S., Erickson, T.E., Yizhaq, H., Muñoz‐Rojas, M., Huth, A., Wiegand, K. (2021):
Bridging ecology and physics: Australian fairy circles regenerate following model assumptions on ecohydrological feedbacks
J. Ecol. 109 (1), 399 - 416
Volltext (DOI)
Habtemariam, L.T., Will, M., Müller, B. (2021):
Agricultural insurance through the lens of rural household dietary diversity
Glob. Food Secur. 28 , art. 100485
Volltext (DOI)
Keil, P., Wiegand, T., Tóth, A.B., McGlinn, D.J., Chase, J.M. (2021):
Measurement and analysis of interspecific spatial associations as a facet of biodiversity
Ecol. Monogr. 91 (3), e01452
Volltext (DOI)
Noonan, M.J., Martinez‐Garcia, R., Davis, G.H., Crofoot, M.C., Kays, R., Hirsch, B.T., Caillaud, D., Payne, E., Sih, A., Sinn, D.L., Spiegel, O., Fagan, W.F., Fleming, C.H., Calabrese, J.M. (2021):
Estimating encounter location distributions from animal tracking data
Methods Ecol. Evol. 12 (7), 1158 - 1173
Volltext (DOI)
Perea, A.J., Wiegand, T., Garrido, J.L., Rey, P.J., Alcántara, J.M. (2021):
Legacy effects of seed dispersal mechanisms shape the spatial interaction network of plant species in Mediterranean forests
J. Ecol. 109 (10), 3670 - 3684
Volltext (DOI)
Proesmans, W., Albrecht, M., Gajda, A., Neumann, P., Paxton, R.J., Pioz, M., Polzin, C., Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Szentgyörgyi, H., Thulke, H.-H., Vanbergen, A.J. (2021):
Pathways for novel epidemiology: Plant–pollinator–pathogen networks and global change
Trends Ecol. Evol. 36 (7), 623 - 636
Volltext (DOI)
Steger, C., Hirsch, S., Cosgrove, C., Inman, S., Nost, E., Shinbrot, X., Thorn, J.P.R., Brown, D.G., Grêt-Regamey, A., Müller, B., Reid, R.S., Tucker, C., Weibel, B., Klein, J.A. (2021):
Linking model design and application for transdisciplinary approaches in social-ecological systems
Glob. Environ. Change 66 , art. 102201
Volltext (DOI)
Steger, C., Klein, J.A., Reid, R.S., Lavorel, S., Tucker, C., Hopping, K.A., Marchant, R., Teel, T., Cuni-Sanchez, A., Dorji, T., Greenwood, G., Huber, R., Kassam, K.-A., Kreuer, D., Nolin, A., Russell, A., Sharp, J.L., Šmid Hribar, M., Thorn, J.P.R., Grant, G., Mahdi, M., Moreno, M., Waiswa, D. (2021):
Science with society: Evidence-based guidance for best practices in environmental transdisciplinary work
Glob. Environ. Change 68 , art. 102240
Volltext (DOI)
Weitere, M., Altenburger, R., Anlanger, C., Baborowski, M., Bärlund, I., Beckers, L.-M., Borchardt, D., Brack, W., Brase, L., Busch, W., Chatzinotas, A., Deutschmann, B., Eligehausen, J., Frank, K., Graeber, D., Griebler, C., Hagemann, J., Herzsprung, P., Hollert, H., Inostroza, P.A., Jäger, C.G., Kallies, R., Kamjunke, N., Karrasch, B., Kaschuba, S., Kaus, A., Klauer, B., Knöller, K., Koschorreck, M., Krauss, M., Kunz, J.V., Kurz, M.J., Liess, M., Mages, M., Müller, C., Muschket, M., Musolff, A., Norf, H., Pöhlein, F., Reiber, L., Risse-Buhl, U., Schramm, K.-W., Schmitt-Jansen, M., Schmitz, M., Strachauer, U., von Tümpling, W., Weber, N., Wild, R., Wolf, C., Brauns, M. (2021):
Disentangling multiple chemical and non-chemical stressors in a lotic ecosystem using a longitudinal approach
Sci. Total Environ. 769 , art. 144324
Volltext (DOI)
Wiegand, T., Wang, X., Anderson-Teixeira, K.-J., Bourg, N.A., Cao, M., Ci, X., Davies, S.J., Hao, Z., Howe, R.W., Kress, W.J., Lian, J., Li, J., Lin, L., Lin, Y., Ma, K., McShea, W., Mi, X., Su, S.-H., Sun, I.-F., Wolf, A., Ye, W., Huth, A. (2021):
Consequences of spatial patterns for coexistence in species-rich plant communities
Nat. Ecol. Evol. 5 (7), 965 - 973
Volltext (DOI)
Berzaghi, F., Wright, I.J., Kramer, K., Oddou-Muratorio, S., Bohn, F.J., Reyer, C.P.O., Sabaté, S., Sanders, T.G.M., Hartig, F. (2020):
Towards a new generation of trait-flexible vegetation models
Trends Ecol. Evol. 35 (3), 191 - 205
Volltext (DOI)
Fedriani, J.M., Ayllón, D., Wiegand, T., Grimm, V. (2020):
Intertwined effects of defaunation, increased tree mortality, and density compensation on seed dispersal
Ecography 43 (9), 1352 - 1363
Volltext (DOI)
Grimm, V., Johnston, A.S.A., Thulke, H.-H., Forbes, V.E., Thorbek, P. (2020):
Three questions to ask before using model outputs for decision support
Nat. Commun. 11 , art. 4959
Volltext (DOI)
Knapp, N., Fischer, R., Cazcarra-Bes, V., Huth, A. (2020):
Structure metrics to generalize biomass estimation from lidar across forest types from different continents
Remote Sens. Environ. 237 , art. 111597
Volltext (DOI)
Muenchow, J., Dieker, P., Böttcher, T., Brock, J., Didenko, G., Fremout, T., Jakubka, D., Jentsch, A., Nüst, D., Richter, M., Rodríguez, E.F., Rodríguez, R.A., Rollenbeck, R., Zarsosa, P.S., Schratz, P., Brenning, A. (2020):
Monitoring and predictive mapping of floristic biodiversity along a climatic gradient in ENSO's terrestrial core region, NW Peru
Ecography 43 (12), 1878 - 1890
Volltext (DOI)
Müller, B., Hoffmann, F., Heckelei, T., Müller, C., Hertel, T.W., Polhill, J.G., van Wijk, M., Achterbosch, T., Alexander, P., Brown, C., Kreuer, D., Ewert, F., Ge, J., Millington, J.D.A., Seppelt, R., Verburg, P.H., Webber, H. (2020):
Modelling food security: Bridging the gap between the micro and the macro scale
Glob. Environ. Change 63 , art. 102085
Volltext (DOI)
Rahimi Balkanlou, K., Müller, B., Cord, A.F., Panahi, F., Malekian, A., Jafari, M., Egli, L. (2020):
Spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystem services provision in a degraded ecosystem: A systematic assessment in the Lake Urmia basin, Iran
Sci. Total Environ. 716 , art. 137100
Volltext (DOI)
Reyer, C.P.O., Silveyra Gonzalez, R., Dolos, K., Hartig, F., Hauf, Y., Noack, M., Lasch-Born, P., Rötzer, T., Pretzsch, H., Meesenburg, H., Fleck, S., Wagner, M., Bolte, A., Sanders, T.G.M., Kolari, P., Mäkelä, A., Vesala, T., Mammarella, I., Pumpanen, J., Collalti, A., Trotta, C., Matteucci, G., D'Andrea, E., Foltýnová, L., Krejza, J., Ibrom, A., Pilegaard, K., Loustau, D., Bonnefond, J.-M., Berbigier, P., Picart, D., Lafont, S., Dietzel, M., Cameron, D., Vieno, M., Tian, H., Palacios-Orueta, A., Cicuendez, V., Recuero, L., Wiese, K., Büchner, M., Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Kim, H., Horemans, J.A., Bohn, F., Steinkamp, J., Chikalanov, A., Weedon, G.P., Sheffield, J., Babst, F., Vega del Valle, I., Suckow, F., Martel, S., Mahnken, M., Gutsch, M., Frieler, K. (2020):
The PROFOUND Database for evaluating vegetation models and simulating climate impacts on European forests
Earth Syst. Sci. Data 12 (2), 1295 - 1320
Volltext (DOI)
Schlägel, U.E., Grimm, V., Blaum, N., Colangeli, P., Dammhahn, M., Eccard, J.A., Hausmann, S.L., Herde, A., Hofer, H., Joshi, J., Kramer‐Schadt, S., Litwin, M., Lozada‐Gobilard, S.D., Müller, M.E.H., Müller, T., Nathan, R., Petermann, J.S., Pirhofer‐Walzl, K., Radchuk, V., Rillig, M.C., Roeleke, M., Schäfer, M., Scherer, C., Schiro, G., Scholz, C., Teckentrup, L., Tiedemann, R., Ullmann, W., Voigt, C.C., Weithoff, G., Jeltsch, F. (2020):
Movement‐mediated community assembly and coexistence
Biol. Rev. 95 (4), 1073 - 1096
Volltext (DOI)

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