Ecological-Economic Modelling

Most of the world's ecosystems are affected by human activities, be it indirectly e.g. through human-induced climate change or directly e.g. through land clearing and harvesting of resources. The conservation of biodiversity and the maintenance of ecosystem services therefore have an ecological as well as an economic dimension. Deriving strategies to conserve biodiversity and use the resources of ecosystems in a sustainable manner requires the integrated consideration of both dimensions. Ecological-economic Modelling is a useful method for the integration of ecology and economics. At the Department of Ecological Modelling it is especially applied for the analysis of market-based biodiversity-conservation instruments, such as conservation payments or conservation offsets. Another topic of our research includes the management of renewable resources. Emphasis is laid on the spatial and temporal effects of policies, as well as the policies’ cost-effectiveness, i.e. their ability to deliver desired conservation goals at least economic costs. A multitude of methods is used, such as spatial and dynamic modelling, agent-based modelling, spatial and dynamic optimisation, uncertainty and sensitivity analyses.

ecoTRADE results
Effect of climate change on the cost-effective allocation of grassland conservation measures (Gerling et al. 2022, Fig. 2). Left: cost-effective allocation for the years 2020-2039; middle: cost-effective allocation for the years 2060-2079; right: change between the two time periods.
Ecological-economic modelling has been proven to be an effective method for integrating ecology and economics.

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