Publication Details

Category Text Publication
Reference Category Journals
DOI 10.1093/qopen/qoac004
Licence creative commons licence
Title (Primary) Climate–ecological–economic modelling for the cost-effective spatiotemporal allocation of conservation measures in cultural landscapes facing climate change
Author Gerling, C.; Drechsler, M.; Keuler, K.; Leins, J.A.; Radtke, K.; Schulz, B.; Sturm, A.; Wätzold, F.
Source Titel Q Open
Year 2022
Department OESA
Volume 2
Issue 1
Page From qoac004
Language englisch
Topic T5 Future Landscapes
Supplements https://oup.silverchair-cdn.com/oup/backfile/Content_public/Journal/qopen/2/1/10.1093_qopen_qoac004/1/qoac004_online_appendix.docx?Expires=1735908127&Signature=fPbY4tp-gBDgD~uihTZRej3NkYFwU9DCEpHqIZT407PpIB1AJvmwdKRl1ywUxGrGXzXlrczcM-qIi~q0iZUJJr0r~UyeaxQ3ErKrc3lDWsybUbJc0f9oHZrES~pMCA2if481Gv0lAW145Ytv24C2o-gtLpZpp6IJyIgcbmKEdIMyJ7F63t8yorAmbhyIpv-9qELDErUcd0OLEyCcRadV1dnKElcWWfu2q32SkS5ihW0aCayQniR9o3UUs~34cexa~8ydT1Dzq~hQXmZBrCSVC9AYcITQTe-6yaKNjFH0FMGp-GLEaL7xL~z4idDIKycdIUlPYCj0F-udy3gEa4maqQ__&Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA
Keywords Agricultural landscapes; Biodiversity conservation; Climate–ecological–economic model; Conservation planning; Large marsh grasshopper; Species conservation
Abstract Climate change has become a key threat to biodiversity. As a response to climate change, species may adapt spatially (with range shifts) and temporally (with phenological adaptations), which may alter the impact of conservation measures. In cultural landscapes, where conservation often depends on specifically timed land use, climate change may also induce spatial changes in opportunity costs of conservation measures and with respect to their timing. Thus, previously cost-effectiveness conservation efforts may become less cost-effective. We develop a climate–ecological–economic model to investigate climate change-induced modifications of the cost-effective spatiotemporal allocation of conservation measures. We apply the model to a case study to investigate the cost-effectiveness of grassland measures to conserve the large marsh grasshopper in northern Germany for the periods 2020–39 and 2060–79. Our model shows modifications in the cost-effective spatial allocation of conservation measures and that the timing of measures adapted to phenological changes remains cost-effective under climate change.
Persistent UFZ Identifier https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=29991
Gerling, C., Drechsler, M., Keuler, K., Leins, J.A., Radtke, K., Schulz, B., Sturm, A., Wätzold, F. (2022):
Climate–ecological–economic modelling for the cost-effective spatiotemporal allocation of conservation measures in cultural landscapes facing climate change
Q Open 2 (1), qoac004 10.1093/qopen/qoac004