Emanuele Bevacqua

Dr. Emanuele Bevacqua

Researcher

Address


Permoserstraße 15
04318 Leipzig

Building 7.1, Room 412

emanuele.bevacqua@ufz.de Private website


Research Interests

Trained as a physicist, I study climate and weather extreme events in a changing climate. My research focuses on advancing our understanding of compound weather and climate extreme events, which are combinations of climatic drivers or hazards that cause most of the societal and environmental impacts. I lead the Compound Climate Extremes group, which is supported by the Emmy Noether Programme. With my team, we integrate observations, novel climate large ensemble climate model simulations providing hundreds to thousands of years of data, and impact models such as hydrological and renewable energy models, to study a wide range of compound events. Our research spans widespread floods, wildfire-favorable hot-dry conditions, multi-region droughts threatening food security, and adverse weather affecting renewable energy production. We investigate the physical drivers of compound events and assess the impact of climate variability and change on these events under present and future conditions. We also inform about uncertainties in projections and potential worst-case climate outcomes that may surprise society with extreme impacts.


Career

Since 06/2024 Emmy Noether Group Leader
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany.
Since 01/2024 Deputy Head of the Compound Environmental Risks department
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany.
01/2021–05/2024
Postdoctoral Researcher
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany.
02/2020–12/2020
Postdoctoral Research Fellow
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, United Kingdom.
03/2019–01/2020
Postdoctoral Research Assistant
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, United Kingdom.
09/2018–02/2019 Postdoctoral Research Scientist
Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change, University of Graz, Austria.
11/2014–09/2018 PhD student
Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change, University of Graz, Austria & GEOMAR – Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Germany.

Education

09/2018 PhD in Physics (Climate Science)
Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change, University of Graz, Austria.
10/2014 Master of Science in Physics (Geophysics and Astrophysics)
University of Calabria, Cosenza, Italy.
12/2012

Bachelor’s degree in Physics
University of Calabria, Cosenza, Italy.

Selected Publications

  • Bevacqua, E., Schleussner, C.-F., and Zscheischler, J. (2025). "A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit". Nature Climate Change, DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02246-9.
  • Bevacqua, E., Rakovec, O., Schumacher, D. L., Kumar, R., Thober, S., Samaniego, L., Seneviratne, S. I., and Zscheischler, J. (2024). “Direct and lagged climate change effects intensified the 2022 European drought”. Nature Geoscience, 17, 1100–1107, DOI: 10.1038/s41561-024-01559-2.
  • Bevacqua, E., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Jezequel, A., Lehner, F., Vrac, M., Yiou, P., and Zscheischler, J. (2023). “Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations”, Nature Communications, 14, 2145, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37847-5.

  • Bevacqua, E., Zappa, G., Lehner, F., and Zscheischler, J. (2022). “Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot-dry events”. Nature Climate Change, 12, 350–355, DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01309-5.
  • Bevacqua, E., De Michele, C., Manning, C., Couasnon, A., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Ramos, A. M., Vignotto, E., Bastos, A., Blesić, S., Durante, F., Hillier, J., Oliveira, S. C., Pinto, J. G., Ragno, E., Rivoire, P., Saunders, K., van der Wiel, K., Wu, W., Zhang, T., Zscheischler, J. (2021). “Guidelines for studying diverse types of compound weather and climate events”. Earth’s Future, 9, e2021EF002340, DOI: 10.1029/2021EF002340.
  • Bevacqua, E., Maraun, D., Vousdoukas, M. I., Voukouvalas, E., Vrac, M., Mentaschi, L., and Widmann, M. (2019). “Higher probability of compound flooding from precipitation and storm surge in Europe under anthropogenic climate change”. Science Advances, 5(9), eaaw5531, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaw5531.
  • Bevacqua, E., Maraun, D., Haff, I. H., Widmann, M., and Vrac, M. (2017). “Multivariate statistical modelling of compound events via pair-copula constructions: analysis of floods in Ravenna (Italy)”. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, 2701-2723, DOI: 10.5194/hess-21-2701-2017.


Funding

  • 2025-2027. SEESAW: Societal and Environmental impacts of complex ExtremeS in a chAnging World (co-PI, ~500,000 € in total for a cohort of four PhD students, one directly supervised and one co-supervised by myself; Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ).
  • 2024–2029. ADVICE: ADVancing the Investigation of Compound Events via large ensemble climate model simulations (PI, ~1,500,000 €; Emmy Noether Programme of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft).

  • 2018–2022. DAMOCLES: UnDerstanding And Modeling cOmpound CLimate and weather EventS (Secondary proposer, ~600,000; COST Action).


Publications


The following provides a list of publications arising from work at UFZ Leipzig since 2021.

2025 (4)

2024 (12)

2023 (6)

2022 (7)

2021 (3)