Education

PhD in Geophysical Sciences and Geoinformation (Meteorology) – Faculty of Sciences of the University of Lisbon, Portugal (Mar. 2016 - Oct. 2020)

Master in Geophysical Sciences (Meteorology) – Faculty of Sciences of the University of Lisbon, Portugal (Sep. 2011- Jul. 2013)

Degree in Meteorology, Oceanography and Geophysics – Faculty of Sciences of the University of Lisbon, Portugal (Sep. 2007- Jul. 2011)

Publications

2025

*Joint first-authorship: *Richardson, D., *Ribeiro, A. F. S., Batibeniz, F., Quilcaille, Y., Taschetto, S. A., Pitman, A., and Zscheischler, J. (2025). Increasing fire weather season overlap between North America and Australia challenges firefighting cooperation. Earth's Future, 13, e2024EF005030. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005030

Batibeniz, F., Seneviratne, S. I., Jha, S., Ribeiro, A., Suarez Gutierrez, L., Raible, C. C., Malhotra, A., Armstrong, B., Bell, M. L., Lavigne, E., Gasparrini, A., Guo, Y., Hashizume, M., Masselot, P., da Silva, S. P., Royé, D., Sera, F., Tong, S., Urban, A., & Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. (2025). Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality. Scientific Reports, 15(1), 1002. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82788-8

Russo, A., Bento, V. A., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Lima, D. C. A., Careto, J. A. M., Soares, P. M. M., Libonati, R., Trigo, R. M., & Gouveia, C. M. (2025). Increased population exposure to extreme droughts in Iberia due to 0.5 °C additional anthropogenic warming. Environmental Research Letters, 20(1), 14075. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad975d

2023-2024

Schmitt, J., Offermann, F., Ribeiro, A. F. S., & Finger, R.: Drought risk management in agriculture: A copula perspective on crop diversification. Agricultural Economics, 2024, 1-25. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12851

Ribeiro, A. F. S., Santos, L., Randerson, J. T., Uribe, M. R., Alencar, A.A.C., Macedo, M. N., and Morton, D. C., Zscheischler, J., and Silvestrini, R. A. Rattis, L., Seneviratne, S.I., Brando, P. M.: The time since land-use transition drives changes in fire activity in the Amazon-Cerrado region, Communications Earth & Environment, 5:96, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01248-3, 2024.

Páscoa, P., Gouveia, C., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Russo, A.: Compound drought and hot events assessment in Australia using copula functions, Environmental Research Communications, 6, 031002, https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad2bb8, 2024.

Quilcaille, Y., Batibeniz, F., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Padrón, R. S., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Fire weather index data under historical and shared socioeconomic pathway projections in the 6th phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project from 1850 to 2100, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 15, 2153–2177, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2153-2023, 2023.

2022

Ribeiro, A. F. S., Brando, P. M., Santos, L., Rattis, L., Hirschi, M., Hauser, M., Seneviratne, S. I., Zscheischler, J.: A compound-event-oriented framework to tropical fire risk assessment in a changing climate, Environmental Research Letters, 17(6), 065015, http://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac7342, 2022.

Páscoa, P., Gouveia, C. M., Russo, A. and Ribeiro, A. F. S.: Summer hot extremes and antecedent drought conditions in Australia. International Journal of Climatology, 1-16, http://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7544, 2022.

Bento, V. A., Russo, A., Dutra, E., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Gouveia, C. M., Trigo, R. M.: Seasonal forecasts of cereal crop yields: persistence versus dynamical modelling. Scientific Reports, 12, 7422, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-11228-2, 2022.

2021
Bevacqua, E., Michele, C. De, Manning, C., Couasnon, A., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Ramos, A. M., Vignotto, E., Bastos, A., Blesić, S., Durante, F., Hillier, J., Oliveira, S. C., Pinto, J. G., Ragno, E., Rivoire, P., Saunders, K., van der Wiel, K., Wu, W., Zhang, T., & Zscheischler, J.: Guidelines for Studying Diverse Types of Compound Weather and Climate Events. Earth’s Future, 9(11), 1–23.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002340, 2021.

Bento, V. A., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Russo, A., Gouveia, C. M., Cardoso, R. M., Soares, P. M. M.: The impact of climate change in wheat and barley yields in the Iberian Peninsula. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 1–12, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-95014-6, 2021.

Páscoa, P., Russo, A., Gouveia, C. M., Soares, P. M. M., Cardoso, R. M., Careto, J. A. M., Ribeiro, A. F. S.: A high-resolution view of the recent drought trends over the Iberian Peninsula. Weather and Climate Extremes, 32, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100320, 2021.

Villalobos-Herrera, R., Bevacqua, E., Ribeiro, A. F. S., Auld, G., Crocetti, L., Mircheva, B., Ha, M., Zscheischler, J., De Michele, C.: Towards a compound-event-oriented climate model evaluation: A decomposition of the underlying biases in multivariate fire and heat stress hazards. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 21(6), 1867–1885, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1867-2021, 2021.

2020

Ribeiro, A. F. S., Russo, A., Gouveia, C.M., Páscoa, P., Pires, C.: Drought-related hot summers: a joint probability analysis in the Iberian Peninsula, Weather and Climate Extremes, 30, 100279, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2020.100279, 2020.

Ribeiro, A.F.S., Russo, A., Gouveia, C., Páscoa, P., Zscheischler, J.: Risk of crop-failure due to compound dry and hot extremes using nested copulas, Biogeosciences, 17, 4815–4830, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-4815-2020 , 2020.

Péres, W.E., Ribeiro, A.F.S., Russo, A., Nunes, B.: The association between air temperature and mortality in two Brazilian health regions, Climate, 8, https://doi.org/10.3390/cli8010016, 2020.

2019

Ribeiro, A. F. S., Russo, A., Gouveia, C.M., Páscoa, P.: Copula-based agricultural drought risk of rainfed cropping systems, Agricultural Water Management, 223, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2019.105689, 2019.

Ribeiro, A.F.S., Russo, A., Gouveia, C.M., Páscoa, P., Pires, C.: Probabilistic modelling of the dependence between rainfed crops and drought hazard. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2795–2809, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-2795-2019, 2019.

Ribeiro, A.F.S., Russo, A., Gouveia, C.M., Páscoa, P.: Modelling drought-related yield losses in Iberia using remote sensing and multiscalar indices, Theor Appl Climatol, 136(1-2), 203-220, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2478-5, 2019.

2014-2017

Pires, C. A. L., Ribeiro, A. F. S.: Separation of the atmospheric variability into non-Gaussian multidimensional sources by projection pursuit techniques, Clim Dyn, 48, 821, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3112-9, 2017.

Ribeiro, A. F. S., Pires, C. L. P.: Seasonal drought predictability in Portugal using statistical-dynamical techniques. Phys. Chem. Earth., Parts A/B/C, 94, 155-166, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2015.04.003, 2016.

Ribeiro, A., Barbosa, S., Scotto, M. G., Donner, R. V.: Changes in extreme sea-levels in the Baltic Sea, Tellus A, 66, 20921, https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v66.20921, 2014.