Details zur Publikation

Referenztyp Zeitschriften
DOI / URL Link
Volltext Autorenversion
Titel (primär) Uncertainty as a driving force for geoscientific development
Autor Paasche, H.; Paasche, K.; Dietrich, P.;
Journal / Serie Nature & Culture
Erscheinungsjahr 2020
Department MET;
Band/Volume 15
Heft 1
Sprache englisch;
POF III (gesamt) T53;
Keywords discovery science; Earth science; Earth system dynamics; hypothesis-driven science; uncertainty; uncertainty quantification
Abstract Geoscientists invest significant effort to cope with uncertainty in Earth system observation and modeling. While general discussions exist about uncertainty and risk communication, judgment and decision-making, and science communication with regard to Earth sciences, in this article, we tackle uncertainty from the perspective of Earth science practitioners. We argue different scientific methodologies must be used to recognize all types of uncertainty inherent to a scientific finding. Following a discovery science methodology results in greater potential for the quantification of uncertainty associated to scientific findings than staying inside hypothesis-driven science methodology, as is common practice. Enabling improved uncertainty quantification could relax debates about risk communication and decision-making since it reduces the room for personality traits when communicating scientific findings.
ID 22889
dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung
Paasche, H., Paasche, K., Dietrich, P. (2020):
Uncertainty as a driving force for geoscientific development
Nat. Cult. 15 (1), 1 - 18