Publication Details

Category Text Publication
Reference Category Journals
DOI 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107909
Licence creative commons licence
Title (Primary) Optimizing urban green space spatial pattern to reduce land surface temperature: A greedy-based adaptive strategy
Author Dong, X.; Ye, Y.; Yi, S.; Cui, L.; Yang, R.; Zhou, T.; Haase, D.; Lausch, A. ORCID logo
Source Titel Sustainable Cities and Society
Year 2026
Department CLE
Language englisch
Topic T5 Future Landscapes
Supplements Supplement 1
Keywords urban green space; land surface temperature; urban heat island; spatial pattern; adaptive decision-making
Abstract Urban green space (UGS) planning often draws on average relationships between spatial configuration and land surface temperature (LST), whereas phased interventions require choices for specific locations and landscape states. This study compares three predefined greening rules with a greedy-based adaptive strategy (AS) in Philadelphia. A CNN-XGBoost model provides a common scenario-evaluation engine; the adaptive decision procedure selects among centralized, irregular, and decentralized rules for each planning unit and round. The original 420 m group-based split yielded a test R² of 0.909. An additional validation excluding overlapping predictor windows yielded a mean R² of 0.886, providing a more conservative assessment of within-city prediction. Under the stated scenario assumptions, AS achieved the greatest cumulative predicted cooling and the highest average cooling efficiency, 0.159°C per percentage-point increase in UGS cover. This efficiency exceeded those of the irregular, decentralized, random-switching, and centralized strategies by 12.0%, 14.4%, 25.2%, and 57.4%, respectively. In the reference allocation, 72% of planning units changed their selected rule at least once over four rounds. Repetition and sensitivity analyses supported the comparative advantage of AS across the tested settings. The findings support reassessing a defined set of greening alternatives as local conditions and implementation stages change, providing a practical framework for adaptive scenario comparison during phased urban greening.
Dong, X., Ye, Y., Yi, S., Cui, L., Yang, R., Zhou, T., Haase, D., Lausch, A. (2026):
Optimizing urban green space spatial pattern to reduce land surface temperature: A greedy-based adaptive strategy
Sust. Cities Soc.
10.1016/j.scs.2026.107909