Publication Details

Category Text Publication
Reference Category Journals
DOI 10.1029/2026JH001291
Licence creative commons licence
Title (Primary) Short-Term Hourly Weather Forecasting Using PredRNN With Image Preprocessing
Author Tran, H.; Li, H.; Tran, V.N.; Nguyen, V.T. ORCID logo ; Le, M.-H.; Dang, T.D.; Do, H.X.; Pham, H.T.; Bui-Thanh, T.; Leung, L.R.
Source Titel Journal of Geophysical Research-Machine Learning and Computation
Year 2026
Department HDG; MIBITECH
Volume 460
Page From art. 135318
Language englisch
Topic T5 Future Landscapes
Data and Software links https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20621688
Abstract

Global weather forecast models are vital tools with numerous applications, including public safety, agriculture, and transportation. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and deep learning (DL) have shown the potential to enhance weather forecasting accuracy and speed. In this study, we developed a short-term hourly weather forecast framework with a wavelet transform function for data preprocessing and a spatiotemporal DL model, PredRNN, for predicting five surface atmospheric variables, including wind speed and direction, mean sea level pressure (MSLP), temperature, and precipitation. The framework demonstrated promising results. It produces global forecasts at 0.25° (∼25 km) with a 1-day lead time RMSE of 1.8 m/s for wind components, 180 Pa for MSLP, and 1.8 K for temperature. Although our model does not surpass state-of-the-art AI weather forecast models across all metrics, it outperforms these models in precipitation forecasting and wind prediction at short lead times and achieves comparable accuracy for MSLP. Its native hourly forecasting capability, together with training on widely accessible GPU hardware, contributes meaningfully to the advancement of accessible DL weather forecasting methods. Our work highlights the importance of integrating temporal components and data transformation techniques to improve the predictability and accuracy of weather forecasts.

Tran, H., Li, H., Tran, V.N., Nguyen, V.T., Le, M.-H., Dang, T.D., Do, H.X., Pham, H.T., Bui-Thanh, T., Leung, L.R. (2026):
Short-Term Hourly Weather Forecasting Using PredRNN With Image Preprocessing
J. Geophys. Res.-Machine learing 460 , art. 135318
10.1029/2026JH001291