| Category |
Text Publication |
| Reference Category |
Journals |
| DOI |
10.1002/pan3.70103
|
Licence  |
|
| Title (Primary) |
Pathways for biodiversity enhancement in German agricultural landscapes |
| Author |
Sponagel, C.; Thompson, A.; Paetow, H.; Mupepele, A.-C.; Bieling, C.; Sommer, M.; Klein, A.-M.; Settele, J.; Finger, R.; Huber, R.; Albert, C.; Filser, J.; Jansen, F.; Kleemann, J.; Schreiner, V.; Lakner, S. |
| Source Titel |
People and Nature |
| Year |
2025 |
| Department |
NSF; iDiv |
| Language |
englisch |
| Topic |
T5 Future Landscapes |
| Supplements |
https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1002%2Fpan3.70103&file=pan370103-sup-0001-AppendixS1.pdf
https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1002%2Fpan3.70103&file=pan370103-sup-0002-AppendixS2.pdf |
| Keywords |
agricultural landscape; biodiversity; biodiversity-enhancing scenarios; Cross-Impact-Balance analysis; future pathways; Germany |
| Abstract |
- Conserving biodiversity, especially in agricultural
landscapes, is a major societal challenge. Broad scientific evidence
exists on the impacts of single drivers on biodiversity, such as the
intensification of agriculture. However, halting biodiversity decline
requires a systemic understanding of the interactions between multiple
drivers, which has hardly been achieved so far. Selecting Germany as a
case study, the goal of our analysis is (i) to understand how various
socio-economic drivers of biodiversity in agricultural landscapes
interact at the national scale, (ii) to identify plausible pathways that
most likely will lead to an improvement of biodiversity in agricultural
landscapes and (iii) to discuss guiding principles for policy-making
based on the pathways.
- We applied the expert-based Cross-Impact-Balance
(CIB) methodology to the German agri-food system (target year 2030).
Seven descriptors that represent the most relevant socio-economic
drivers of biodiversity (here, we focus on species richness) in
agricultural landscapes in Germany were defined. In three workshops with
different groups of experts, we assessed all the interactions and
impacts between these descriptors. From the workshops, seven overlapping
scenarios were identified and aggregated into four main future pathways
for enhancing biodiversity in agricultural landscapes.
- These pathways are: (1) ‘Innovation and stricter
legislation’, (2) ‘Major change in protein production and CAP shift’,
(3) ‘Major change in protein production and national legislation’ and
(4) ‘Major social changes compensate for a lack of innovation in food
production’.
- Socio-economic drivers interact to varying degrees.
Societal values have a strong active influence on the system, e. g.
agricultural policy, whereas the orientation and objectives of
agriculture, e. g. focus on public goods, are rather passively
determined. Conserving biodiversity thus depends upon the evolution of
societal values, European and national nature conservation and
agricultural policies, innovations in plant and protein production as
well as on global commodity markets.
- A key message for policymakers is that there are
generally different, complementary options for achieving the objective
of improving biodiversity. This is important when specific drivers such
as the CAP cannot be steered in a particular desired direction.
|
| Persistent UFZ Identifier |
https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=31161 |
Sponagel, C., Thompson, A., Paetow, H., Mupepele, A.-C., Bieling, C., Sommer, M., Klein, A.-M., Settele, J., Finger, R., Huber, R., Albert, C., Filser, J., Jansen, F., Kleemann, J., Schreiner, V., Lakner, S. (2025):
Pathways for biodiversity enhancement in German agricultural landscapes
People Nat. 10.1002/pan3.70103 |
