Publication Details

Category Text Publication
Reference Category Journals
DOI 10.1029/2023GL104788
Licence creative commons licence
Title (Primary) Geographical trapping of synchronous extremes amidst increasing variability of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall
Author Tantary, D.; Tangirala, A.K.; Murthugudde, R.; Ghosh, S.; Kumar, R. ORCID logo ; Bhatia, U.
Source Titel Geophysical Research Letters
Year 2023
Department CHS
Volume 50
Issue 22
Page From e2023GL104788
Language englisch
Topic T5 Future Landscapes
Data and Software links http://doi.org/10.7289/V5T72FNM
https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.bd0915c6
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8021146
Supplements https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1029%2F2023GL104788&file=2023GL104788-sup-0001-Supporting+Information+SI-S01.pdf
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1029%2F2023GL104788&file=2023GL104788-sup-0002-Movie+SI-S01.gif
Keywords extremes; precipitation; synchronization; complex networks; clustering coefficient
Abstract Concurrent extreme rainfall events, or synchronous extremes, during Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR), cause significant damage, but their spatiotemporal evolution remains unclear. Using the event synchronization approach to examine the synchronicity of extreme rainfall events from 1901 to 2019, we find that Central India consistently hosts strongly connected synchronous extreme hubs with localized connections, indicating the geographical trapping of these concurrent events in the region. We observe a moderate positive correlation between network cohesiveness and El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO), and a negative correlation between ENSO and link lengths, suggesting localized synchronicity during El Niño dominant decades and opposite patterns in La Niña periods. Despite increasing ISMR variability and spatial nonuniformity, the persistence of hubs and network attributes could offer insights for predicting synchronous extremes, informing effective adaptation and risk management strategies during the monsoon season.
Persistent UFZ Identifier https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=28296
Tantary, D., Tangirala, A.K., Murthugudde, R., Ghosh, S., Kumar, R., Bhatia, U. (2023):
Geographical trapping of synchronous extremes amidst increasing variability of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall
Geophys. Res. Lett. 50 (22), e2023GL104788 10.1029/2023GL104788