Publication Details |
| Category | Text Publication |
| Reference Category | Journals |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.biocon.2023.110352 |
Licence  |
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| Title (Primary) | Threatened European butterflies concentrate in areas of strong climatic change and atmospheric deposition pressure |
| Author | Rashid, S.; Wessely, J.; Moser, D.; Rumpf, S.B.; Kühn, I.
; Fiedler, K.; Hülber, K.; Dullinger, S. |
| Source Titel | Biological Conservation |
| Year | 2023 |
| Department | BZF |
| Volume | 288 |
| Page From | art. 110352 |
| Language | englisch |
| Topic | T5 Future Landscapes |
| Keywords | Lepidoptera; Papilionoidea; Red Lists; Climate change; Nitrogen deposition; Beta regression |
| Abstract | Land use change, as a result of many local-scale decisions scaling up to
large spatial extents, is considered the main threat to European butterflies.
The impact of large-scale pressures, such as atmospheric nitrogen deposition or
climate change, is less understood or less documented, respectively. However,
it is acknowledged that they might reinforce the pressure on already threatened
species. To evaluate the additional threat exerted by these pressures we
compared their geographical pattern to those of threatened butterflies across
Europe. We therefore derived range maps of 383 butterfly species and used two
species-specific threat assessments derived from national and European Red
Lists. We then used Spearman rank-correlations and beta-regressions to compare
two metrics of species threat per 10 × 10 km raster cells with
geographical patterns of cumulative nitrogen depositions from 1980 to 2015, as
well as the magnitude of change in precipitation sums and temperature means
between the decades 1979–1988 and 2004–2013. We found that threatened species
tend to concentrate in areas with high nitrogen depositions and pronounced
summer temperature changes. In particular, parts of central and eastern Europe
were both hotspots of threatened butterflies and hotspots of climatic pressure.
This spatial coincidence of the distribution of threatened butterfly species with
large-scale patterns of nitrogen depositions and recent climate warming
indicates an already considerable risk of regional to continental extinctions
that will likely increase further in the future as climate change will most
likely intensify. Consequences for area-based conservation measures are
discussed.
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| Persistent UFZ Identifier | https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=28291 |
| Rashid, S., Wessely, J., Moser, D., Rumpf, S.B., Kühn, I., Fiedler, K., Hülber, K., Dullinger, S. (2023): Threatened European butterflies concentrate in areas of strong climatic change and atmospheric deposition pressure Biol. Conserv. 288 , art. 110352 10.1016/j.biocon.2023.110352 |
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