| Category |
Text Publication |
| Reference Category |
Journals |
| DOI |
10.1111/1365-2656.13467
|
| Document |
Shareable Link |
| Title (Primary) |
The myriad of complex demographic responses of terrestrial mammals to climate change and gaps of knowledge: A global analysis |
| Author |
Paniw, M.; James, T.D.; Archer, C.R.; Römer, G.; Levin, S.; Compagnoni, A.; Che‐Castaldo, J.; Bennett, J.M.; Mooney, A.; Childs, D.Z.; Ozgul, A.; Jones, O.R.; Burns, J.H.; Beckerman, A.P.; Patwary, A.; Sanchez‐Gassen, N.; Knight, T.M.; Salguero‐Gómez, R. |
| Source Titel |
Journal of Animal Ecology |
| Year |
2021 |
| Department |
BZF; iDiv |
| Volume |
90 |
| Issue |
6 |
| Page From |
1398 |
| Page To |
1407 |
| Language |
englisch |
| Topic |
T5 Future Landscapes |
| Data and Software links |
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.hmgqnk9g7 |
| Supplements |
https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1111%2F1365-2656.13467&file=jane13467-sup-0001-Supinfo.pdf |
| Keywords |
climate vulnerability; comparative demography; demographic rates; population growth rate; temperature extremes |
| Abstract |
- Approximately 25% of mammals are currently threatened
with extinction, a risk that is amplified under climate change. Species
persistence under climate change is determined by the combined effects
of climatic factors on multiple demographic rates (survival, development
and reproduction), and hence, population dynamics. Thus, to quantify
which species and regions on Earth are most vulnerable to climate‐driven
extinction, a global understanding of how different demographic rates
respond to climate is urgently needed.
- Here, we perform a systematic review of literature on
demographic responses to climate, focusing on terrestrial mammals, for
which extensive demographic data are available.
- To assess the full spectrum of responses, we
synthesize information from studies that quantitatively link climate to
multiple demographic rates. We find only 106 such studies, corresponding
to 87 mammal species. These 87 species constitute <1% of all
terrestrial mammals.
- Our synthesis reveals a strong mismatch between the
locations of demographic studies and the regions and taxa currently
recognized as most vulnerable to climate change. Surprisingly, for most
mammals and regions sensitive to climate change, holistic demographic
responses to climate remain unknown. At the same time, we reveal that
filling this knowledge gap is critical as the effects of climate change
will operate via complex demographic mechanisms: a vast majority of
mammal populations display projected increases in some demographic rates
but declines in others, often depending on the specific environmental
context, complicating simple projections of population fates.
- Assessments of population viability under climate
change are in critical need to gather data that account for multiple
demographic responses, and coordinated actions to assess demography
holistically should be prioritized for mammals and other taxa.
|
| Persistent UFZ Identifier |
https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=24442 |
Paniw, M., James, T.D., Archer, C.R., Römer, G., Levin, S., Compagnoni, A., Che‐Castaldo, J., Bennett, J.M., Mooney, A., Childs, D.Z., Ozgul, A., Jones, O.R., Burns, J.H., Beckerman, A.P., Patwary, A., Sanchez‐Gassen, N., Knight, T.M., Salguero‐Gómez, R. (2021):
The myriad of complex demographic responses of terrestrial mammals to climate change and gaps of knowledge: A global analysis
J. Anim. Ecol. 90 (6), 1398 - 1407 10.1111/1365-2656.13467 |
