Publication Details |
Category | Text Publication |
Reference Category | Book chapters |
Title (Primary) | Exploratory modelling applied to Integrated Water Resources Management |
Title (Secondary) | Reducing the vulnerability of societies to water related risks at the basin scale: Papers presented at the 3rd International Symposium on Integrated Water Resources Management, Ruhr-University Bochum, Germany, 26-28 September 2006 |
Author | Samaniego, L.; Bárdossy, A. |
Publisher | Schumann, A.; Pahlow, M.; Bogardi, J.J.; van der Zaag, P. |
Journal | IAHS Publication |
Year | 2007 |
Department | CHS |
Volume | 317 |
Page From | 197 |
Page To | 203 |
Language | englisch |
Keywords | exploratory modelling; risk; risk based strategic planning; uncertainty |
UFZ inventory | Leipzig, Bibliothek, Hauptlesesaal, 00294447, 07-1714 DK: 628.1 Red |
Abstract | One of the most important activities related to water resources management consists of finding suitable development strategies for a given river basin. In this paper an exploratory modelling technique will be used instead of the standard scenario approach to assess the robustness of a proposed strategy. Preliminary tests of this technique in the Körsch River basin in Germany suggested that this approach poses many advantages if it is compared with the scenario approach, namely: (1) one can “stress test” a strategy and assess its inherent risk of failure; and (2) one can find events or parameter values under which a good strategy may fail. |
Persistent UFZ Identifier | https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=2234 |
Samaniego, L., Bárdossy, A. (2007): Exploratory modelling applied to Integrated Water Resources Management In: Schumann, A., Pahlow, M., Bogardi, J.J., van der Zaag, P. (eds.) Reducing the vulnerability of societies to water related risks at the basin scale: Papers presented at the 3rd International Symposium on Integrated Water Resources Management, Ruhr-University Bochum, Germany, 26-28 September 2006 IAHS Publ. 317 International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS), Wallingford, Oxfordshire, p. 197 - 203 |