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Title (Primary) A 250‐year European drought inventory derived from ensemble hydrologic modeling
Author Moravec, V.; Markonis, Y.; Rakovec, O.; Kumar, R.; Hanel, M.;
Journal Geophysical Research Letters
Year 2019
Department CHS;
Volume 46
Issue 11
Language englisch;
POF III (all) T53;
Data links https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.2594777
Supplements https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1029%2F2019GL082783&file=grl58947-sup-0001-Text_SI-S01.pdf
Keywords drought; hydrological ensemble; natural hazards; drought types; climate extremes; Europe
Abstract Abstract : We present a 250‐year (1766–2015) inventory of European meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural droughts derived from ensemble simulations of the mesoscale Hydrological Model (mHM). The inventory of droughts takes into account an ensemble of 100 simulations from the hydrological model, allowing for assessment of how different meteorological forcing and model parameterizations affect a drought ranking. For the most extreme droughts, the variability in the ranking of drought events is low, while for the years with moderate precipitation deficits, the variability increases. Despite the underlying uncertainties, our drought inventory shows increased recurrence of soil moisture droughts in the Mediterranean and declining spatial extent of hydrological drought in Central Europe over the last three decades.
ID 21942
Persistent UFZ Identifier https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=21942
Moravec, V., Markonis, Y., Rakovec, O., Kumar, R., Hanel, M. (2019):
A 250‐year European drought inventory derived from ensemble hydrologic modeling
Geophys. Res. Lett. 46 (11), 5909 - 5917