Publication Details |
Category | Text Publication |
Reference Category | Journals |
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecocom.2018.06.004 |
Document | author version |
Title (Primary) | Land-use and species tipping points in a coupled ecological-economic model |
Author | Drechsler, M.; Surun, C. |
Source Titel | Ecological Complexity |
Year | 2018 |
Department | OESA |
Volume | 36 |
Page From | 86 |
Page To | 91 |
Language | englisch |
Keywords | Conservation; Ecological-economic model; Metapopulation; Tipping point; Tradable permits |
Abstract | Complex systems can have tipping points where the system behavior changes abruptly from one regime to another. We develop an ecological-economic model that simulates the spatio-temporal dynamics of the land-use induced by a tradable permit market and its consequences on the viability of a model species. The model analysis reveals that the land-use dynamics are subject to a tipping point with regard to changes in policy scheme design. One the level of species viability, this tipping point is amplified and a second tipping point emerges. The two tipping points interact and their location and sharpness depend on the characteristics of the species. We conclude that in the consideration of coupled ecological-economic systems tipping points can play an important role. The existence of tipping points considerably complicates the design of policy instruments for the sustainable management of ecological-economic systems because a small change in the policy design can have dramatic consequences on the system dynamics. |
Persistent UFZ Identifier | https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=20671 |
Drechsler, M., Surun, C. (2018): Land-use and species tipping points in a coupled ecological-economic model Ecol. Complex. 36 , 86 - 91 10.1016/j.ecocom.2018.06.004 |