Publication Details

Category Text Publication
Reference Category Journals
DOI 10.1002/ecy.1564
Document Shareable Link
Title (Primary) Viability of cyclic populations
Author Singer, A.; Frank, K. ORCID logo
Source Titel Ecology
Year 2016
Department OESA; iDiv
Volume 97
Issue 11
Page From 3143
Page To 3153
Language englisch
Keywords community; interannual variation; periodicity; persistence; seasonality; stochastic
UFZ wide themes RU5;
Abstract Theory on viability of small populations is well developed and has led to the standard methodology of population viability analysis (PVA) to assess vulnerability of single species. However, more complex situations involving community dynamics or environmental change violate theoretical assumptions. Synthesizing concepts from population, community, and conservation ecology, we develop a generic theory on the viability of cyclic populations. The interplay of periodic population decline and demography causes varying risk patterns that aggregate during cycles and modify the temporal structure of viability. This variability is visualized and quantitatively assessed. For two standard viability metrics that summarize immediate extinction risk and the general long-term conditions of populations, we mathematically describe the impact of population cycles. Finally, we suggest and demonstrate PVA for cyclic populations that respond to, e.g., seasonality, interannual variation, or trophic interactions. Our theoretical and methodological advancement opens a route to viability analysis in food webs and trophic meta-communities and equips biodiversity conservation with a long-missing tool.
Persistent UFZ Identifier
Singer, A., Frank, K. (2016):
Viability of cyclic populations
Ecology 97 (11), 3143 - 3153 10.1002/ecy.1564