Publication Details

Reference Category Conference contributions
DOI / URL link
Title (Primary) Digging into the myth – African Swine Fever, Russian wild boar and the endemicity hypothesis
Title (Secondary) 2014 SVEPM Annual Conference held in Dublin, Ireland 26th – 28th March 2014 : Proceedings
Author Thulke, H.-H.; Lange, M.; Siemen, H.; Blome, S.;
Publisher Mintiens, K.; Parkin, T.D.H.;
Year 2014
Department OESA;
Language englisch;
POF III (all) T11;
UFZ wide themes RU5;
Abstract African swine fever (ASF) is a highly lethal viral disease of domestic pigs and wild boar. ASF was introduced to the southern Russian Federation in 2007 and is now reported to have spread in populations of wild and domestic suids. An endemic situation in the local wild boar population would significantly complicate the management of the disease in livestock. No sound method exists to identify the characteristic pattern of endemic disease, which describes infection persisting from year to year, between generations in the same wildlife population. In support of urgent management decisions at the wildlife-livestock interface, a new algorithm was constructed to test the hypothesis of an endemic disease situation in wildlife. The approach uses spatial and temporal associations between observed diagnostic data to discriminate between endemic and non-endemic patterns of case occurrence. The algorithm
was validated with data from an epidemiological simulation model and applied to ASF data from southern Russia. Based on the algorithm, the null hypothesis of an endemic situation of ASF in wild boar in the region was rejected.
ID 15234
Persistent UFZ Identifier https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=15234
Thulke, H.-H., Lange, M., Siemen, H., Blome, S. (2014):
Digging into the myth – African Swine Fever, Russian wild boar and the endemicity hypothesis
In: Mintiens, K., Parkin, T.D.H. (eds.)
2014 SVEPM Annual Conference held in Dublin, Ireland 26th – 28th March 2014 : Proceedings
Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, p. 86 - 95