<< back

Publication Details

Reference Category Journals
DOI / URL link
Title (Primary) Using dynamic vegetation models to simulate plant range shifts
Author Snell, R.S.; Huth, A.; Nabel, J.E.M.S.; Bocedi, G.; Travis, J.M.J.; Gravel, D.; Bugmann, H.; GutiƩrrez, A.G.; Hickler, T.; Higgins, S.I.; Reineking, B.; Scherstjanoi, M.; Zurbriggen, N.; Lischke, H.;
Journal Ecography
Year 2014
Department OESA;
Volume 37
Issue 12
Language englisch;
POF III (all) T53;
UFZ wide themes RU5;
Abstract Dynamic vegetation models (DVMs) follow a process-based approach to simulate plant population demography, and have been used to address questions about disturbances, plant succession, community composition, and provisioning of ecosystem services under climate change scenarios. Despite their potential, they have seldom been used for studying species range dynamics explicitly. In this perspective paper, we make the case that DVMs should be used to this end and can improve our understanding of the factors that influence species range expansions and contractions. We review the benefits of using process-based, dynamic models, emphasizing how DVMs can be applied specifically to questions about species range dynamics. Subsequently, we provide a critical evaluation of some of the limitations and trade-offs associated with DVMs, and we use those to guide our discussions about future model development. This includes a discussion on which processes are lacking, specifically a mechanistic representation of dispersal, inclusion of the seedling stage, trait variability, and a dynamic representation of reproduction. We also discuss upscaling techniques that offer promising solutions for being able to run these models efficiently over large spatial extents. Our aim is to provide directions for future research efforts and to illustrate the value of the DVM approach.
ID 14704
Persistent UFZ Identifier https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=14704
Snell, R.S., Huth, A., Nabel, J.E.M.S., Bocedi, G., Travis, J.M.J., Gravel, D., Bugmann, H., GutiƩrrez, A.G., Hickler, T., Higgins, S.I., Reineking, B., Scherstjanoi, M., Zurbriggen, N., Lischke, H. (2014):
Using dynamic vegetation models to simulate plant range shifts
Ecography 37 (12), 1184 - 1197