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Title (Primary) Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models
Author Rickebusch, S.; Thuiller, W.; Hickler, T.; Araujo, M.B.; Sykes, M.T.; Schweiger, O.; Lafourcade, B.;
Journal Biology Letters
Year 2008
Department BZF;
Volume 4
Issue 5
Language englisch;
Keywords soil water content; BIOMOD; habitat models; CO2 effect; climate change; ensemble forecasting
Abstract The direct effects of CO2 level changes on plant water availability are usually ignored in plant habitat models. We compare traditional proxies for water availability with changes in soil water (fAWC) predicted by a process-based ecosystem model, which simulates changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including CO2 physiological effects. We modelled current and future habitats of 108 European tree species using ensemble forecasting, comprising six habitat models, two model evaluation methods and two climate change scenarios. The fAWC models' projections are generally more conservative. Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water availability should therefore be taken into account in plant habitat change projections.
ID 1349
Persistent UFZ Identifier https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=1349
Rickebusch, S., Thuiller, W., Hickler, T., Araujo, M.B., Sykes, M.T., Schweiger, O., Lafourcade, B. (2008):
Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models
Biol. Lett. 4 (5), 556 - 559