Details zur Publikation |
| Kategorie | Datenpublikation |
| DOI | 10.5281/zenodo.15095260 |
| Lizenz |
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| Titel (primär) | VUB-HYDR/Mapping_concurrent_hazards_and_impacts_associated_with_climate_extremes: Mapping_concurrent_hazards_and_impacts_associated_with_climate_extremes (final) |
| Autor | Muheki, D.; Messori, G.; Batibeniz, F.; Bevacqua, E.
; Suarez-Gutierrez, L.; Thiery, W. |
| Quelle | Zenodo |
| Erscheinungsjahr | 2025 |
| Department | CER |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Topic | T5 Future Landscapes |
| Abstract | Climate-related extreme events impose a heavy toll on humankind, and many will likely become more frequent in the future. The compound (joint) occurrence of different climate-related hazards and impacts can further exacerbate the detrimental consequences for society. By analyzing postprocessed data from the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project, we provide a global mapping of future changes in the compound occurrence of six categories of hazards or impacts related to climate extremes. These are: river floods, droughts, heatwaves, wildfires, tropical cyclone-induced winds and crop failures. In line with the existing literature, we find sharp increases in the occurrence of many individual hazards and impacts, notably heatwaves and wildfires. Under a medium-high emission scenario, many regions worldwide transition from chiefly experiencing a given category of hazard or impact in isolation to routinely experiencing compound hazard or impact occurrences. A similarly striking change is projected for the future recurrence of compound hazards or impacts, with many locations experiencing specific compound occurrences at least once a year for several years, or even decades, in a row. In the absence of effective global climate mitigation actions, we may thus witness a qualitative regime shift from a world dominated by individual climate-related hazards and impacts to one where compound occurrences become the norm. |
| Verknüpfte UFZ-Textpublikationen | |
| dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung | https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=31047 |
| Muheki, D., Messori, G., Batibeniz, F., Bevacqua, E., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Thiery, W. (2025): VUB-HYDR/Mapping_concurrent_hazards_and_impacts_associated_with_climate_extremes: Mapping_concurrent_hazards_and_impacts_associated_with_climate_extremes (final) Zenodo 10.5281/zenodo.15095260 |
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