Details zur Publikation |
| Kategorie | Textpublikation |
| Referenztyp | Zeitschriften |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41558-025-02246-9 |
Lizenz  |
|
| Titel (primär) | A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20 yr period that will exceed the Paris Agreement limit |
| Autor | Bevacqua, E.
; Schleussner, C.-F.; Zscheischler, J.
|
| Quelle | Nature Climate Change |
| Erscheinungsjahr | 2025 |
| Department | CER |
| Band/Volume | 15 |
| Heft | 3 |
| Seite von | 262 |
| Seite bis | 265 |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Topic | T5 Future Landscapes |
| Daten-/Softwarelinks | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14637944 |
| Abstract | The temperature goals of the Paris Agreement are measured as 20-year averages exceeding a pre-industrial baseline. The calendar year of 2024 was announced as the first above 1.5 °C relative to pre-industrial levels, but the implications for the corresponding temperature goal are unclear. Here we show that, without very stringent climate mitigation, the first year above 1.5 °C occurs within the first 20-year period with an average warming of 1.5 °C. |
| dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung | https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=30364 |
| Bevacqua, E., Schleussner, C.-F., Zscheischler, J. (2025): A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20 yr period that will exceed the Paris Agreement limit Nat. Clim. Chang. 15 (3), 262 - 265 10.1038/s41558-025-02246-9 |
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