Details zur Publikation

Kategorie Textpublikation
Referenztyp Zeitschriften
DOI 10.1038/s41467-024-54946-z
Lizenz creative commons licence
Titel (primär) Intensification of future subsurface marine heatwaves in an eddy-resolving model
Autor Guo, X.; Gao, Y.; Zhang, S.; Cai, W.; Chen, D.; Leung, L.R.; Zscheischler, J. ORCID logo ; Thompson, L.; Davis, K.; Qu, B.; Gao, H.; Wu, L.
Quelle Nature Communications
Erscheinungsjahr 2024
Department CER
Band/Volume 15
Seite von art. 10777
Sprache englisch
Topic T5 Future Landscapes
Supplements https://static-content.springer.com/esm/art%3A10.1038%2Fs41467-024-54946-z/MediaObjects/41467_2024_54946_MOESM1_ESM.pdf
Abstract A shift in depth range enables marine organisms to adapt to marine heatwaves (MHWs). Subsurface MHWs could limit this pathway, yet their response to climate warming remains unclear. Here, using an eddy-resolving Earth system model forced under a high emission scenario, we project a robust global increase in subsurface MHWs driven by rising subsurface mean temperatures and enhanced temperature variability. Historically, maximum MHW intensity occurs around 100 m depth, which shifts to the faster-warming surface under greenhouse warming. However, removing the long-term warming trend yields an increase in subsurface MHW intensity and annual days greater than that at the surface, especially in large marine ecosystem regions, primarily due to increased variability. Additionally, days of the surface and subsurface concurrent event increase ten times more than those of individual events. Our study highlights a heightened threat to marine organisms under global warming, as the increased subsurface heatwaves reduce their refuge options.
dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=30268
Guo, X., Gao, Y., Zhang, S., Cai, W., Chen, D., Leung, L.R., Zscheischler, J., Thompson, L., Davis, K., Qu, B., Gao, H., Wu, L. (2024):
Intensification of future subsurface marine heatwaves in an eddy-resolving model
Nat. Commun. 15 , art. 10777 10.1038/s41467-024-54946-z