Details zur Publikation

Kategorie Textpublikation
Referenztyp Zeitschriften
DOI 10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00789
Lizenz creative commons licence
Titel (primär) Multimodel and multiconstituent scenario construction for future water quality
Autor Bouwman, A.F.; Bärlund, I.; Beusen, A.H.W.; Flörke, M.; Gramberger, M.; Rivera Cardona, J.; Podgorski, J.; van den Roovaart, J.; Grizzetti, B.; Janssen, A.B.G.; Kumar, R. ORCID logo ; Langan, S.; Poikane, S.; Spears, B.M.; Strokal, M.; Tang, T.; Troost, T.A.; Vigiak, O.; van Vliet, M.T.H.; Vystavna, Y.; Wang, M.; Hofstra, N.
Quelle Environmental Science & Technology Letters
Erscheinungsjahr 2024
Department ASAM; CHS; TB2-Water
Band/Volume 11
Heft 12
Seite von 1272
Seite bis 1280
Sprache englisch
Topic T5 Future Landscapes
T4 Coastal System
Supplements https://pubs.acs.org/doi/suppl/10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00789/suppl_file/ez4c00789_si_001.pdf
https://pubs.acs.org/doi/suppl/10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00789/suppl_file/ez4c00789_si_002.xlsx
Keywords Anthropogenic chemicals; Arsenic; Biological oxygen demand; Fecal coliform; Future; Global; Groundwater; Nitrogen; Scenario; Surface water; Water quality
Abstract Freshwater pollution is, together with climate change, one of today’s most severe and pervasive threats to the global environment. Comprehensive and spatially explicit scenarios covering a wide range of constituents for freshwater quality are currently scarce. In this Global Perspective paper, we propose a novel model-based approach for five water quality constituents relevant for human and ecosystem health (nitrogen, biochemical oxygen demand, anthropogenic chemicals, fecal coliform, and arsenic). To project the driving forces and consequences for emissions and impacts, a set of common data based on the same assumptions was prepared and used in different large-scale water quality models including all relevant demographic, socioeconomic, and cultural changes, as well as threshold concentrations to determine the risk for human and ecosystem health. The analysis portrays the strong links among water quality, socio-economic development, and lifestyle. Internal consistency of assumptions and input data is a prerequisite for constructing comparable scenarios using different models to support targeted policy development.
dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=29951
Bouwman, A.F., Bärlund, I., Beusen, A.H.W., Flörke, M., Gramberger, M., Rivera Cardona, J., Podgorski, J., van den Roovaart, J., Grizzetti, B., Janssen, A.B.G., Kumar, R., Langan, S., Poikane, S., Spears, B.M., Strokal, M., Tang, T., Troost, T.A., Vigiak, O., van Vliet, M.T.H., Vystavna, Y., Wang, M., Hofstra, N. (2024):
Multimodel and multiconstituent scenario construction for future water quality
Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. 11 (12), 1272 - 1280 10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00789