Details zur Publikation

Kategorie Textpublikation
Referenztyp Zeitschriften
DOI 10.1073/pnas.2410294121
Lizenz creative commons licence
Titel (primär) Surging compound drought–heatwaves underrated in global soils
Autor Fan, X.; Zhang, Y.; Shi, K.; Peng, J. ORCID logo ; Liu, Y.; Zhou, Y.; Liu, Y.; Zhu, Q.; Song, C.; Wan, R.; Zhao, X.; Woolway, R.I.
Quelle Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Erscheinungsjahr 2024
Department RS
Band/Volume 121
Heft 42
Seite von e2410294121
Sprache englisch
Topic T5 Future Landscapes
Supplements https://www.pnas.org/doi/suppl/10.1073/pnas.2410294121/suppl_file/pnas.2410294121.sapp.pdf
Keywords compound event; drought; heatwave; soil heat extreme; climate warming
Abstract Compound drought–heatwaves (CDHWs) accelerate the warming and drying of soils, triggering soil compound drought–heatwaves (SCDHWs) that jeopardize the health of soil ecosystems. Nevertheless, the behavior of these events worldwide and their responses to climatic warming are underexplored. Here, we show a global escalation in the frequency, duration, peak intensity, and severity of SCDHWs, as well as an increase in affected land area, from 1980 to 2023. The increasing trends, which are particularly prominent since the early 2000 s, and projected to persist throughout this century, are dominated by summertime SCDHWs and enhanced by El Niño. Intensive soil warming as well as climatologically lower soil temperatures compared to air temperatures lead to localized hotspots of escalating SCDHW severity in northern high latitudes, while prolonged duration causes such hotspots in northern South America. Transformation of natural ecosystems, particularly forests and wetlands, to cropland as well as forest degradation substantially enhance the strength of SCDHWs. Global SCDHWs consistently exhibit higher frequencies, longer durations, greater severities, and faster growth rates than CDHWs in all aspects from 1980 to 2023. They are undergoing a critical transition, with droughts replacing heatwaves as the primary constraint. We emphasize the significant intensification of SCDHWs in northern high latitudes as well as the prolonged duration of SCDHWs in the Southern Hemisphere, posing an underrated threat to achieving carbon neutrality and food security goals.
dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=29948
Fan, X., Zhang, Y., Shi, K., Peng, J., Liu, Y., Zhou, Y., Liu, Y., Zhu, Q., Song, C., Wan, R., Zhao, X., Woolway, R.I. (2024):
Surging compound drought–heatwaves underrated in global soils
Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 121 (42), e2410294121 10.1073/pnas.2410294121