Details zur Publikation

Kategorie Textpublikation
Referenztyp Zeitschriften
DOI 10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4
Lizenz creative commons licence
Titel (primär) Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome
Autor García Criado, M.; Myers-Smith, I.H.; Bjorkman, A.D.; Normand, S.; Blach-Overgaard, A.; Thomas, H.J.D.; Eskelinen, A.; Happonen, K.; Alatalo, J.M.; Anadon-Rosell, A.; Aubin, I.; te Beest, M.; Betway-May, K.R.; Blok, D.; Buras, A.; Cerabolini, B.E.L.; Christie, K.; Cornelissen, J.H.C.; Forbes, B.C.; Frei, E.R.; Grogan, P.; Hermanutz, L.; Hollister, R.D.; Hudson, J.; Iturrate-Garcia, M.; Kaarlejärvi, E.; Kleyer, M.; Lamarque, L.J.; Lembrechts, J.J.; Lévesque, E.; Luoto, M.; Macek, P.; May, J.L.; Prevéy, J.S.; Schaepman-Strub, G.; Sheremetiev, S.N.; Siegwart Collier, L.; Soudzilovskaia, N.A.; Trant, A.; Venn, S.E.; Virkkala, A.-M.
Quelle Nature Communications
Erscheinungsjahr 2023
Department iDiv; PHYDIV
Band/Volume 14
Seite von art. 3837
Sprache englisch
Topic T5 Future Landscapes
Abstract Climate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we investigate whether past abundance changes, current range sizes and projected range shifts derived from species distribution models are related to plant trait values and intraspecific trait variation. We combined 17,921 trait records with observed past and modelled future distributions from 62 tundra shrub species across three continents. We found that species with greater variation in seed mass and specific leaf area had larger projected range shifts, and projected winner species had greater seed mass values. However, trait values and variation were not consistently related to current and projected ranges, nor to past abundance change. Overall, our findings indicate that abundance change and range shifts will not lead to directional modifications in shrub trait composition, since winner and loser species share relatively similar trait spaces.
dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung
García Criado, M., Myers-Smith, I.H., Bjorkman, A.D., Normand, S., Blach-Overgaard, A., Thomas, H.J.D., Eskelinen, A., Happonen, K., Alatalo, J.M., Anadon-Rosell, A., Aubin, I., te Beest, M., Betway-May, K.R., Blok, D., Buras, A., Cerabolini, B.E.L., Christie, K., Cornelissen, J.H.C., Forbes, B.C., Frei, E.R., Grogan, P., Hermanutz, L., Hollister, R.D., Hudson, J., Iturrate-Garcia, M., Kaarlejärvi, E., Kleyer, M., Lamarque, L.J., Lembrechts, J.J., Lévesque, E., Luoto, M., Macek, P., May, J.L., Prevéy, J.S., Schaepman-Strub, G., Sheremetiev, S.N., Siegwart Collier, L., Soudzilovskaia, N.A., Trant, A., Venn, S.E., Virkkala, A.-M. (2023):
Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome
Nat. Commun. 14 , art. 3837 10.1038/s41467-023-39573-4