Details zur Publikation |
Kategorie | Textpublikation |
Referenztyp | Zeitschriften |
DOI | 10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106817 |
Lizenz | |
Titel (primär) | A framework for participatory scenario planning to guide transitions towards sustainability in mountain social-ecological systems: A case study from the Colombian Andes |
Autor | Rodríguez, T.; Reu, B.; Bolívar-Santamaría, S.; Cortés-Aguilar, A.; Buendía, C. |
Quelle | Land Use Policy |
Erscheinungsjahr | 2023 |
Department | UPOL |
Band/Volume | 132 |
Seite von | art. 106817 |
Sprache | englisch |
Topic | T5 Future Landscapes |
Supplements | https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0264837723002831-mmc1.xlsx https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0264837723002831-mmc2.docx |
Keywords | Scenario planning; Food provision; Agroforestry; Transdisciplinary; Sustainability; Futures |
Abstract | Pronounced environmental gradients of tropical mountains result in interconnected
social-ecological systems of great cultural and biological diversity and high
provision of essential ecosystem services. This intrinsic diversity of mountain
social-ecological systems (MtSES) entails great complexity which, coupled with
remoteness, vulnerability, and lack of fine-scale data, hampers the adequate
planning of transitions towards sustainability and affects the livelihoods of
their inhabitants. Based on our experience in a tropical MtSES, here we propose
a framework for participatory scenario planning (PSP) that supports local
stakeholders to create plausible development pathways while harmonizing
top-down planning instruments and securing the provision of ecosystem services
(ES). Our framework comprises: (1) screening the study area to understand
historical land cover changes and development pathways based on current
planning instruments and local knowledge, (2) gathering future visions from
MtSES inhabitants based on their wishes, perceived drivers of change, and key
ecosystems services, (3) creating a land-cover map using satellite imagery, (4)
establishing a baseline with on-field data collection, (5) writing narratives
that harmonize those visions with planning instruments and translating them
into spatially explicit future scenarios, (6) estimating ecosystems services in
each scenario, and (7) refining future scenario narratives by facilitating a
dialog where farmers, researchers, and stakeholders discuss contrasting
scenario results and their perceived potential impacts. Our PSP framework
raises awareness among local stakeholders about land cover changes and their
impacts, while generating fine-scale data that is usually lacking for MtSES.
Both aspects are important for updating planning instruments and policies in a
participatory way taking into account the complexity of each particular MtSES
as well as people's perceptions about the future. Our study adds to the
existing literature on PSP as it provides a case study in a Andean tropical
MtSES. Since each MtSES is unique, we hope this practical example can inspire
planning policy schemes to include bottom-up approaches. |
dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung | https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=27717 |
Rodríguez, T., Reu, B., Bolívar-Santamaría, S., Cortés-Aguilar, A., Buendía, C. (2023): A framework for participatory scenario planning to guide transitions towards sustainability in mountain social-ecological systems: A case study from the Colombian Andes Land Use Pol. 132 , art. 106817 10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106817 |