Details zur Publikation |
| Kategorie | Textpublikation |
| Referenztyp | Zeitschriften |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41467-022-32942-5 |
Lizenz  |
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| Titel (primär) | Strong influence of north Pacific Ocean variability on Indian summer heatwaves |
| Autor | Hari, V.; Ghosh, S.; Zhang, W.; Kumar, R.
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| Quelle | Nature Communications |
| Erscheinungsjahr | 2022 |
| Department | CHS |
| Band/Volume | 13 |
| Seite von | art. 5349 |
| Sprache | englisch |
| Topic | T5 Future Landscapes |
| Supplements | Supplement 1 |
| Abstract | Increased occurrence of heatwaves across different parts of the world is one of the characteristic signatures of anthropogenic warming. With a 1.3 billion population, India is one of the hot spots that experience deadly heatwaves during May-June – yet the large-scale physical mechanism and teleconnection patterns driving such events remain poorly understood. Here using observations and controlled climate model experiments, we demonstrate a significant footprint of the far-reaching Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM) on the heatwave intensity (and duration) across North Central India (NCI) – the high risk region prone to heatwaves. A strong positive phase of PMM leads to a significant increase in heatwave intensity and duration over NCI (0.8-2 °C and 3–6 days; p < 0.05) and vice-versa. The current generation (CMIP6) climate models that adequately capture the PMM and their responses to NCI heatwaves, project significantly higher intensities of future heatwaves (0.5-1 °C; p < 0.05) compared to all model ensembles. These differences in the intensities of heatwaves could significantly increase the mortality (by ≈150%) and therefore can have substantial implications on designing the mitigation and adaptation strategies. |
| dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung | https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=26545 |
| Hari, V., Ghosh, S., Zhang, W., Kumar, R. (2022): Strong influence of north Pacific Ocean variability on Indian summer heatwaves Nat. Commun. 13 , art. 5349 10.1038/s41467-022-32942-5 |
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