Details zur Publikation

Kategorie Textpublikation
Referenztyp Zeitschriften
DOI 10.2166/nh.2013.145
Titel (primär) Modelling the hydrological impacts of rural land use change
Autor McIntyre, N.; Ballard, C.; Bruen, M.; Bulygina, N.; Buytaert, W.; Cluckie, I.; Dunn, S.; Ehret, U.; Ewen, J.; Gelfan, A.; Hess, T.; Hughes, D.; Jackson, B.; Kjeldsen, T.R.; Merz, R.; Park, J.-S.; O'Connell, E.; O'Donnell, G.; Oudin, L.; Todini, E.; Wagener, T.; Wheater, H.
Quelle Hydrology Research
Erscheinungsjahr 2014
Department ASAM; CATHYD
Band/Volume 45
Heft 6
Seite von 737
Seite bis 754
Sprache englisch
Keywords floods; land cover; land management; models; non-stationarity; scenarios
UFZ Querschnittsthemen RU2;
Abstract The potential role of rural land use in mitigating flood risk and protecting water supplies continues to be of great interest to regulators and planners. The ability of hydrologists to quantify the impact of rural land use change on the water cycle is however limited and we are not able to provide consistently reliable evidence to support planning and policy decisions. This shortcoming stems mainly from lack of data, but also from lack of modelling methods and tools. Numerous research projects over the last few years have been attempting to address the underlying challenges. This paper describes these challenges, significant areas of progress and modelling innovations, and proposes priorities for further research. The paper is organised into five inter-related subtopics: (1) evidence-based modelling; (2) upscaling to maximise the use of process knowledge and physics-based models; (3) representing hydrological connectivity in models; (4) uncertainty analysis; and (5) integrated catchment modelling for ecosystem service management. It is concluded that there is room for further advances in hydrological data analysis, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis methods and modelling frameworks, but progress will also depend on continuing and strengthened commitment to long-term monitoring and inter-disciplinarity in defining and delivering land use impacts research.
dauerhafte UFZ-Verlinkung
McIntyre, N., Ballard, C., Bruen, M., Bulygina, N., Buytaert, W., Cluckie, I., Dunn, S., Ehret, U., Ewen, J., Gelfan, A., Hess, T., Hughes, D., Jackson, B., Kjeldsen, T.R., Merz, R., Park, J.-S., O'Connell, E., O'Donnell, G., Oudin, L., Todini, E., Wagener, T., Wheater, H. (2014):
Modelling the hydrological impacts of rural land use change
Hydrol. Res. 45 (6), 737 - 754 10.2166/nh.2013.145