Publication Details

Category Text Publication
Reference Category Journals
DOI 10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018
Licence creative commons licence
Title (Primary) A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios
Author Kim, H.J.; Rosa, I.M.D.; Alkemade, R.; Leadley, P.; Hurtt, G.; Popp, A.; van Vuuren, D.P.; Anthoni, P.; Arneth, A.; Baisero, D.; Caton, E.; Chaplin-Kramer, R.; Chini, L.; De Palma, A.; Di Fulvio, F.; Di Marco, M.; Espinoza, F.; Ferrier, S.; Fujimori, S.; Gonzalez, R.E.; Gueguen, M.; Guerra, C.; Harfoot, M.; Harwood, T.D.; Hasegawa, T.; Haverd, V.; Havlík, P.; Hellweg, S.; Hill, S.L.L.; Hirata, A.; Hoskins, A.J.; Janse, J.H.; Jetz, W.; Johnson, J.A.; Krause, A.; Leclère, D.; Martins, I.S.; Matsui, T.; Merow, C.; Obersteiner, M.; Ohashi, H.; Poulter, B.; Purvis, A.; Quesada, B.; Rondinini, C.; Schipper, A.M.; Sharp, R.; Takahashi, K.; Thuiller, W.; Titeux, N.; Visconti, P.; Ware, C.; Wolf, F.; Pereira, H.M.
Source Titel Geoscientific Model Development
Year 2018
Department BZF; iDiv
Volume 11
Page From 4537
Page To 4562
Language englisch
Supplements https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/11/4537/2018/gmd-11-4537-2018-supplement.pdf
Abstract To support the assessments of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), the IPBES Expert Group on Scenarios and Models is carrying out an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized scenarios (BES-SIM). The goals of BES-SIM are (1) to project the global impacts of land-use and climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem services (i.e., nature's contributions to people) over the coming decades, compared to the 20th century, using a set of common metrics at multiple scales, and (2) to identify model uncertainties and research gaps through the comparisons of projected biodiversity and ecosystem services across models. BES-SIM uses three scenarios combining specific Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) – SSP1xRCP2.6, SSP3xRCP6.0, SSP5xRCP8.6 – to explore a wide range of land-use change and climate change futures. This paper describes the rationale for scenario selection, the process of harmonizing input data for land use, based on the second phase of the Land Use Harmonization Project (LUH2), and climate, the biodiversity and ecosystem services models used, the core simulations carried out, the harmonization of the model output metrics, and the treatment of uncertainty. The results of this collaborative modeling project will support the ongoing global assessment of IPBES, strengthen ties between IPBES and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios and modeling processes, advise the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) on its development of a post-2020 strategic plans and conservation goals, and inform the development of a new generation of nature-centred scenarios.
Persistent UFZ Identifier https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=21167
Kim, H.J., Rosa, I.M.D., Alkemade, R., Leadley, P., Hurtt, G., Popp, A., van Vuuren, D.P., Anthoni, P., Arneth, A., Baisero, D., Caton, E., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Chini, L., De Palma, A., Di Fulvio, F., Di Marco, M., Espinoza, F., Ferrier, S., Fujimori, S., Gonzalez, R.E., Gueguen, M., Guerra, C., Harfoot, M., Harwood, T.D., Hasegawa, T., Haverd, V., Havlík, P., Hellweg, S., Hill, S.L.L., Hirata, A., Hoskins, A.J., Janse, J.H., Jetz, W., Johnson, J.A., Krause, A., Leclère, D., Martins, I.S., Matsui, T., Merow, C., Obersteiner, M., Ohashi, H., Poulter, B., Purvis, A., Quesada, B., Rondinini, C., Schipper, A.M., Sharp, R., Takahashi, K., Thuiller, W., Titeux, N., Visconti, P., Ware, C., Wolf, F., Pereira, H.M. (2018):
A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios
Geosci. Model Dev. 11 , 4537 - 4562 10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018