Publication Details

Category Text Publication
Reference Category Conference papers
URL http://www.iemss.org/society/index.php/iemss-2012-proceedings
Title (Primary) Which household tolerates droughts? - Strategies to secure pastoral livelihoods
Title (Secondary) Managing resources of a limited planet: pathways and visions under uncertainty. Proceedings of the sixth biannial meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, Leipzig, Germany, July 1-5, 2012
Author Drees, R.; Linstädter, A.; Frank, K. ORCID logo ; Müller, B. ORCID logo
Publisher Seppelt, R.; Voinov, A.A.; Lange, S.; Bankamp, D.
Year 2012
Department OESA
Page From 2631
Page To 2641
Language englisch
Keywords livelihood security; pastoralism; dynamic rangeland model; social-ecological system
Abstract Increasing frequencies of droughts pose a threat to pastoral livelihoods in
drylands. Using a rangeland model, we analyze the effects of droughts and mobility
strategies on herd size dynamics. Since the herd provides the basic income for mobile
pastoralists, we evaluate herd dynamics as income to estimate the risk of endangered
livelihoods due to droughts. This methodology enables us to identify critical changes in
natural resource use systems which are prone to shocks.
Model results show that the socio-economic type of the household and therewith its adaptive
capacity to be mobile rather than the obvious ecological effects of droughts determine
the opportunity to secure pastoral livelihoods. Concluding, we present a tool to analyze
socio-economic strategies in order to detect under which circumstances a climatic shock
translates to an economic crisis in pastoral livelihoods.
Persistent UFZ Identifier https://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=20939&ufzPublicationIdentifier=13840
Drees, R., Linstädter, A., Frank, K., Müller, B. (2012):
Which household tolerates droughts? - Strategies to secure pastoral livelihoods
In: Seppelt, R., Voinov, A.A., Lange, S., Bankamp, D. (eds.)
Managing resources of a limited planet: pathways and visions under uncertainty. Proceedings of the sixth biannial meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, Leipzig, Germany, July 1-5, 2012
2631 - 2641